Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 47% {49%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 43% {41%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (45%) {45%} [38%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (45%)
• Other 4% {4%} [3%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 6% {6%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {10%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (7%)

With Leaners

• John Kasich (R) 48% {50%} [50%] (52%) {52%}
• Ted Strickland (D) 45% {42%} [43%] (40%) {42%}
• Other 3% {3%} [2%] (4%) {2%}
• Not sure 4% {4%} [5%] (4%) {4%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• John Kasich (R) 52% {54%} [55%] (55%) {56%}
• Ted Strickland (D) 48% {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 53% {51%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [47%] (49%) {44%} (51%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [45%] (47%) / 40% {37%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} (27%) {29%} [29%] (30%) [24%] (25%) {+13%}
• Ted Strickland 47% {46%} [39%] (42%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {44%} (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) [46%] (48%) / 50% {52%} [55%] (53%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) [46%] (46%) {-3%}

How would you rate the job Ted Strickland has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 22% {19%} [14%] (14%) {18%} [17%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (13%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (15%)
• Somewhat approve 23% {22%} [27%] (25%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (35%) {32%} [29%] (33%) {28%} [37%] (32%)
• Somewhat disapprove 23% {18%} [21%] (29%) {23%} [25%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {32%} [27%] (28%) {28%} [26%] (24%)
• Strongly disapprove 31% {40%} [36%] (30%) {33%} [29%] (30%) {30%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [26%] (25%) {26%} [24%] (26%)

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% {41%} Democrat; 34% {30%} Republican; 30% {29%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Kasich now has the support of 83% of the state’s GOP voters. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Democrats back Strickland. The Republican has a five-point edge among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.