Friday, June 17, 2011

Poll Watch: NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary

NH Journal/Magellan Strategies (R) New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 69% [73%] / 22% [16%] {+47%}
  • Michele Bachmann 55% / 28% {+27%}
  • Rudy Giuliani 53% / 35% {+18%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 42% [30%] / 29% [14%] {+13%}
  • Sarah Palin 51% [59%] / 41% [31%] {+10%}
  • Herman Cain 39% / 30% {+9%}
  • Rick Santorum 33% [27%] / 36% [20%] {-3%}
  • Ron Paul 40% [41%] / 47% [29%] {-7%}
  • Jon Huntsman 14% / 36% {-22%}
  • Newt Gingrich 29% [52%] / 62% [32%] {-33%}
Among Republicans
  • Mitt Romney 74% / 19% {+55%}
  • Michele Bachmann 59% / 24% {+35%}
  • Rudy Giuliani 55% / 33% {+22%}
  • Sarah Palin 55% / 37% {+18%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 45% / 28% {+17%}
  • Herman Cain 40% / 30% {+10%}
  • Rick Santorum 37% / 33% {+4%}
  • Ron Paul 40% / 48% {-8%}
  • Newt Gingrich 32% / 59% {-27%}
  • Jon Huntsman 11% / 40% {-29%}
Among GOP-Leaning Independents
  • Mitt Romney 56% / 30% {+26%}
  • Rudy Giuliani 48% / 41% {+7%}
  • Herman Cain 36% / 29% {+7%}
  • Michele Bachmann 44% / 39% {+5%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 35% / 30% {+5%}
  • Jon Huntsman 23% / 24% {-1%}
  • Ron Paul 40% / 44% {-4%}
  • Sarah Palin 40% / 53% {-13%}
  • Rick Santorum 21% / 44% {-23%}
  • Newt Gingrich 22% / 71% {-49%}
Did you watch the WMUR/Manchester Union Leader/CNN Republican presidential debate on Monday night?
  • Yes 54%
  • No 46%
Among the candidates that participated in Monday night's debate, who do you think had the strongest performance?

Among Respondents Who Watched the Debate
  • Mitt Romney 39%
  • Michele Bachmann 28%
  • Ron Paul 8%
  • Newt Gingrich 6%
  • Herman Cain 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty 2%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • None of the candidates 4%
  • Undecided 7%
If the 2012 Republican presidential primary election was being held today, for whom would you vote if the candidates were Mitt Romney, Ron Paul, Newt Gingrich, Tim Pawlenty, Michele Bachmann, Rick Santorum, Herman Cain, Jon Huntsman, Rudy Giuliani, or Sarah Palin?
  • Mitt Romney 42% [39%] (40%)
  • Ron Paul 10% [7%] (6%)
  • Michele Bachmann 10%
  • Sarah Palin 7% [16%] (11%)
  • Rudy Giuliani 6%
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% [4%] (5%)
  • Herman Cain 4%
  • Newt Gingrich 3% [8%] (16%)
  • Jon Huntsman 3%
  • Rick Santorum 2% [3%] (2%)
  • Undecided/Unsure 8% [8%] (6%)
Survey of 727 likely Republican primary voters (538 Republicans and 189 Independents) was conducted June 14-15, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.63 percentage points.  Click here to view crosstabs.  Party ID breakdown: 74% [67%] (66%) Republican; 26% [33%] (34%) Independent.  Political ideology: Conservative 63% [81%] (68%); Moderate 32% [15%] (26%); Liberal 4% [1%] (6%).  Results from the poll conducted January 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25, 2010 are in parentheses.

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