Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 GOP Caucus Poll

• Mitt Romney 50% {29%} [31%] (38%)
• Newt Gingrich 25% {15%} [8%] (21%)
• Ron Paul 15% {7%} [11%] (10%)
• Rick Santorum 8% {2%}
• Someone else/Undecided 1% {9%} [7%] (9%)

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 79% {43%}
• Might end up supporting someone else 21% {57%}

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 30% {0%}
• Newt Gingrich 16% {23%}
• Mitt Romney 14% {21%}
• Ron Paul 13% {6%}
• Someone else/Undecided 27% {15%}

Which of the Republican candidates do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama?

• Mitt Romney 56%
• Newt Gingrich 21%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Rick Santorum 5%
• Someone else/Not sure 9%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 70% {63%} [63%] (64%) {70%} / 25% {27%} [25%] (23%) {18%} {+45%}
• Rick Santorum 64% / 23% {+41%}
• Ron Paul 45% {37%} / 46% {48%} {-1%}
• Newt Gingrich 41% {66%} (61%) {63%} / 49% {25%} (21%) {20%} {-8%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 30% {31%}
• No 59% {58%}

Among Tea Party Members 

• Newt Gingrich 38%
• Mitt Romney 36%
• Ron Paul 16%
• Rick Santorum 10%
• Someone else/Not sure 0%

Are you a Mormon, or not?

• Mormon 20%
• Not a Mormon 80%

Among Mormons

• Mitt Romney 78%
• Ron Paul 14%
• Newt Gingrich 7%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Someone else/Not sure 1%

Survey of 937 likely Nevada Republican caucus voters was conducted February 1-2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Political ideology: 43% {39%} [36%] (34%) Very conservative; 38% {41%} [42%] (42%) Somewhat conservative; 14% {15%} [18%] (19%) Moderate; 3% {4%} [3%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 3% {2%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in curly brackets.