Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2012 Republican Nomination Survey 

• Mitt Romney 17% (16%)
• Rick Perry 15% (14%)
• Rudy Giuliani 12% (13%)
• Sarah Palin 12% (13%)
• Ron Paul 12% (8%)
• Michele Bachmann 7% (12%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% (4%)
• Herman Cain 4% (6%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (3%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)
• Someone else (vol.) 2% (1%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% (8%)
• No opinion 2% (1%)

Among Republicans (MoE: +/-6.0%)

• Rick Perry 21% (15%)
• Mitt Romney 17% (18%)
• Sarah Palin 15% (14%)
• Rudy Giuliani 10% (12%)
• Ron Paul 10% (8%)
• Michele Bachmann 6% (9%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (1%)
• Newt Gingrich 4% (4%)
• Herman Cain 3% (4%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 1% (2%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents (MoE: +/-7.0%)

• Mitt Romney 16% (12%)
• Ron Paul 14% (9%)
• Rudy Giuliani 13% (14%)
• Sarah Palin 9% (10%)
• Michele Bachmann 7% (15%)
• Rick Perry 7% (14%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% (4%)
• Herman Cain 6% (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (3%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (1%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)

Among Men (MoE: +/-6.5%)

• Ron Paul 17% (8%)
• Rick Perry 13% (20%)
• Rudy Giuliani 12% (12%)
• Mitt Romney 12% (17%)
• Sarah Palin 10% (9%)
• Michele Bachmann 9% (13%)
• Newt Gingrich 7% (4%)
• Herman Cain 5% (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (0%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (3%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (1%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)

Among Women (MoE: +/-7.0%)

• Mitt Romney 22% (15%)
• Rick Perry 16% (8%)
• Sarah Palin 15% (17%)
• Rudy Giuliani 11% (14%)
• Ron Paul 5% (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (1%)
• Michele Bachmann 4% (9%)
• Newt Gingrich 3% (4%)
• Herman Cain 3% (4%)
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (3%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 1% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)

If Rudy Giuliani and Sarah Palin don't run

• Mitt Romney 23% (22%)
• Rick Perry 18% (17%)
• Ron Paul 14% (12%)
• Michele Bachmann 9% (14%)
• Newt Gingrich 8% (5%)
• Herman Cain 5% (7%)
• Jon Huntsman 5% (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 3% (4%)
• Rick Santorum 3% (2%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Thaddeus McCotter 0% (0%)
• Someone else (vol.) 2% (3%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% (10%)
• No opinion 4% (2%)

Survey of 449 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted August 5-7, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2011 are in parentheses.

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