Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Survey 

• Herman Cain 30% (27%) {9%} [9%] (9%) {21%}
• Newt Gingrich 22% (17%) {8%} [11%] (9%) {14%}
• Mitt Romney 19% (17%) {12%} [16%] (23%) {25%}
• Rick Perry 10% (15%) {35%} [17%] (14%)
• Michele Bachmann 4% (6%) {8%} [17%] (22%) {10%}
• Ron Paul 4% (6%) {10%} [11%] (6%) {9%}
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%) {4%}
• Jon Huntsman 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {1%}
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Someone else/Undecided 8% (8%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {10%}

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 34%
• Might end up supporting someone else 66%

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 19%
• Herman Cain 18%
• Mitt Romney 12%
• Rick Perry 10%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Ron Paul 4%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Someone else/Undecided 26%

If the Republican race for President came down to Mitt Romney and Herman Cain, who would you vote for?

• Herman Cain 49%
• Mitt Romney 37%
• Not sure 14%

If the Republican race for President came down to Herman Cain and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Herman Cain 53%
• Rick Perry 28%
• Not sure 19%

If the Republican race for President came down to Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Rick Perry 35%
• Not sure 16%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Herman Cain 67% / 18% {+49%}
• Newt Gingrich 65% (58%) {42%} {38%} [55%] (62%) {61%} [63%] / 25% (31%) {43%} {47%} [25%] (18%) {21%} [21%] {+40%}
• Mitt Romney 53% (50%) {45%} [46%] (56%) {53%} [56%] (50%) {57%} [49%] / 30% (31%) {38%} [35%] (28%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {+23%}
• Rick Perry 39% (44%) {61%} [40%] / 41% (37%) {17%} [16%] {-2%}
• Michele Bachmann 36% (41%) {47%} [45%] (55%) / 38% (39%) {33%} [30%] (27%) {-2%}
• Ron Paul 27% (34%) / 48% (45%) {-21%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 31%
• No 54%

Survey of 474 likely North Carolina Republican primary voters was conducted October 27-31, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 78% Republican; 19% Independent/Other; 4% Democrat.  Political ideology: 40% (37%) {36%} [37%] (39%) {37%} Somewhat conservative; 36% (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {39%} Very conservative; 17% (16%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} Moderate; 4% (4%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 3% (2%) {2%} [3%] (1%) {3%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.