Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 36% (23%) {24%} [23%] (27%)
• Rick Santorum 33% (3%)
• Newt Gingrich 16% (28%) {10%} [15%] (19%)
• Ron Paul 9% (8%) {12%} [5%] (9%)
• Someone else/Not sure 7% (9%) {8%} [16%] (19%)

Very Conservative (42%)

• Rick Santorum 44% 
• Mitt Romney 31% 
• Newt Gingrich 16%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Someone else/Not sure 4% 

Somewhat Conservative (35%)

• Mitt Romney 43% 
• Rick Santorum 29% 
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Someone else/Not sure 7% 

Among Men

• Rick Santorum 35% 
• Mitt Romney 34% 
• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Ron Paul 11%
• Someone else/Not sure 2%

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 39% 
• Rick Santorum 31% 
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Someone else/Not sure 12% 

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 56% (42%)
• Might end up supporting someone else 44% (58%)

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 25% (1%)
• Mitt Romney 21% (15%)
• Newt Gingrich 16% (21%)
• Ron Paul 9% (5%)
• Someone else/Not sure 29% (28%)

If the Republican candidates for President were just Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 43%
• Mitt Romney 41%
• Ron Paul 9%
• Not sure 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 61% / 27% {+34%}
• Mitt Romney 58% (56%) {60%} [62%] / 34% (34%) {25%} [22%] {+24%}
• Newt Gingrich 43% (66%) {47%} [59%] / 48% (25%) {33%} [22%] {-5%}
• Ron Paul 30% (41%) / 57% (46%) {-27%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 32% (31%)
• No 55% (57%)

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Joe Arpaio, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 32%
• Less likely 24%
• Doesn't make a difference 44%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Jan Brewer, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 25%
• Less likely 21%
• Doesn't make a difference 54%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by John McCain, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 15%
• Less likely 30%
• Doesn't make a difference 53%

Survey of 412 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 17-19, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Political ideology: 42% (39%) {34%} Very conservative; 35% (36%) {39%} Somewhat conservative; 17% (15%) {22%} Moderate; 4% (6%) {3%} Somewhat liberal; 1% (4%) {1%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-25, 2010 are in parentheses.