Poll Watch: Suffolk University/7NEWS New Hampshire 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Suffolk University/7NEWS New Hampshire 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Mitt Romney 36% (35%)
• Michele Bachmann 11% (3%)
• Ron Paul 8% (8%)
• Rudy Giuliani 5% (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 4% (0%)
• Sarah Palin 4% (7%)
• Herman Cain 2% (2%)
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (5%)
• Rick Perry 2%
• Newt Gingrich 2% (3%)
• George Pataki 1%
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%)
• John Bolton 0% (1%)
• Jim DeMint 0%
• Gary Johnson 0% (1%)
• Fred Karger 0% (0%)
• Roy Moore 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Undecided 21% (13%)

If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out of the race, who would you vote for instead?

• Mitt Romney 14% (17%)
• Michele Bachmann 12% (4%)
• Rudy Giuliani 6% (9%)
• Tim Pawlenty 6% (3%)
• Sarah Palin 5% (4%)
• Ron Paul 4% (6%)
• Rick Santorum 4% (1%)
• Newt Gingrich 3% (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 3% (1%)
• Herman Cain 2% (1%)
• Rick Perry 2%
• Gary Johnson 1% (1%)
• Jim DeMint 0%
• Fred Karger 0% (0%)
• Roy Moore 0% (0%)
• John Bolton 0% (0%)
• George Pataki 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Undecided 38% (30%)

Despite who you're personally voting for, who do you expect the next president will be - Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?

• Mitt Romney 27% (20%)
• Barack Obama 24% (28%)
• Michele Bachmann 7% (1%)
• Ron Paul 2% (1%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (1%)
• Sarah Palin 2% (2%)
• Tim Pawlenty 1% (2%)
• Rudy Giuliani 1% (2%)
• Rick Perry 1%
• Newt Gingrich 1% (1%)
• John Bolton 0% (1%)
• Herman Cain 0% (1%)
• Jim DeMint 0%
• Jon Huntsman 0% (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Fred Karger 0% (0%)
• Roy Moore 0% (0%)
• George Pataki 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Undecided 34% (30%)

Of the Republican candidates we've discussed thus far, who do you feel is the most conservative?

• Michele Bachmann 15% (8%)
• Ron Paul 13% (18%)
• Mitt Romney 11% (8%)
• Sarah Palin 7% (7%)
• Newt Gingrich 6% (13%)
• Rick Santorum 5% (2%)
• Herman Cain 3% (1%)
• Tim Pawlenty 2% (2%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% (1%)
• Rudy Giuliani 1% (0%)
• John Bolton 1% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% (0%)
• Jim DeMint 0%
• Gary Johnson 0% (0%)
• Fred Karger 0% (0%)
• Roy Moore 0% (0%)
• George Pataki 0%
• Undecided 36% (30%)

Who do you feel is the least conservative?

• Mitt Romney 14% (14%)
• Newt Gingrich 10% (2%)
• Jon Huntsman 8% (1%)
• Ron Paul 7% (5%)
• Sarah Palin 5% (8%)
• Rudy Giuliani 5% (11%)
• Michele Bachmann 2% (1%)
• Gary Johnson 1% (0%)
• Tim Pawlenty 1% (2%)
• Roy Moore 1% (0%)
• George Pataki 0%
• Rick Santorum 0% (0%)
• Jim DeMint 0%
• John Bolton 0% (0%)
• Herman Cain 0% (0%)
• Fred Karger 0% (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% (0%)
• Undecided 47% (39%)

Which candidate can you count on most to tell you the truth?

• Mitt Romney 18%
• Michele Bachmann 10%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Rudy Giuliani 6%
• Sarah Palin 5%
• Herman Cain 3%
• Jon Huntsman 3%
• Rick Santorum 2%
• Newt Gingrich 1%
• Tim Pawlenty 1%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• John Bolton 1%
• Jim DeMint 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Roy Moore 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Rick Perry 0%
• Undecided 42%

Which candidate do you trust the most?

• Mitt Romney 27%
• Michele Bachmann 9%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Rudy Giuliani 6%
• Jon Huntsman 4%
• Sarah Palin 4%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Herman Cain 2%
• Newt Gingrich 2%
• Tim Pawlenty 2%
• John Bolton 1%
• Jim DeMint 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Roy Moore 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Rick Perry 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 33%

Which candidate do you trust the least?

• Newt Gingrich 19%
• Sarah Palin 17%
• Mitt Romney 10%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Michele Bachmann 2%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• John Bolton 1%
• Herman Cain 1%
• Rudy Giuliani 1%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Jim DeMint 0%
• Fred Karger 0%
• Roy Moore 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Rick Perry 0%
• Tim Pawlenty 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 38%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 64% (65%) / 19% (22%) {+45%}
• Michele Bachmann 44% (25%) / 22% (22%) {+22%}
• Tim Pawlenty 34% (30%) / 15% (13%) {+19%}
• Herman Cain 24% / 15% {+9%}
• Rick Santorum 27% / 20% {+7%}
• Jon Hunstman 19% (8%) / 18% (7%) {+1%}
• Ron Paul 36% (41%) / 36% (32%) {0%}
• Sarah Palin 37% (42%) / 50% (46%) {-13%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% (38%) / 56% (38%) {-32%}
• Barack Obama 25% (36%) / 70% (59%) {-45%}

How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?

• Very satisfied 18% (10%)
• Somewhat satisfied 48% (43%)
• Somewhat dissatisfied 18% (27%)
• Very dissatisfied 10% (13%)

Mitt Romney has changed his position on several social issues. Do those changes disqualify him from getting your vote?

• Yes 24%
• No 69%

Thinking about Mitt Romney, does his involvement in helping to pass Massachusetts's universal health care make you more likely to vote for him, less likely, or does it not affect your decision?

• More likely 10% (14%)
• Less likely 26% (29%)
• No effect 61% (53%)

Do you agree or disagree that raising taxes should be an option for helping to reduce the national debt?

• Agree 28% (32%)
• Disagree 67% (63%)

Do you think that the near-universal health care bill passed by Democrats last year should be repealed, modified or left alone?

• Repealed 53% (52%)
• Modified 27% (34%)
• Left alone 13% (10%)

What do you think is the most important issue facing the country right now?

• Jobs and the economy 46%
• Reducing the national debt 19%
• Military involvement in Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya 5%
• Health care 4%
• Illegal immigration 4%
• Terrorism and National security 3%
• Energy independence 3%
• Taxes 3%
• Schools and education 3%
• Abortion policy 2%
• Same-sex marriage 1%
• Civil liberties 1%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted June 25-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 48% (50%) Republican; 39% (38%) Independent; 9% (10%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 54% (45%) Conservative; 38% (43%) Moderate; 6% (9%) Liberal.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 2, 2011 are in parentheses.