Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida Senatorial Survey 

• Marco Rubio (R) 44% {40%} [29%] (34%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 33% {32%} [35%] (27%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 21% {17%} [17%] (25%)
• Undecided 3%

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (I) 42% {38%} [44%] (32%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 41% {39%} [35%] (47%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 15% {11%} [6%] (9%)
• Undecided 2%

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 82% {69%} [54%] (62%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 14% {20%} [23%] (18%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 2% {1%} [1%] (7%) 
• Undecided 2%

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (I) 50% {50%} [40%] (35%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 27% {34%} [25%] (24%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 19% {4%} [15%] (22%)
• Undecided 4%

Among Conservatives

• Marco Rubio (R) 80% {69%} [59%] (62%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 13% {19%} [20%] (18%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 6% {3%} [3%] (5%)
• Undecided 1%

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (I) 48% {44%} [45%] (34%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 29% {24%} [14%] (19%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 19% {20%} [20%] (32%)
• Undecided 5%

Among Liberals

• Kendrick Meek (D) 53% {40%} [40%] (58%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 40% {37%} [41%] (30%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 6% {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Undecided 2%

Among Men

• Marco Rubio (R) 43% {40%} [34%] (41%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 36% {33%} [30%] (25%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 20% {16%} [21%] (22%)
• Undecided 1%

Among Women

• Marco Rubio (R) 45% {40%} [24%] (29%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% {31%} [39%] (28%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 22% {18%} [14%] (28%)
• Undecided 4%

Among Whites

• Marco Rubio (R) 55%
• Charlie Crist (I) 29%
• Kendrick Meek (D) 14%
• Undecided 2%

Among Hispanics

• Charlie Crist (I) 48% {36%} [42%] (22%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 23% {12%} [32%] (22%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 22% {36%} [16%] (35%)
• Undecided 7%

Among Blacks

• Kendrick Meek (D) 63%
• Charlie Crist (I) 28%
• Marco Rubio (R) 8%
• Undecided 1%

If the candidates for US Senate were just Independent Charlie Crist and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?

• Charlie Crist (I) 46%
• Marco Rubio (R) 46%
• Undecided 8%

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (I) 69%
• Marco Rubio (R) 20%
• Undecided 12%

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 80%
• Charlie Crist (I) 14%
• Undecided 7%

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (I) 66%
• Marco Rubio (R) 31%
• Undecided 3%

Among Conservatives

• Marco Rubio (R) 80%
• Charlie Crist (I) 15%
• Undecided 4%

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (I) 61%
• Marco Rubio (R) 31%
• Undecided 8%

Among Liberals

• Charlie Crist (I) 77%
• Marco Rubio (R) 8%
• Undecided 15%

Among Men

• Charlie Crist (I) 48%
• Marco Rubio (R) 45%
• Undecided 7%

Among Women

• Marco Rubio (R) 47%
• Charlie Crist (I) 45%
• Undecided 9%

Among Whites

• Marco Rubio (R) 55%
• Charlie Crist (I) 38%
• Undecided 7%

Among Hispanics

• Charlie Crist (I) 69%
• Marco Rubio (R) 28%
• Undecided  3%

Among Blacks

• Charlie Crist (I) 59%
• Marco Rubio (R) 15%
• Undecided 27%

If the candidates for US Senate were just Democrat Kendrick Meek and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?

• Marco Rubio (R) 48%
• Kendrick Meek (D) 41%
• Undecided 12%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Charlie Crist’s job performance?

• Approve 47% {42%} [44%] (35%)
• Disapprove 43% {44%} [41%] (51%) 

Among Democrats

• Approve 58% {54%} [58%] (45%)
• Disapprove 30% {29%} [27%] (41%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 23% {29%} [29%] (28%)
• Disapprove 66% {59%} [55%] (58%)

Among Independents

• Approve 70% {47%} [46%] (29%)
• Disapprove 25% {37%} [39%] (53%)

Among Conservatives

• Approve 21% {26%} [27%] (22%)
• Disapprove 66% {60%} [58%] (61%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 62% {54%} [54%] (45%)
• Disapprove 31% {32%} [32%] (42%)

Among Liberals

• Approve 65% {51%} [55%] (35%)
• Disapprove 24% {32%} [28%] (51%)

Among Men

• Approve 51% {45%} [42%] (36%)
• Disapprove 40% {46%} [42%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 42% {39%} [46%] (34%)
• Disapprove 46% {41%} [40%] (50%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?

• Favorable 45% {40%} [31%] (31%)
• Unfavorable 43% {37%} [46%] (32%) 

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 77% {70%} [56%] (52%)
• Unfavorable 13% {15%} [19%] (17%)

Among Moderates

• Favorable 32% {27%} [18%] (19%)
• Unfavorable 54% {47%} [59%] (39%)

Among Liberals

• Favorable 10% {9%} [15%] (16%)
• Unfavorable 77% {62%} [68%] (48%)

Among Independents

• Favorable 36% {38%} [29%] (25%)
• Unfavorable 48% {35%} [51%] (34%)

Among Men

• Favorable 44% {41%} [37%] (36%)
• Unfavorable 46% {41%} [45%] (36%)

Among Women

• Favorable 46% {40%} [26%] (28%)
• Unfavorable 41% {34%} [47%] (29%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kendrick Meek?

• Favorable 35% {25%} [18%] (17%)
• Unfavorable 37% {35%} [27%] (20%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 42% {39%} [45%] (46%)
• Disapprove 52% {55%} [49%] (50%)  

Do you support or oppose drilling for oil off the coast of Florida?

• Support 46% {48%} [39%]
• Oppose 43% {44%} [51%] 

Among Democrats

• Support 26% [23%]
• Oppose 63% [65%]

Among Republicans

• Support 69% [54%]
• Oppose 25% [36%]

Among Independents

• Support 49% [39%]
• Oppose 49% [53%] 

Among Men

• Support 54% [47%]
• Oppose 43% [46%]

Among Women

• Support 43% [30%]
• Oppose 46% [55%]

Survey of 448 likely voters was conducted October 9-10, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% {42%} [40%] (39%) Democrat; 40% {44%} [40%] (42%) Republican; 19% {14%} [20%] (19%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 40% {36%} [44%] (45%) Moderate; 39% {41%} [37%] (39%) Conservative; 21% {22%} [19%] (16%) Liberal.  Race: 70% White; 15% Hispanic; 11% Black; 4% Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.