Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Rasmussen 2012 GOP Nomination Poll

• Mitt Romney 34% (28%) {30%} [29%] (17%) {23%} [29%] (24%) {18%} [22%] (33%) {17%} [24%] (20%)  
  
• Newt Gingrich 27% (35%) {27%} [16%] (38%) {14%} [10%] (9%) {5%} [6%] (9%) {9%} [11%] (13%)
• Rick Santorum 18% (16%) {15%} [21%] (4%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {1%}  
• Ron Paul 11% (10%) {13%} [12%] (8%) {7%} [5%] (6%) {9%} [10%] (7%) {8%} [4%] (5%)

Note: Romney claims 33% of the male vote to Gingrich’s 30% but holds a wider 35% to 24% lead among female voters.

Very Conservative

• Newt Gingrich 41% (49%) {35%}
• Rick Santorum 28% (21%) {18%}
  
• Mitt Romney 17% (16%) {25%}
  
• Ron Paul 6% (7%)

Somewhat Conservative

• Mitt Romney 45% (33%) {33%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% (32%) {23%}
  

Among Tea Party Voters

• Newt Gingrich 35% (52%) {39%}
• Mitt Romney 25% (16%) {21%}
• Rick Santorum 25% (20%) {20%}
  

Note: Among Republicans who are not Tea Party members, Romney is well ahead with 41% to Gingrich’s 22%.

Among Evangelical Christians

• Newt Gingrich 38% (43%) {36%}
• Mitt Romney 24% (17%) {19%}
• Rick Santorum 24% (19%) {16%}
  

Note: Romney holds double-digit leads over his nearest rivals among other Protestants, Catholics and Republicans of other faiths.

If the 2012 Republican Primary for president were held today and you only had a choice between Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, for whom would you vote?

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Newt Gingrich 40%

If the 2012 Republican Primary for president were held today and you only had a choice between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, for whom would you vote?

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Rick Santorum 38%

If the 2012 Republican Primary for president were held today and you only had a choice between Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, for whom would you vote?

• Mitt Romney 58%
• Ron Paul 30%

Survey of 1,000 likely GOP primary voters was conducted February 6, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 23, 2012 are in  Results from the poll conducted January 17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 2, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 26, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 1, 2010 are in parentheses.