Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

• Pat Roberts (R) 47% {41%} [34%] (32%)
• Greg Orman (I) 46% {44%} [41%] (23%)
  
• Randall Batson (L) 3% {5%} [4%] (3%)
• Undecided 4% {10%} [15%] (17%)

Survey of 752 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Party ID: 53% {52%} [51%] (50%) Republican; 31% {28%} [26%] (30%) Democrat; 16% {20%} [22%] (20%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll

• Joni Ernst (R) 48% [47%] (45%) {42%} [39%] (35%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 47% [48%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (41%)
• Undecided 5% [5%] (12%) {16%} [16%] (23%)

Survey of 617 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2014 on behalf of the Center for American Progress Action Fund. Party ID: 41% [36%] (35%) {35%} [38%] (37%) Democrat; 37% [37%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (31%) Republican; 22% [27%] (29%) {31%} [28%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-16, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 22-24, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 47% (48%) {44%} [45%] (46%) (46%) {47%} [50%] (43%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 44% (45%) {46%} [48%] (45%) (45%) {44%} [41%] (38%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 5% (3%) {4%} [3%] (3%) (4%) {5%} [3%] (6%)
• Undecided 4% (5%) {7%} [4%] (6%) (6%) {4%} [6%] (14%)

Among Men

• David Perdue (R) 51% (50%) {50%} [49%] (51%) (50%) {55%} [56%] (50%)
• Michelle Nunn (D) 39% (41%) {41%} [46%] (40%) (40%) {36%} [37%] (33%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 5% (4%) {4%} [3%] (3%) (4%) {6%} [2%] (6%)
• Undecided 5% (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) (6%) {3%} [4%] (11%)

Among Women

• Michelle Nunn (D) 49% (48%) {51%} [50%] (49%) (49%) {52%} [46%] (44%)
• David Perdue (R) 43% (46%) {38%} [41%] (41%) (41%) {40%} [44%] (35%)
• Amanda Swafford (L) 5% (2%) {3%} [3%] (4%) (4%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
• Undecided 2% (5%) {8%} [5%] (5%) (6%) {4%} [7%] (16%)

Survey of 591 likely and actual voters was conducted October 30 - November 2, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (40%) {39%} [38%] (38%) (37%) {40%} [38%] (35%) Democrat; 36% (39%) {39%} [39%] (35%) (38%) {37%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 24% (21%) {22%} [22%] (25%) (23%) {23%} [21%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 44% (42%) {40%} [43%] (41%) (41%) {36%} [38%] (38%) Moderate; 37% (37%) {40%} [39%] (38%) (36%) {42%} [44%] (40%) Conservative; 14% (15%) {15%} [14%] (14%) (17%) {17%} [13%] (15%) Liberal.  Gender: 52% (52%) {52%} [51%] (52%) (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) Female; 48% (48%) {48%} [49%] (48%) (50%) {49%} [52%] (53%) Male.  Race: 64% (62%) {63%} [61%] (62%) (63%) {62%} [63%] (65%) White; 26% (31%) {28%} [27%] (30%) (27%) {29%} [26%] (24%) Black. Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Nathan Deal (R) 47% (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (48%) {44%} [43%] (41%)
• Jason Carter (D) 42% (44%) {43%} [46%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (39%) {38%} [37%] (37%)
• Andrew Hunt (L) 5% (3%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {7%} [7%] (9%)

Survey of 591 likely and actual voters was conducted October 30 - November 2, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 24-27, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-12, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Charlie Crist the Democrat, Rick Scott the Republican and Adrian Wyllie the Libertarian, for whom would you vote?

• Charlie Crist (D) 42% {43%} [42%] (42%) {39%}
• Rick Scott (R) 41% {40%} [42%] (44%) {37%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% {8%} [7%] (8%) {9%}

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 84% {83%} [86%] (83%) {73%}
• Rick Scott (R) 6% {7%} [5%] (7%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 2% {3%} [3%] (6%) {6%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 81% {81%} [81%] (80%) {74%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 8% {8%} [7%] (11%) {9%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% {4%} [6%] (7%) {5%}

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 39% {47%} [41%] (37%) {36%}
• Rick Scott (R) 32% {29%} [38%] (44%) {34%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 16% {16%} [11%] (11%) {12%}

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 47% {47%} [46%] (48%) {45%}
• Charlie Crist (D) 34% {37%} [38%] (40%) {32%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 8% {9%} [10%] (8%) {9%}

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 50% {49%} [45%] (43%) {45%}
• Rick Scott (R) 35% {35%} [39%] (41%) {30%}
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 6% {6%} [6%] (8%) {8%}

Recalculated match-up, asking Wyllie voters: Who is your second choice?

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% {45%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (50%)
• Rick Scott (R) 42% {42%} [44%] (46%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [37%] (34%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 85% {84%} [87%] (86%) {78%} [82%] (81%) {86%} [83%] (81%)
• Rick Scott (R) 6% {8%} [6%] (8%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 82% {83%} [85%] (81%) {79%} [79%] (79%) {80%} [75%] (76%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 10% {9%} [8%] (14%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (16%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (D) 41% {53%} [46%] (39%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {44%} [45%] (49%)
• Rick Scott (R) 34% {33%} [40%] (47%) {38%} [34%] (32%) {41%} [33%] (29%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (50%) {48%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [43%] (39%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 35% {39%} [41%] (43%) {39%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (49%)  

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 52% {51%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [51%] (50%) {50%} [51%] (51%)
• Rick Scott (R) 36% {37%} [40%] (43%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {34%} [32%] (29%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Charlie Crist 43% {45%} [42%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (44%) {41%} [48%] (49%) / 50% {45%} [47%] (49%) {42%} [36%] (35%) {39%} [31%] (30%) {-7%}
• Rick Scott 42% {41%} [40%] (42%) {40%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [40%] (33%) / 49% {46%} [48%] (48%) {45%} [46%] (45%) {42%} [42%] (46%) {-7%}

Survey of 817 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {33%} [33%] (32%) {28%} [25%] (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 35% {31%} [30%] (30%) {31%} [31%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 23% {27%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [34%] (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 7% {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [11%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

• Joni Ernst (R) 47% (49%) {48%} [47%] (50%) {40%} [29%] (38%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 47% (45%) {46%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (44%)

Among Men

• Joni Ernst (R) 52% (56%) {55%} [56%] (56%) {44%} [33%] (44%)
• Bruce Braley (D) 44% (39%) {38%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [40%] (39%)

Among Women

• Bruce Braley (D) 51% (50%) {53%} [52%] (50%) {47%} [44%] (49%)
• Joni Ernst (R) 42% (42%) {40%} [39%] (44%) {36%} [27%] (31%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joni Ernst 47% (45%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {34%} [13%] / 45% (43%) {42%} [41%] (39%) {28%} [6%] {+2%}
• Bruce Braley 43% (40%) {43%} [42%] (38%) {35%} [35%] / 45% (43%) {43%} [44%] (41%) {26%} [18%] {-2%}

Survey of 778 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 34% (31%) {32%} [30%] (26%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Democrat; 31% (35%) {31%} [29%] (28%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 32% (30%) {32%} [34%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (40%) Independent; 4% (4%) {6%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?

• Dan Malloy (D) 43% (43%) {43%} [43%] (40%)
• Tom Foley (R) 42% (43%) {42%} [43%] (46%)
  
• Joe Visconti (I) 8% (7%) {9%} [9%] (7%)

Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:

• Dan Malloy (D) 47% (45%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)
• Tom Foley (R) 44% (46%) {45%} [46%] (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 42% (43%) {40%} [41%] (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 44% (43%) {46%} [39%] (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {-2%}
• Dan Malloy 43% (41%) {42%} [41%] (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 49% (52%) {50%} [51%] (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-6%}

Survey of 926 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (36%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 25% (25%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 35% (33%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 6% (5%) {6%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-6, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Bob Beauprez (R) 45% [45%] (44%) {46%} [40%] (44%) {39%}
  
• John Hickenlooper (D) 43% [40%] (45%) {42%} [50%] (43%) {48%}
• Matthew Hess (L) 3% [4%] (1%) {5%} [3%]
• Harry Hempy (G) 3% [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bob Beauprez 46% [47%] (45%) {45%} [49%] (31%) {27%} / 39% [34%] (39%) {36%} [31%] (25%) {20%} {+7%}
  
• John Hickenlooper 47% [46%] (51%) {48%} [43%] (43%) {51%} / 47% [46%] (42%) {44%} [51%] (42%) {37%} {0%}

Survey of 815 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [32%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 28% [27%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 33% [34%] (32%) {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% [7%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Cory Gardner (R) 45% [46%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (44%) {44%}
• Mark Udall (D) 43% [39%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (42%) {45%} 
• Steve Shogan (I) 6% [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] 

Among Independents

• Mark Udall (D) 43% [35%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (43%) {41%}
• Cory Gardner (R) 36% [37%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 13% [19%] (9%) {13%} [15%]  

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 47% [54%] (51%) {53%} [53%] (48%) {53%}
• Mark Udall (D) 38% [33%] (38%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 7% [6%] (6%) {9%} [9%]  

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 47% [45%] (45%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {52%} 
• Cory Gardner (R) 44% [39%] (41%) {40%} [43%] (40%) {35%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 5% [8%] (5%) {7%} [7%]  

Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?

• Cory Gardner (R) 46% [49%] (48%) {49%} [52%]
• Mark Udall (D) 45% [41%] (44%) {44%} [42%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Cory Gardner 46% [48%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (34%) {30%} / 45% [40%] (42%) {41%} [37%] (31%) {18%} {+1%}
• Mark Udall 44% [43%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%} / 50% [50%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (43%) {38%} {-6%} 

Among Independents

• Mark Udall 45% [38%] (46%) {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} / 45% [53%] (47%) {48%} [53%] (44%) {36%} {0%}
• Cory Gardner 38% [42%] (48%) {45%} [43%] (28%) {29%} / 50% [42%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (33%) {17%} {-12%}

Among Men

• Cory Gardner 48% [58%] (55%) {52%} [55%] (39%) {40%} / 41% [32%] (39%) {35%} [32%] (26%) {16%} {+7%}
• Mark Udall 39% [36%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (32%) {37%} / 55% [57%] (56%) {56%} [57%] (48%) {47%} {-16%}

Among Women

• Mark Udall 49% [49%] (50%) {49%} [47%] (46%) {49%} / 46% [44%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {31%} {+3%}
• Cory Gardner 45% [40%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (30%) {21%} / 48% [48%] (44%) {47%} [42%] (35%) {21%} {-3%}

Survey of 815 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [32%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 28% [27%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 33% [34%] (32%) {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% [7%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Maggie Hassan (D) 50% {52%} [46%] (49%) {57%} [49%]
• Walt Havenstein (R) 49% {37%} [36%] (32%) {31%} [19%]

Survey of 757 likely voters was conducted October 29 - November 2, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 22-26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% {50%} [47%] (46%) {52%} [45%] (47%) 
• Scott Brown (R) 48% {42%} [41%] (44%) {40%} [39%] (37%)

Survey of 757 likely voters was conducted October 29 - November 2, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 22-26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

If the election were held today, 46% of likely voters say they would vote for Shaheen, 43% would vote for Brown, 2% say they will vote for some other candidate and 10% are undecided. When undecided voters are asked which candidate they lean toward, the race becomes even closer – 47% say they will vote for Shaheen, 45% for Brown, 3% for some other candidate, and 6% remain undecided. When undecided voters are allocated to the candidate they are most likely to support, the final UNH prediction for the NH Senate race is 49% for Shaheen and 48% for Brown.

Almost all likely voters (90%) are firm in their choice while 10% say they could change their minds. Among voters who are firm in their choice, 53% say they will vote for Shaheen and 46% say they will vote for Brown. Among voters who say they might change their minds, 56% say they plan to vote for Brown and 30% say they will vote for Shaheen.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

The candidates for Governor this fall are Democrat John Hickenlooper, Republican Bob Beauprez, Green Party candidate Harry Hempy, Libertarian Matthew Hess, unaffiliated candidate Mike Dunafon, and unaffiliated candidate Paul Noel Fiorino. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Bob Beauprez (R) 45.9% {44%}
• John Hickenlooper (D) 45.9% {45%}
• Harry Hempy (G) 2% {2%}
• Matthew Hess (L) 2% {1%}
• Mike Dunafon (I) 1% {1%}
• Paul Noel Fiorino (I) 0% {0%}
• Undecided 3% {7%}

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Hickenlooper or Beauprez:

• Bob Beauprez (R) 49% (47%) {46%} [43%] (41%) {38%}
• John Hickenlooper (D) 48% (47%) {46%} [44%] (48%) {48%}

Survey of 739 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate this fall are Democrat Mark Udall, Republican Cory Gardner, Libertarian Gaylon Kent, Unity Party of Colorado candidate Bill Hammons, unaffiliated candidate Raul Acosta, and unaffiliated candidate Steve Shogan. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Cory Gardner (R) 48% {46%}
• Mark Udall (D) 45% {43%}
• Gaylon Kent (L) 2% {2%}
• Raul Acosta (I) 1% {1%}
• Bill Hammons (U) 0% {1%}
• Steve Shogan (I) 0% {1%}
• Undecided 3% {7%} 

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Udall or Gardner: 

• Cory Gardner (R) 50% (48%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (40%)
• Mark Udall (D) 47% (48%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [47%] (42%)

Among Independents

• Mark Udall (D) 52% (59%) {39%} [44%] (38%) {43%} [43%] (30%) 
• Cory Gardner (R) 41% (38%) {46%} [44%] (45%) {45%} [43%] (38%)

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 55% (54%) {51%} [54%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (45%)
• Mark Udall (D) 42% (43%) {40%} [38%] (38%) {43%} [44%] (42%)

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 51% (53%) {48%} [51%] (49%) {51%} [49%] (43%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 46% (42%) {43%} [41%] (35%) {39%} [40%] (36%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?

• Approve 38% {37%} (36%) {42%} (41%)
• Disapprove 51% {52%} (47%) {45%} (40%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  

• Favorable 49% (49%) {45%} (34%) {35%} (23%)
• Unfavorable 39% (45%) {42%} (39%) {42%} (25%)

Survey of 739 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (38%) {37%} [33%] (34%) {31%} [32%] (34%) Republican; 37% (37%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (33%) Democrat; 24% (25%) {29%} [34%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 7-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Dan Sullivan (R) 46% {43%} [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
• Mark Begich (D) 45% {41%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (47%)
• Mark Fish (L) 2% {3%} [4%]
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 2% {2%} [0%] (1%) {1%}

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Begich or Sullivan:

• Dan Sullivan (R) 47% {45%} [41%]
• Mark Begich (D) 46% {42%} [45%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Sullivan 43% {44%} [35%] (34%) {31%} [31%] (37%) / 45% {42%} [43%] (43%) {35%} [28%] (34%) {-2%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 43% {42%} [43%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 50% {51%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [41%] (39%)

Survey of 1,052 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% {28%} [32%] (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% {16%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 46% {56%} [47%] (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 30% {33%} [33%] (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 27% {28%} [25%] (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 18% {17%} [18%] (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% {15%} [16%] (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 10% {7%} [8%] (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 53.1% [65%] (65%)
• Elizabeth Warren 16.8%
• Bernie Sanders 7.0%
• Joe Biden 5.8% [8%] (10%)
• Martin O'Malley 2.3% [0.6%] (0%)
• Deval Patrick 1.4%
• Kirsten Gillibrand 1.2%
• Andrew Cuomo 1.2% [1.5%] (4%)
• Mark Warner 1.2%

Survey of 583 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.06 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 17.3%
• Chris Christie 14.7% [17.5%] (12%)
• Ted Cruz 10.4%
• Mike Huckabee 9.9%
• Rand Paul 7.9% [19%] (15%)
• Marco Rubio 7.4% [13%] (17%)
• Rick Perry 4.7% [2.1%]
• Rick Santorum 3.1% [5.5%] (4%)
• Bobby Jindal 2.6% [2.5%] (2%)

Survey of 717 likely GOP primary voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.66 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Maggie Hassan (D) 51.0% (47.2%) {50.7%} [48.7%] (51.4%) {47.9%} [52.0%] (51.3%)
• Walt Havenstein (R) 43.7% (46.9%) {42.5%} [43.5%] (41.3%) {44.1%} [39.6%] (36.2%)
• Another candidate 2.4% (2.2%) {2.6%} [2.7%] (3.0%) {2.9%} [3.8%] (3.9%)
• Not sure 2.9% (3.7%) {4.2%} [5.1%] (4.4%) {5.1%} [4.6%] (8.6%)

Survey of 1,526 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.51 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 24, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

• Scott Brown (R) 48.7% (48.3%) {47.7%} [48.0%] (45.9%) {46.6%} [42.8%] (40.2%)
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 48.2% (46.8%) {47.3%} [46.9%] (48.5%) {47.1%} [50.1%] (51.0%)
• Another candidate 1.4% (2.5%) {2.7%} [2.8%] (3.2%) {3.3%} [4.0%] (4.5%)
• Not sure 1.7% (2.4%) {2.3%} [2.3%] (2.3%) {2.9%} [3.2%] (4.2%)

Among Independents

• Scott Brown (R) 49.6% (45.2%) {48.7%} [47.5%] (41.8%) {48.7%} [42.4%] (39%) 
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47.0% (47.9%) {44.0%} [43.7%] (49.8%) {45.1%} [47.9%] (45%)
• Another candidate 1.2% (3.1%) {4.3%} [4.6%] (3.8%) {3.5%} [5.5%] (5%)
• Not sure 2.2% (3.7%) {3.0%} [4.3%] (4.5%) {2.7%} [4.1%] (12%)

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 53.2% (51.6%) {50.2%} [53.5%] (50.4%) {52.7%} [45.4%] (45%)
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44.3% (42.9%) {45.7%} [41.3%] (45.6%) {41.2%} [48.0%] (46%)
• Another candidate 1.4% (3.5%) {2.8%} [3.7%] (2.5%) {3.6%} [4.0%] (5%)
• Not sure 1.1% (2.0%) {1.2%} [1.5%] (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.6%] (4%)

Among Women

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 51.6% (50.2%) {48.7%} [51.7%] (51.1%) {53.0%} [52.2%] (56%)
• Scott Brown (R) 44.8% (45.5%) {45.4%} [43.1%] (41.9%) {40.6%} [40.2%] (36%)
• Another candidate 1.3% (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.0%] (3.9%) {3.1%} [3.9%] (4%)
• Not sure 2.2% (2.8%) {3.3%} [3.1%] (3.1%) {3.3%} [3.8%] (5%)

Survey of 1,526 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 1, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.51 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 24, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

The candidates for Governor are Republican Rick Snyder, Democrat Mark Schauer, Libertarian Mary Buzuma, Green Party candidate Paul Homeniuk, and U.S. Taxpayers Party candidate Mark McFarlin. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Rick Snyder (R) 46% [43%]
• Mark Schauer (D) 45% [42%]
• Mary Buzuma (L) 3% [3%]
• Paul Homeniuk (G) 1% [1%]
• Mark McFarlin (UST) 0% [2%]
• Undecided 5% [9%]

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Snyder or Schauer: 

• Rick Snyder (R) 47% [46%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (38%)
• Mark Schauer (D) 47% [44%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (42%)
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Snyder’s job performance?

• Approve 46% [43%] (37%) {40%} [42%] (40%)
  
• Disapprove 45% [51%] (54%) {48%} [49%] (52%)   

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Schauer 41% [35%] (27%) {22%} [15%] (15%) / 38% [33%] (24%) {23%} [21%] (23%) {+3%}

Survey of 914 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for U.S. Senate are Republican Terri Lynn Land, Democrat Gary Peters, Libertarian Jim Fulner, Green Party candidate Chris Wahmhoff, and U.S. Taxpayers Party candidate Richard Matkin. If the election was today, who would you vote for?

• Gary Peters (D) 51% [43%]
• Terri Lynn Land (R) 38% [36%]
• Jim Fulner (L) 2% [4%]
• Richard Matkin (UST) 1% [2%]
• Chris Wahmhoff (G) 1% [1%]
• Undecided 6% [13%]

Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Land or Peters: 

• Gary Peters (D) 54% [53%] (49%) {47%} [45%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (41%)
• Terri Lynn Land (R) 41% [39%] (42%) {40%} [40%] (36%) {36%} [42%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Gary Peters 46% [45%] (41%) [35%] (26%) {26%} [22%] (18%) / 32% [36%] (41%) [36%] (28%) {27%} [21%] (16%) {+14%}
• Terri Lynn Land 35% [35%] (36%) {35%} [32%] (32%) {28%} [34%] (29%) / 50% [52%] (43%) {47%} [49%] (42%) {31%} [23%] (21%) {-15%}

Survey of 914 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. Party ID: 36% [36%] Democrat; 33% [28%] Republican; 32% [36%] Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 2-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in parentheses.