Friday, October 08, 2010

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Florida Senatorial Survey 
  • Marco Rubio (R) 50% {41%} (41%) [40%] {38%} (35%) [36%] {37%} (39%) [34%] {37%} (42%)
  • Charlie Crist (I) 25% {30%} (30%) [30%] {33%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (31%) [38%] {30%} (22%)
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 19% {21%} (23%) [21%] {21%} (20%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {22%} (25%)
  • Other 3% {3%} (2%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 3% {5%} (4%) [5%] {7%} (8%) [14%] {11%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (11%)
Among Democrats
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 46% {41%} (45%) [41%] {48%} (43%) [32%] {28%} (x) [35%] {46%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 32% {41%} (33%) [36%] {36%} (41%) [36%] {47%} (x) [44%] {33%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 16% {9%} (16%) [13%] {10%} (8%) [14%] {7%} (x) [14%] {10%}
  • Other 1% {4%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (5%)
  • Not Sure 4% {5%} (4%) [6%] {4%} (4%) [18%] {18%} (x) [6%] {11%}
Among Republicans
  • Marco Rubio (R) 79% {78%} (72%) [73%] {66%} (65%) [60%] {66%} (68%) [58%] {62%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 15% {15%} (19%) [19%] {25%} (23%) [29%] {24%} (23%) [30%] {28%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 3% {2%} (5%) [3%] {4%} (5%) [4%] {1%} [5%] {3%}
  • Other 2% {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%)
  • Not Sure 2% {4%} (3%) [3%] {4%} (7%) [7%] {9%} [7%] {7%}
Among Independents
  • Marco Rubio (R) 47% {28%} (27%) [29%] {38%} (30%) [35%] {38%} (x) [28%] {40%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 33% {38%} (42%) [38%] {38%} (38%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 8% {22%} (24%) [19%] {5%} (13%) [8%] {18%} (x) [11%] {18%}
  • Other 8% {5%} (3%) [7%] {2%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 4% {7%} (5%) [7%] {18%} (16%) [19%] {3%} (x) [21%] {15%}
Among Liberals
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 54% {35%} (45%) [35%] {49%} (31%) [38%] {32%} (x) [33%] {35%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 29% {50%} (41%) [53%] {38%} (34%) [45%] {50%} (x) [56%] {44%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 12% {6%} (10%) [8%] {4%} (14%) [5%] {5%} {5%} (x) [4%] {8%}
  • Other 3% (2%) [2%] {2%} (5%)
  • Not Sure 3% (2%) [1%] {9%} (17%) [12%] {13%} [6%] {13%}
Among Moderates
  • Charlie Crist (I) 47% {46%} (42%) [36%] {51%} (54%) [41%] {52%} (x) [55%] {35%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 26% {27%} (26%) [29%] {18%} (20%) [21%] {22%} (x) [12%] {29%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 16% {18%} (22%) [26%] {21%} (16%) [20%] {17%} (x) [22%] {21%}
  • Other 8% {3%} (4%) [2%] {2%} (2%)
  • Not Sure 3% {6%} (5%) [7%] {9%} (7%) [18%] {9%} (x) [12%] {14%}
Among Conservatives
  • Marco Rubio (R) 75% {69%} (70%) [66%] {65%} (59%) [58%] {70%} (x) [57%] {64%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 13% {15%} (16%) [14%] {21%} (21%) [24%] {20%} (x) [22%] {21%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 8% {8%} (9%) [9%] {7%} (13%) [5%] {2%} (x) [14%] {9%}
  • Other 1% {3%} (1%) [6%] {1%} (2%)
  • Not Sure 3% {4%} (4%) [6%] {6%} (4%) [13%] {7%} (x) [7%] {6%}
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 55% {47%} (53%) [42%] {46%} (38%) [43%] {48%} (x) [38%] {45%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 22% {26%} (26%) [29%] {31%} (35%) [29%] {33%} (x) [36%] {31%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 15% {20%} (16%) [21%] {16%} (23%) [10%] {13%} (x) [16%] {16%}
  • Other 6% {2%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (2%)
  • Not Sure 2% {4%} (3%) [4%] {6%} (2%) [17%] {6%} (x) [10%] {8%}
Among Women
  • Marco Rubio (R) 45% {36%} (32%) [38%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {27%} (x) [30%] {30%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 28% {33%} (33%) [31%] {34%} (32%) [37%] {41%} (x) [40%] {28%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 23% {21%} (29%) [20%] {25%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (x) [18%] {28%}
  • Other 1% {4%} (2%) [4%] {2%} (4%)
  • Not Sure 4% {6%} (4%) [6%] {8%} (13%) [12%] {15%} (x) [12%] {14%}
Among Whites
  • Marco Rubio (R) 56% {49%} (52%) [46%] {45%} (41%) [43%] {45%} (x) [40%] {43%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 27% {30%} (27%) [31%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {38%} (x) [36%] {32%}
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 11% {12%} (15%) [15%] {13%} (16%) [9%] {8%} (x) [12%] {15%}
  • Other 2% {3%} (3%) [4%] {1%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 3% {6%} (4%) [5%] {7%} (6%) [14%] {9%} (x) [12%] {10%}
Among Blacks
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 66% {58%} (58%) [70%] {53%} (72%) [31%] {40%} (x) [63%] {84%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 22% {25%} (41%) [7%] {29%} (14%) [38%] {38%} (x) [22%] {4%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 8% {6%} (1%) [11%] {6%} (8%) [10%] {1%} (x) [14%] {4%}
  • Other 0% {5%} (0%) [6%] {0%} (3%)
  • Not Sure 4% {6%} (1%) [6%] {12%} (2%) [21%] {21%} (x) [0%] {7%}
Among Hispanics/Other
  • Kendrick Meek (D) 37% {48%} (49%) [22%] {42%} (8%) [50%] {33%} (x) [14%] {22%}
  • Charlie Crist (I) 24% {32%} (39%) [46%] {30%} (44%) [31%] {45%} (x) [62%] {32%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 24% {15%} (9%) [24%] {20%} (22%) [8%] {22%} (x) [14%] {25%}
  • Other 10% {5%} (2%) [0%] {2%} (1%)
  • Not Sure 4% {0%} (2%) [9%] {7%} (25%) [11%] {0%} [10%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 57% {54%} (53%) [51%] {46%} (42%) [51%] {46%} (46%) [42%] {51%} (48%) [51%] {51%} (51%) {41%} / 41% {39%} (42%) [41%] {41%} (44%) [41%] {38%} (43%) [48%] {37%} (34%) [27%] {31%} (29%) {31%} {+16%}
  • Charlie Crist 52% {57%} (55%) [56%] {58%} (59%) [56%] {62%} (57%) [57%] {55%} (49%) [55%] {58%} (59%) {64%} (57%) / 47% {40%} (44%) [42%] {39%} (37%) [42%] {37%} (41%) [40%] {40%} (48%) [41%] {40%} (38%) {35%} (36%) {+5%}
  • Kendrick Meek 35% {40%} (45%) [41%] {31%} (32%) [36%] {30%} (33%) [32%] {38%} (33%) [42%] {38%} (41%) {37%} (37%) / 56% {50%} (46%) [47%] {46%} (41%) [40%] {39%} (36%) [36%] {31%} (39%) [33%] {36%] (33%) {34%} (36%) {-21%
How would you rate the job Charlie Crist has been doing as Governor?
  • Strongly approve 15% {17%} (18%) [20%] {15%} (20%) [19%] {22%} (22%) [22%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {10%} (9%) [13%] {17%} (15%)
  • Somewhat approve 34% {38%} (35%) [32%] {43%} (33%) [34%] {38%} (35%) [40%] {40%} (31%) [37%] {41%} (43%) [36%] {42%} (45%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 25% {23%} (25%) [25%] {25%} (23%) [27%] {25%} (24%) [18%] {26%} (35%) [30%] {30%} (25%) [29%] {21%} (20%)
  • Strongly disapprove 26% {21%} (21%) [21%] {15%} (21%) [18%] {12%} (18%) [20%] {17%} (19%) [15%] {17%} (20%) [20%] {19%} (16%)
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 28% {34%} (31%) [27%] {30%} (32%) [29%] {33%} (32%) [32%] {33%} (29%) [31%] {25%} (29%) [29%] {27%} (32%)
  • Somewhat approve 13% {14%} (15%) [19%] {14%} (15%) [14%] {13%} (18%) [15%] {11%} (14%) [14%] {17%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (14%)
  • Somewhat disapprove 5% {5%} (8%) [9%] {9%} (8%) [12%] {8%} (6%) [10%] {8%} (9%) [10%] {11%} (9%) [11%] {10%} (12%)
  • Strongly disapprove 52% {47%} (46%) [46%] {45%} (44%) [45%] {45%} (43%) [43%] {46%} (46%) [44%] {47%} (46%) [47%] {47%} (38%)
Would it be more accurate to describe Marco Rubio's views as mainstream or extreme?
  • Mainstream 52% {40%}
  • Extreme 38% {34%}
Would it be more accurate to describe Charlie Crist's views as mainstream or extreme?
  • Mainstream 46% {49%}
  • Extreme 32% {28%}
Would it be more accurate to describe Kendrick Meek's views as mainstream or extreme?
  • Mainstream 32% {25%}
  • Extreme 47% {34%}
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 7, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% {40%} (40%) Republican; 34% {35%} (34%) Democrat; 25% {25%} (25%) Independent/Other.  Racial breakdown: 80% {79%} (78%) White; 20% {21%} (22%) Non-White.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16, 2010 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2009 are in parentheses.

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