Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 47% [46%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 43% [44%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 48%
• Tim Pawlenty 40%

• Barack Obama 49%
• Michele Bachmann 40%

• Barack Obama 48%
• Herman Cain 37%

• Barack Obama 52% [52%] (52%)
• Sarah Palin 40% [39%] (38%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the vote in Florida. In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the vote in FL.

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 80% [79%] (76%)
• Barack Obama 10% [10%] (12%)

• Sarah Palin 78% [74%] (63%)
• Barack Obama 10% [15%] (20%)

• Tim Pawlenty 75%
• Barack Obama 8%

• Michele Bachmann 76%
• Barack Obama 10%

• Herman Cain 71%
• Barack Obama 9%

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 80% [80%] (76%)
• Mitt Romney 12% [15%] (20%)

• Barack Obama 83% [86%] (76%)
• Sarah Palin 12% [11%] (19%)

• Barack Obama 82%
• Michele Bachmann 10%

• Barack Obama 84%
• Tim Pawlenty 9%

• Barack Obama 82%
• Herman Cain 7%

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 44% [41%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [39%] (28%)

• Barack Obama 46%
• Tim Pawlenty 40%

• Barack Obama 48%
• Michele Bachmann 38%

• Barack Obama 48%
• Herman Cain 36%

• Barack Obama 60% [52%] (67%)
• Sarah Palin 29% [34%] (26%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 45% of the Independent vote in Florida (29% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 41% of the Independent vote in FL (23% of the electorate). 

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% [67%] (62%)
• Mitt Romney 31% [21%] (28%)

• Barack Obama 59%
• Tim Pawlenty 28%

• Barack Obama 61%
• Michele Bachmann 24%

• Barack Obama 61%
• Herman Cain 22%

• Barack Obama 67% [74%] (70%)
• Sarah Palin 26% [16%] (19%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 41% of the Moderate vote in Florida (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 43% of the Moderate vote in FL (47% of the electorate).

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [47%] (45%)
• Barack Obama 44% [42%] (46%)

• Tim Pawlenty 47%
• Barack Obama 44%

• Michele Bachmann 45%
• Barack Obama 45%

• Barack Obama 44%
• Herman Cain 42%

• Barack Obama 49% [48%] (52%)
• Sarah Palin 43% [43%] (40%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 47% of the Male vote in Florida (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 53% of the Male vote in FL (46% of the electorate).

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% [49%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 38% [41%] (42%)

• Barack Obama 52%
• Michele Bachmann 35%

• Barack Obama 54% [56%] (52%)
• Sarah Palin 36% [35%] (36%)

• Barack Obama 53%
• Tim Pawlenty 33%

• Barack Obama 52%
• Herman Cain 31%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 47% of the Female vote in Florida (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 50% of the Female vote in FL (54% of the electorate).

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Michele Bachmann 36% / 37% {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 41% [39%] (43%) / 45% [39%] (38%) {-4%}
• Herman Cain 25% / 33% {-8%}
• Tim Pawlenty 19% / 39% {-20%}
• Sarah Palin 37% [32%] (36%) / 58% [60%] (57%) {-21%}

Among Republicans

• Sarah Palin 72% [59%] (62%) / 22% [33%] (34%) {+50%}
• Mitt Romney 61% [59%] (58%) / 27% [26%] (26%) {+34%}
• Michele Bachmann 54% / 22% {+32%}
• Herman Cain 44% / 19% {+25%}
• Tim Pawlenty 34% / 24% {+10%}

Among Democrats

• Michele Bachmann 25% / 48% {-23%}
• Mitt Romney 23% [19%] (31%) / 60% [53%] (43%) {-37%}
• Herman Cain 9% / 46% {-37%}
• Tim Pawlenty 7% / 51% {-44%}
• Sarah Palin 11% [10%] (15%) / 85% [84%] (75%) {-74%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 43% [43%] (36%) / 45% [32%] (51%) {-2%}
• Herman Cain 27% / 29% {-2%}
• Michele Bachmann 29% / 41% {-12%}
• Tim Pawlenty 16% / 42% {-26%}
• Sarah Palin 27% [28%] (30%) / 67% [58%] (66%) {-40%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 42% [33%] (31%) / 44% [44%] (43%) {-2%}
• Michele Bachmann 25% / 46% {-21%}
• Herman Cain 17% / 41% {-24%}
• Tim Pawlenty 12% / 47% {-35%}
• Sarah Palin 26% [12%] (17%) / 69% [82%] (71%) {-43%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% [42%] (44%) / 42% [37%] (43%) {+4%}
• Michele Bachmann 36% / 39% {-3%}
• Herman Cain 27% / 38% {-11%}
• Sarah Palin 41% [36%] (42%) / 53% [56%] (54%) {-12%}
• Tim Pawlenty 22% / 47% {-25%}

Among Women

• Michele Bachmann 37% / 35% {+2%}
• Herman Cain 23% / 28% {-5%}
• Mitt Romney 37% [36%] (42%) / 46% [40%] (32%) {-9%}
• Tim Pawlenty 16% / 32% {-16%}
• Sarah Palin 33% [28%] (31%) / 63% [63%] (60%) {-30%}

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 48% [47%] / 38% [35%] {+10%}
• Michele Bachmann 38% / 35% {+3%}
• Herman Cain 28% / 27% {+1%}
• Sarah Palin 47% [38%] / 47% [54%] {0%}
• Tim Pawlenty 23% / 34% {-11%}

Among Blacks

• Michele Bachmann 33% / 42% {-9%}
• Mitt Romney 17% [11%] / 66% [66%] {-49%}
• Herman Cain 6% / 57% {-51%}
• Tim Pawlenty 3% / 61% {-58%}
• Sarah Palin 6% [5%] / 92% [88%] {-86%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48% [48%] (45%)
• Disapprove 49% [47%] (49%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 10% [10%] (13%)
• Disapprove 87% [85%] (81%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 81% [81%] (69%)
• Disapprove 15% [13%] (24%)

Among Independents

• Approve 48% [49%] (59%)
• Disapprove 49% [44%] (35%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 59% [73%] (62%)
• Disapprove 37% [24%] (30%)

Among Men

• Approve 44% [44%] (45%)
• Disapprove 53% [51%] (52%)

Among Women

• Approve 52% [52%] (45%)
• Disapprove 45% [42%] (46%)

Have Rick Scott’s actions as Governor made it more or less likely that you’ll vote for a Republican for President next year, or has it not made a difference?

• More likely 26%
• Less likely 40%
• Hasn't made a difference 34%

Among Republicans

• More likely 43%
• Less likely 17%
• Hasn't made a difference 40%

Among Independents

• More likely 18%
• Less likely 45%
• Hasn't made a difference 37%

Among Moderates

• More likely 18%
• Less likely 51%
• Hasn't made a difference 31%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio’s job performance?

• Approve 42% [43%]
• Disapprove 35% [31%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 75% [70%]
• Disapprove 13% [10%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 17% [17%]
• Disapprove 55% [51%]

Among Independents

• Approve 36% [44%]
• Disapprove 30% [31%]

Among Moderates

• Approve 27% [21%]
• Disapprove 45% [47%]

Among Men

• Approve 47% [50%]
• Disapprove 32% [30%]

Among Women

• Approve 37% [35%]
• Disapprove 37% [31%]

If Marco Rubio was the Republican candidate for Vice President next year, would that make you more or less likely to vote for the Republican Presidential nominee, or would it not make a difference?

• More likely 31%
• Less likely 35%
• Wouldn't make a difference 34%

Among Independents

• More likely 27%
• Less likely 37%
• Wouldn't make a difference 36%

Among Moderates

• More likely 22%
• Less likely 46%
• Wouldn't make a difference 32%

Among Men

• More likely 31%
• Less likely 33%
• Wouldn't make a difference 36%

Among Women

• More likely 30%
• Less likely 37%
• Wouldn't make a difference 33%

Survey of 848 Florida voters was conducted June 16-19, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% [41%] (42%) Democrat; 36% [37%] (40%) Republican; 21% [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [30%] Moderate; 23% [26%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [21%] Very conservative; 17% [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.