Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Virginia 2012 Senate Poll

Likely Voters

• Tim Kaine (D) 46%
• George Allen (R) 46%
• Undecided 8%

Registered Voters

• Tim Kaine (D) 46% [49%] (48%)
• George Allen (R) 45% [43%] (39%)
• Undecided 9% [9%] (14%)

Survey of 1,315 registered voters, including 996 likely voters, was conducted September 9-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.1 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among registered voters): 30% [31%] Democrat; 24% [29%] Republican; 44% [39%] Independent.  Party ID (among likely voters): 31% Democrat; 26% Republican; 43% Independent.  Ideology (among registered voters): 40% [38%] Moderate; 30% [30%] Conservative; 16% [17%] Liberal; 9% [10%] Very conservative; 5% [5%] Very liberal. Ideology (among likely voters): 39% Moderate; 31% Conservative; 16% Liberal; 10% Very conservative; 5% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 2, 2012 are in parentheses.