Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Pew Research 2012 GOP Nomination Poll

• Newt Gingrich 33% (16%) {8%} [3%] (11%)
• Mitt Romney 21% (23%) {22%} [21%] (21%)
• Ron Paul 8% (8%) {12%} [9%] (8%)
• Michele Bachmann 6% (5%) {6%} [11%]
• Rick Perry 4% (8%) {17%} [12%]
• Rick Santorum 3% (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
• Jon Huntsman 3% (1%) {1%} [2%]

Very Likely Republican Primary Voters

• Newt Gingrich 35%
• Mitt Romney 21% 
• Ron Paul 8%
• Rick Perry 5%
• Michele Bachmann 5%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Jon Huntsman 2%

Apart from who you would like to see nominated, which Republican candidate do you think has the best chance of defeating Barack Obama next November?

• Newt Gingrich 35% (13%)
• Mitt Romney 28% (30%)
• Rick Perry 2% (6%)
• Ron Paul 2% (2%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (0%)
• Michele Bachmann 1% (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (0%)

Survey of 504 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents, including a subsample of 392 very likely GOP primary voters, was conducted December 7-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points among all registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents; +/- 6.0 percentage points among very likely GOP primary voters.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 22 - October 4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses.