Rasmussen Michigan 2012 GOP Primary Poll
Survey of 750 likely primary voters was conducted February 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 20, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2012 are in parentheses.Inside the numbers:
Santorum leads Romney by 23 points among very conservative primary voters in Michigan, while Romney holds a 21-point edge among those who describe themselves as somewhat conservative. Among all other voters, Romney picks up 43% of the vote, while Paul and Santorum each earn 20%.
Since Monday, Santorum has lost a lot of ground among Tea Party voters. He still leads among these voters but by just 11 points. On Monday, Santorum had a 34-point lead over Romney among Tea Party members.
Santorum still leads among Evangelical Christian voters but also by a much smaller margin. Romney continues to lead among other Protestants, Catholics and primary voters of other faiths.
Seventy-four percent (74%) say it’s at least somewhat likely that Romney would beat President Obama in November if he wins the nomination. Just 59% say the same about Santorum. That’s a two-point decline for Romney and a six-point decline for Santorum.
Both Romney and Santorum are viewed favorably by 68% of likely primary voters, and for both that’s a three-point decline since Monday. Perhaps more significant is the fact that Santorum has lost the enthusiasm advantage he held earlier. On Monday, 33% had a Very Favorable opinion of Santorum. Now, that’s down to 27% and little different from Romney’s 25%.
Most voters see a Gingrich or Paul win over Obama as unlikely. Gingrich is viewed favorably by 50% of Michigan primary voters, while 41% share a favorable opinion of Paul.
- Mitt Romney 40% {34%} [32%] (38%)
- Rick Santorum 34% {38%} [35%] (17%)
- Ron Paul 10% {10%} [13%] (14%)
- Newt Gingrich 9% {9%} [11%] (23%)
- Certain 60% {57%} [52%] (52%)
- Could change mind 34% {35%} [40%] (41%)
- No preference yet {8%} [8%] (6%)
- Rick Santorum 46% {47%} [49%]
- Mitt Romney 44% {40%} [37%]
- Mitt Romney 62% {56%} [61%] (76%)
- Rick Santorum 23% {31%} [16%]
Survey of 750 likely primary voters was conducted February 23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 20, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2012 are in parentheses.
Santorum leads Romney by 23 points among very conservative primary voters in Michigan, while Romney holds a 21-point edge among those who describe themselves as somewhat conservative. Among all other voters, Romney picks up 43% of the vote, while Paul and Santorum each earn 20%.
Since Monday, Santorum has lost a lot of ground among Tea Party voters. He still leads among these voters but by just 11 points. On Monday, Santorum had a 34-point lead over Romney among Tea Party members.
Santorum still leads among Evangelical Christian voters but also by a much smaller margin. Romney continues to lead among other Protestants, Catholics and primary voters of other faiths.
Seventy-four percent (74%) say it’s at least somewhat likely that Romney would beat President Obama in November if he wins the nomination. Just 59% say the same about Santorum. That’s a two-point decline for Romney and a six-point decline for Santorum.
Both Romney and Santorum are viewed favorably by 68% of likely primary voters, and for both that’s a three-point decline since Monday. Perhaps more significant is the fact that Santorum has lost the enthusiasm advantage he held earlier. On Monday, 33% had a Very Favorable opinion of Santorum. Now, that’s down to 27% and little different from Romney’s 25%.
Most voters see a Gingrich or Paul win over Obama as unlikely. Gingrich is viewed favorably by 50% of Michigan primary voters, while 41% share a favorable opinion of Paul.
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