Thursday, February 28, 2013

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York City Mayoral Survey

Quinnipiac New York City Mayoral Survey

Who do you think did the best job as Mayor; Rudy Giuliani, David Dinkins, Ed Koch, Abe Beame, John Lindsay, or Michael Bloomberg?
  • Rudy Giuliani 31% (34%)
  • Ed Koch 25% (20%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 24% (26%)
  • John Lindsay 6% (6%)
  • David Dinkins 6% (7%)
  • Abe Beame 1% (1%)
Among Men
  • Rudy Giuliani 29%
  • Michael Bloomberg 29%
  • Ed Koch 25%
  • John Lindsay 6%
  • David Dinkins 6%
  • Abe Beame 1%
Among Women
  • Rudy Giuliani 32%
  • Ed Koch 26%
  • Michael Bloomberg 19%
  • David Dinkins 6%
  • John Lindsay 5%
  • Abe Beame 1%
Survey of 1,017 New York City voters was conducted February 20-25, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 59% Democrat; 12% Republican; 24% Independent; 5% Other. Results from the poll conducted July 19-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Paul Ryan, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
  • Paul Ryan 35%
  • Marco Rubio 22%
  • Chris Christie 10%
  • Rand Paul 8%
  • Mike Huckabee 7%
  • Jeb Bush 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 3% 
  • Susana Martinez 1%
  • Rick Perry 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 8%
Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016? 
  • Scott Walker 33%
  • Marco Rubio 27%
  • Chris Christie 10%
  • Mike Huckabee 7%
  • Rand Paul 6%
  • Jeb Bush 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 3% 
  • Susana Martinez 2%
  • Rick Perry 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 8%
Survey of 679 usual Republican primary voters was conducted February 21-24, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Ideology: 41% Somewhat conservative; 38% Very conservative; 15% Moderate; 5% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Scott Walker (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 38%
Among Independents
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Scott Walker (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 31%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 61%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 26%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 67%
  • Scott Walker (R) 25%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 21%
Among Men
  • Paul Ryan (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Scott Walker (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 44%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 38%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Scott Walker (R) 35%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 32%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 56% / 37% {+19%}
  • Paul Ryan 46% / 46% {0%}
Survey of 1,799 Wisconsin voters was conducted February 21-24, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points. Party ID: 31% Democrat; 30% Republican; 39% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 22% Somewhat conservative; 21% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 11% Very liberal. 

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Paul Ryan (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Among Men
  • Paul Ryan (R) 61%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 56%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 37%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 45% / 46% {-1%}
Survey of 1,229 registered Kansas voters was conducted February 21-24, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 51% Republican; 29% Democrat; 21% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 22% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal. 

Thursday, February 21, 2013

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Marco Rubio

Rasmussen (R) Poll on Marco Rubio

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Marco Rubio?
  • Very favorable 22% {16%} [22%] (20%)
  • Somewhat favorable 20% {20%} [20%] (15%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 17% {20%} [20%] (16%)
  • Very unfavorable 14% {12%} [11%] (12%)
  • Undecided 27% {32%} [28%] (37%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 42% {36%} [42%] (35%) / 31% {32%} [31%] (28%) {+11%}
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted February 16-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 17-18, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Marco Rubio

Pew Research Poll on Marco Rubio

Is your overall opinion of Marco Rubio very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable? 
  • Very favorable 10%
  • Mostly favorable 16%
  • Mostly unfavorable 14%
  • Very unfavorable 15% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 26% / 29% {-3%}
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 15%
  • Unfavorable 41%
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 49%
  • Unfavorable 18%
Among Independents
  • Favorable 25%
  • Unfavorable 24%
Survey of 1,003 adults was conducted February 14-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2013 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers: 
Among all Republicans (and Republican leaners) who agree with the Tea Party, fully 70% view Rubio favorably compared with just 7% who view him unfavorably.
Among Republicans and leaners who do not agree with the Tea Party, 31% view Rubio favorably and 25% view him unfavorably.

Poll Watch: Pew Research Survey on Chuck Hagel

Pew Research Poll on Chuck Hagel

Is your overall opinion of Chuck Hagel very favorable, mostly favorable, mostly unfavorable, or very unfavorable? 
  • Very favorable 5% (5%)
  • Mostly favorable 17% (14%)
  • Mostly unfavorable 15% (10%)
  • Very unfavorable 13% (7%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chuck Hagel 22% (18%) / 28% (17%) {-6%}
Among Democrats
  • Favorable 31% (23%)
  • Unfavorable 23% (10%)
Among Republicans
  • Favorable 15% (15%)
  • Unfavorable 36% (26%)
Among Independents
  • Favorable 21% (17%)
  • Unfavorable 30% (19%)
Survey of 1,003 adults was conducted February 14-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Georgia 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 44%
Among Independents
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 38%
Among Moderates
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 26%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 67%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 22%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 67%
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 21%
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Newt Gingrich (R) 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 49% / 44% {+5%}
  • Newt Gingrich 39% / 50% {-11%}
Survey of 602 Georgia voters was conducted February 15-18, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID: 41% Republican; 37% Democrat; 22% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 25% Moderate; 22% Very conservative; 21% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal. 

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 54%
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
Among Independents
  • Chris Christie (R) 59%
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 28%
  • Chris Christie (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
Among Men
  • Chris Christie (R) 64%
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 29%
  • Chris Christie (R) 58%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
Among Women
  • Chris Christie (R) 45%
  • Andrew Cuomo (D) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
  • Chris Christie (R) 34%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 69% / 22% {+47%}
  • Hillary Clinton 67% / 29% {+38%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 45% / 23% {+22%}
Survey of 1,149 registered voters was conducted February 13-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% Democrat; 25% Republican; 36% Independent; 7% Other/Don't know.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Chris Christie (R) 62% {63%} [61%] (49%)
  • Barbara Buono (D) 25% {22%} [23%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Chris Christie 69% {69%} [67%] {52%} / 22% {21%} [22%] {42%} {+47%}
  • Barbara Buono 8% {8%} [8%] / 8% {9%} [7%] {0%}
Do you feel that Chris Christie deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
  • Yes/Deserves 71% {68%} [67%] (52%)
  • No/Does not 23% {24%} [25%] (40%)
Survey of 1,149 registered voters was conducted February 13-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 25% {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 36% {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as Governor?
  • Approve 74% {74%} [72%] (56%) {53%} [54%] (57%) {59%} [55%] (53%) {56%} [58%] (47%) {44%} [47%] (52%) {51%} [51%] (44%)
  • Disapprove 22% {21%} [21%] (38%) {42%} [39%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [38%] (46%) {47%} [46%] (40%) {38%} [36%] (43%)
Among Democrats
  • Approve 56% {56%} [52%] (28%) {22%} [27%] (30%) {30%} [27%] (25%) {28%} [29%] (17%) {17%} [17%] (27%) {22%} [24%] (18%)
  • Disapprove 38% {37%} [39%] (65%) {74%} [65%] (63%) {64%} [61%] (64%) {66%} [67%] (76%) {75%} [75%] (66%) {68%} [63%] (67%)
Among Republicans
  • Approve 94% {93%} [95%] (90%) {87%} [87%] (87%) {92%} [86%] (87%) {90%} [88%] (84%) {76%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [75%] (75%)
  • Disapprove 5% {4%} [4%] (7%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {6%} [11%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (12%) {15%} [16%] (11%) {12%} [13%] (14%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 77% {78%} [77%] (62%) {57%} [60%] (61%) {64%} [59%] (54%) {62%} [65%] (53%) {47%} [55%] (55%) {56%} [61%] (50%)
  • Disapprove 19% {18%} [16%] (32%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {32%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [30%] (39%) {44%} [36%] (36%) {32%} [29%] (40%)
Among Men
  • Approve 82% {79%} [75%] (62%) {62%} [60%] (61%) {67%} [62%] (60%) {60%} [65%] (58%) {53%} [56%] (58%) {58%} [63%] (53%)
  • Disapprove 15% {18%} [19%] (33%) {34%} [34%] (34%) {30%} [32%] (34%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {39%} [38%] (35%) {31%} [27%] (36%)
Among Women
  • Approve 67% {69%} [70%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (53%) {52%} [49%] (47%) {52%} [51%] (37%) {36%} [38%] (46%) {45%} [40%] (36%)
  • Disapprove 28% {24%} [23%] (42%) {49%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (55%) {54%} [53%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (50%)
Survey of 1,149 registered voters was conducted February 13-17, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {35%} [36%] (37%) {33%} Democrat; 25% {23%} [23%] (25%) {24%} Republican; 36% {36%} [35%] (34%) {37%} Independent; 7% {5%} [5%] (4%) {6%} Other/Don't know.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-21, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 2, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-14, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 21-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 10-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10-15, 2010 are in parentheses.

Thursday, February 14, 2013

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 63%
  • Joe Biden 10%
  • Andrew Cuomo 5%  
  • Cory Booker 2%
  • Evan Bayh 1%
  • Deval Patrick 1%
  • Brian Schweitzer 1%
  • John Hickenlooper 0%
  • Martin O'Malley 0%
  • Antonio Villaraigosa 0%
  • Mark Warner 0%
  • Someone else 1%
  • Don't know yet 16%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 87% / 7% {+80%}
  • Joe Biden 73% / 22% {+51%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 56% / 16% {+40%}
  • Deval Patrick 52% / 22% {+30%}
  • Cory Booker 31% / 11% {+20%}  
  • Evan Bayh 20% / 7% {+13%} 
  • Antonio Villaraigosa 15% / 9% {+6%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 12% / 6% {+6%}
  • Martin O'Malley 9% / 6% {+3%}
  • John Hickenlooper 8% / 7% {+1%} 
  • Mark Warner 14% / 14% {0%}
Survey of 201 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Chris Christie 14%
  • Marco Rubio 12%
  • Paul Ryan 11%  
  • Kelly Ayotte 10%
  • Rand Paul 8%
  • Jon Huntsman 8%
  • Jeb Bush 5%
  • Rick Santorum 3%
  • Scott Walker 3%
  • Bobby Jindal 2%
  • Ted Cruz 1%
  • John Thune 1%
  • Rob Portman 0%
  • Someone else 2%
  • Don't know yet 20%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 56% / 6% {+50%}
  • Kelly Ayotte 68% / 24% {+44%}
  • Paul Ryan 61% / 19% {+42%}
  • Chris Christie 60% / 21% {+39%}
  • Scott Walker 37% / 14% {+23%}
  • Jeb Bush 53% / 31% {+22%}  
  • Rand Paul 45% / 26% {+19%}
  • Bobby Jindal 31% / 21% {+10%}
  • Jon Huntsman 37% / 31% {+6%}
  • Rob Portman 20% / 14% {+6%}
  • Ted Cruz 18% / 14% {+4%}
  • John Thune 16% / 13% {+3%}
  • Rick Santorum 40% / 42% {-2%}
Survey of 212 likely Republican primary voters was conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Paul Ryan (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43%
Among Men
  • Paul Ryan (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 54%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 36%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 34%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?
  • Favorable 46%
  • Unfavorable 44%
Do you think Bobby Jindal should run for President in 2016, or not?
  • He should run 24%
  • He should not 66%
Survey of 603 Louisiana voters was conducted February 8-12, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% Democrat; 39% Republican; 17% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 28% Moderate; 26% Very conservative; 22% Somewhat conservative; 12% Somewhat liberal; 12% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Louisiana 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Marco Rubio 21%
  • Mike Huckabee 18%
  • Bobby Jindal 14%
  • Chris Christie 11%
  • Jeb Bush 9%
  • Rand Paul 8%
  • Paul Ryan 7%
  • Rick Perry 3%
  • Susana Martinez 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 8%
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio 24%
  • Mike Huckabee 18%
  • Chris Christie 13%
  • Jeb Bush 9%
  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Bobby Jindal 8%
  • Paul Ryan 7%
  • Rick Perry 3%
  • Susana Martinez 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 8%
Among Women
  • Bobby Jindal 21%
  • Mike Huckabee 18%
  • Marco Rubio 18%
  • Chris Christie 9%
  • Jeb Bush 9%
  • Paul Ryan 7%
  • Rand Paul 7%  
  • Rick Perry 2%
  • Susana Martinez 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 8%
Survey of 448 Republican primary voters was conducted February 8-12, 2013.

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Harper Polling (R) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

Harper Polling (R) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll
    • Mitch McConnell (R) 49%
    • Ashley Judd (D) 40%
    • Not sure 11%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Mitch McConnell 44% / 46% {-2%}
    • Ashley Judd 35% / 45% {-10%}
    Survey of 850 likely voters was conducted February 11-12, 2013 in conjunction with RunSwitch Public Relations. The margin of error is +/- 3.36 percentage points. Party ID: 58% Democrat; 40% Republican; 2% Other. Political ideology: 32% Somewhat conservative; 30% Very conservative; 28% Moderate; 8% Liberal.

    Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey


    I’m going to read you a list of names and for each one I’d like you to please tell me if you think that person would make a good president or not. If you have never heard of a person, please just say so. 

    Hillary Clinton
    • Yes 55%
    • No 42%
    • Never heard of 1% 
    Condoleezza Rice
    • Yes 43%
    • No 43%
    • Never heard of 8%
    Chris Christie
    • Yes 37%
    • No 33%
    • Never heard of 23%
    Paul Ryan
    • Yes 37%
    • No 46%
    • Never heard of 10%
    Joe Biden
    • Yes 35%
    • No 59%
    • Never heard of 2%
    Jeb Bush
    • Yes 26%
    • No 56%
    • Never heard of 10%
    Marco Rubio
    • Yes 25%
    • No 29%
    • Never heard of 33%
    Bobby Jindal
    • Yes 16%
    • No 25%
    • Never heard of 48%
    Andrew Cuomo
    • Yes 16%
    • No 39%
    • Never heard of 33%
    Deval Patrick
    • Yes 6%
    • No 19%
    • Never heard of 61%
    Bob McDonnell
    • Yes 6%
    • No 22%
    • Never heard of 60%
    Martin O'Malley
    • Yes 5%
    • No 18%
    • Never heard of 65%
    Survey of 1,010 registered voters was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) February 4-6, 2013. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% Democrat; 35% Republican; 24% Independent/Other. 

    Inside the numbers:
    Clinton (62 percent) and Rice (44 percent) capture more support among women voters than any of the other figures tested.
    They are also the top picks among men voters: 47 percent think Clinton would make a good president and 42 percent feel that way about Rice. Ryan (40 percent), Christie (39 percent) and Biden (35 percent) are close behind among men.
    Clinton is also the candidate who receives the highest level of support from his or her own party. She would be a good president in the eyes of 83 percent of self-identified Democrats, while with 62 percent support Ryan receives the most backing among self-described Republicans.
    Among Democrats, Clinton is followed by Biden (60 percent), Cuomo (25 percent), Patrick (8 percent) and O’Malley (6 percent).
    Among Republicans, Rice comes in second to Ryan at 54 percent. She’s followed closely by Bush at 47 percent, Christie at 43 percent and Rubio at 41 percent. Jindal is the only other Republican to receive double-digit support (24 percent).
    Ryan (59 percent) and Rice (55 percent) both receive majority backing among self-described very conservative voters.

    Poll Watch: Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

    Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press NJ Poll on Gov. Christie

    Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

    • Approve 70% (69%) {55%} [53%] (50%) {55%} [55%] (50%) {46%} [49%] (44%) {45%} [42%] (31%)
    • Disapprove 16% (22%) {36%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [37%] (41%) {49%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (15%)
    Among Democrats
    • Approve 58% (57%) {30%} [26%] (33%) {35%} [32%] (36%) {22%} [27%] (22%) {23%} [19%] (21%)
    • Disapprove 26% (30%) {57%} [60%] (55%) {56%} [59%] (55%) {72%} [61%] (58%) {65%} [68%] (24%)
    Among Republicans
    • Approve 88% (85%) {90%} [82%] (74%) {79%} [84%] (78%) {75%} [80%] (71%) {80%} [65%] (52%)
    • Disapprove 7% (7%) {4%} [10%] (18%) {16%} [12%] (15%) {24%} [14%] (22%) {14%} [19%] (4%)
    Among Independents
    • Approve 71% (68%) {55%} [57%] (54%) {55%} [58%] (44%) {53%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (35%)
    • Disapprove 14% (20%) {34%} [31%] (28%) {34%} [34%] (46%{41%} [38%] (31%) {41%} [34%] (13%)
    Among Men 
    • Approve 69% (68%) {61%} [58%] (59%) {56%} [54%] (52%)
    • Disapprove 18% (19%) {31%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [36%] (37%)
    Among Women
    • Approve 70% (66%) {47%} [45%] (43%) {48%} [53%] (45%)
    • Disapprove 16% (23%) {40%} [40%] (42%) {42%} [40%] (48%)
    Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.
    • Favorable 71% {54%}
    • Unfavorable 18% {34%}
    Looking ahead to next year’s election for Governor, do you think that Chris Christie should be re-elected, or do you think that it is time to have someone else in office? 
    • Should be re-elected 63% (61%) {50%}
    • Time for someone else 29% (29%) {45%}
    If the election for New Jersey Governor were today, would you vote for Chris Christie the Republican, or Barbara Buono the Democrat, or some other candidate?
    • Chris Christie 62%
    • Barbara Buono 20%
    • Some other candidate 6%
    Survey of 697 registered voters was conducted February 6-10, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 37% (37%) {35%} [34%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) {35%} [35%] (35%) {38%} [40%] Democrat; 23% (23%) {24%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [20%] (22%) {21%} [22%] (22%) {22%} [22%] Republican; 40% (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [38%] Independent.   Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted September 19-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-22, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 2-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-31, 2010 are in parentheses.

    Saturday, February 09, 2013

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Republican Survey on Immigration

    PPP (D) GOP Poll on Immigration

    Do you think illegal immigrants who are living in America should be offered a chance to apply for legal citizenship, or do you think they should all be deported back to their native countries?
    • They should be offered a chance to apply for legal citizenship 46%
    • They should be deported back to their home country 42%
    Very Conservative
    • They should be offered a chance to apply for legal citizenship 36%
    • They should be deported back to their home country 53%
    Somewhat Conservative
    • They should be offered a chance to apply for legal citizenship 50%
    • They should be deported back to their home country 37%
    Men
    • They should be offered a chance to apply for legal citizenship 43%
    • They should be deported back to their home country 46%
    Women 
    • They should be offered a chance to apply for legal citizenship 49%
    • They should be deported back to their home country 38%
    Survey of 508 Republican primary voters was conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Political ideology: 41% Very conservative; 41% Somewhat conservative; 14% Moderate; 2% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

    PPP (D) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 

    Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Paul Ryan, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
    • Marco Rubio 22% {21%} [18%] (10%) 
    • Paul Ryan 15% {16%} [12%] (7%) 
    • Chris Christie 13% {14%} [14%] (21%)
    • Jeb Bush 13% {14%} [12%] (17%)
    • Mike Huckabee 11% {15%} [11%] (17%) 
    • Rand Paul 10% {5%} [7%] (4%)
    • Bobby Jindal 4% {3%} (3%)
    • Rick Perry 3% {2%}
    • Susana Martinez 1% {2%}
    • Someone else/Undecided 8% {7%} [7%] (10%)
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Paul Ryan 78% {76%} [74%] (47%) / 9% {11%} [15%] (11%) {+69%} 
    • Mike Huckabee 71% {70%} [73%] (69%) / 12% {15%} [15%] (15%) {+59%} 
    • Rand Paul 61% {55%} [53%] (42%) / 13% {20%} [22%] (20%) {+48%}
    • Jeb Bush 59% {59%} [63%] (71%) / 12% {15%} [14%] (13%) {+47%}
    • Marco Rubio 59% {60%} [62%] (53%) / 12% {11%} [11%] (10%) {+47%}
    • Bobby Jindal 46% {47%} (43%) / 10% {11%} (9%) {+36%}  
    • Rick Perry 48% {40%} / 16% {26%} {+32%}
    • Chris Christie 42% {44%} [49%] (62%) / 27% {29%} [28%] (12%) {+15%}  
    • Susana Martinez 19% {23%} / 14% {15%} {+5%}
    Survey of 508 Republican primary voters was conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% {39%} [38%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 41% {37%} [39%] (36%) Very conservative; 14% {16%} [16%] (16%) Moderate; 2% {5%} [6%] (4%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {2%} [1%] (3%) Very liberalResults from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac National Survey on Immigration

    Quinnipiac National Poll on Immigration

    Which comes closest to your view about illegal immigrants who are currently living in the United States? A) They should be allowed to stay in the United States and to eventually apply for US citizenship. B) They should be allowed to remain in the United States, but not be allowed to apply for U.S. citizenship. C) They should be required to leave the U.S.
    • Stay/apply for citizenship 56%
    • Stay/no citizenship 10%
    • Should be required to leave U.S. 30%
    Among Democrats
    • Stay/apply for citizenship 74%
    • Stay/no citizenship 8%
    • Should be required to leave U.S. 16%
    Among Republicans
    • Stay/apply for citizenship 40%
    • Stay/no citizenship 11%
    • Should be required to leave U.S. 46%
    Among Independents
    • Stay/apply for citizenship 53%
    • Stay/no citizenship 11%
    • Should be required to leave U.S. 30%
    Survey of 1,772 registered voters was conducted January 30 - February 4, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 24% Republican; 34% Independent.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac National Survey on Gun Control

    Quinnipiac National Poll on Gun Control

    Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of assault weapons? 
    • Support 56%
    • Oppose 39%
    Among Democrats
    • Support 81%
    • Oppose 16%
    Among Republicans
    • Support 39%
    • Oppose 55%
    Among Independents
    • Support 50%
    • Oppose 46%
    Among Men
    • Support 44%
    • Oppose 53%
    Among Women
    • Support 68%
    • Oppose 27%
    Do you support or oppose a nationwide ban on the sale of high-capacity ammunition magazines that hold more than 10 bullets?
    • Support 56%
    • Oppose 40%
    Among Democrats
    • Support 77%
    • Oppose 20%
    Among Republicans
    • Support 37%
    • Oppose 58%
    Among Independents
    • Support 55%
    • Oppose 42%
    Among Men
    • Support 46%
    • Oppose 51%
    Among Women
    • Support 65%
    • Oppose 30%
    Do you support or oppose requiring background checks for all gun buyers?
    • Support 92%
    • Oppose 7%
    Survey of 1,772 registered voters was conducted January 30 - February 4, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 24% Republican; 34% Independent.

    Friday, February 08, 2013

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

    • Chris Christie (R) 43%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 43%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
    • Sarah Palin (R) 37%
    Among Men
    • Chris Christie (R) 50%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 51%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
    • Sarah Palin (R) 43%
    Among Women 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
    • Chris Christie (R) 38%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 36%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
    • Sarah Palin (R) 31%
    Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Hillary Clinton?
    • Favorable 47%
    • Unfavorable 45%
    Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?
    • She should run 16%
    • She should not 78%
    Survey of 1,129 Alaska voters was conducted February 4-5, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% Republican; 21% Democrat; 46% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 9% Very liberal.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    • Marco Rubio 18%
    • Mike Huckabee 14%
    • Rand Paul 12%
    • Chris Christie 11%
    • Paul Ryan 10%
    • Jeb Bush 9%
    • Sarah Palin 9%
    • Bobby Jindal 6%
    • Rick Perry 1%
    • Someone else/Undecided 10%
    Among Men
    • Marco Rubio 21%
    • Chris Christie 14% 
    • Sarah Palin 12%
    • Mike Huckabee 11%
    • Rand Paul 11%
    • Paul Ryan 8%
    • Jeb Bush 7%
    • Bobby Jindal 6%
    • Rick Perry 1%
    • Someone else/Undecided 10%
    Among Women
    • Mike Huckabee 16%
    • Marco Rubio 15%
    • Rand Paul 13%
    • Jeb Bush 12%
    • Paul Ryan 12%
    • Chris Christie 9%
    • Bobby Jindal 6%
    • Sarah Palin 6% 
    • Rick Perry 1%
    • Someone else/Undecided 11%
    Survey of 537 usual Republican primary voters was conducted February 4-5, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

    • Mark Begich (D) 48%
    • Sean Parnell (R) 48%
    • Mark Begich (D) 47%
    • Dan Sullivan (R) 41%
    • Mark Begich (D) 47%
    • Mead Treadwell (R) 39% 
    • Mark Begich (D) 50%
    • Loren Leman (R) 40%
      • Mark Begich (D) 54%
      • Sarah Palin (R) 38%
      • Mark Begich (D) 58%
      • Joe Miller (R) 30%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Mead Treadwell 34% / 26% {+8%} 
      • Dan Sullivan 37% / 34% {+3%}
      • Loren Leman 23% / 36% {-13%}
      • Sarah Palin 34% / 59% {-25%}
      • Joe Miller 20% / 63% {-43%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?
      • Approve 49%
      • Disapprove 39%
      Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Sean Parnell’s job performance?
      • Approve 46%
      • Disapprove 44%
      GOP Senate Primary

      Given the choices of Loren Leman, Joe Miller, Sean Parnell, Dan Sullivan, and Mead Treadwell, who would you most like to see as the Republican candidate for Senate next year?
      • Sean Parnell 24%  
      • Dan Sullivan 19%
      • Joe Miller 17%
      • Loren Leman 16% 
      • Mead Treadwell 14%
      • Someone else/Not sure 11%
      If Sean Parnell did not run for the Senate next year, who would you most like to see as the Republican candidate, given the choices of Loren Leman, Joe Miller, Dan Sullivan, and Mead Treadwell?
      • Dan Sullivan 29%
      • Mead Treadwell 23%
      • Loren Leman 20%
      • Joe Miller 19% 
      • Someone else/Not sure 9%
      Survey of 1,129 Alaska voters and 537 usual Republican primary voters was conducted February 4-5, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.2 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID: 32% Republican; 21% Democrat; 46% Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Very conservative; 15% Somewhat liberal; 9% Very liberal.

      Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

      Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
      • Approve 73% (67%)
      • Disapprove 23% (26%)
      Among Democrats
      • Approve 62% (49%)
      • Disapprove 31% (39%)
      Among Republicans
      • Approve 90% (88%)
      • Disapprove 10% (8%)
      Among Independents
      • Approve 75% (76%)
      • Disapprove 21% (20%)
      Among Moderates
      • Approve 75% (68%)
      • Disapprove 20% (25%)
      Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.
      • Favorable 70% (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
      • Unfavorable 20% (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]
      Among Democrats
      • Favorable 59% (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
      • Unfavorable 29% (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}
      Among Republicans
      • Favorable 88% (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
      • Unfavorable 5% (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}
      Among Independents
      • Favorable 71% (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
      • Unfavorable 20% (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}
      Survey of 698 registered voters was conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 39% (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 22% (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 40% (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.

      Thursday, February 07, 2013

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
      • Hillary Clinton 58% {57%} [61%] (57%)
      • Joe Biden 19% {16%} [12%] (14%)
      • Elizabeth Warren 8% {4%} [4%] (6%)
      • Andrew Cuomo 3% {4%} [5%] (5%)
      • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% {1%}
      • Martin O'Malley 1% {3%} [2%] (1%)
      • Mark Warner 1% {2%} [1%] (2%) 
      • Deval Patrick 0% {2%} [1%] 
      • Brian Schweitzer 0% {1%} [1%] (1%)
      • Someone else/Undecided 9% {10%} [12%] (12%)
      Given the choices of Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
      • Joe Biden 57% (32%)
      • Elizabeth Warren 13% (8%)
      • Andrew Cuomo 5% (18% )
      • Kirsten Gillibrand 4%
      • Mark Warner 3% (2%) 
      • Deval Patrick 2%
      • Martin O'Malley 1% (2%)
      • Brian Schweitzer 0% (1%)
      • Someone else/Undecided 14% (32%)
      If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee? 
      • Andrew Cuomo 25% {19%} [21%] (27%)
      • Elizabeth Warren 21% {16%} [16%] (9%)
      • Martin O'Malley 5% {7%} [5%] (4%)
      • Mark Warner 4% {4%} [3%] (4%)
      • Kirsten Gillibrand 3% {5%}
      • Deval Patrick 3% {6%} [8%] 
      • Brian Schweitzer 2% {2%} [2%] (2%)
      • Someone else/Undecided 36% {40%} [45%] (46%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Hillary Clinton 81% {79%} [86%] (86%) / 12% {15%} [10%] (10%) {+69%} 
      • Joe Biden 80% {73%} [80%] (70%) / 13% {22%} [14%] (21%) {+67%} 
      • Elizabeth Warren 48% {47%} [45%] (28%) / 8% {13%} [12%] (17%) {+40%} 
      • Andrew Cuomo 37% {36%} [37%] (32%) / 17% {20%} [21%] (24%) {+20%} 
      • Deval Patrick 21% {17%} [17%] / 9% {10%} [15%] {+12%} 
      • Kirsten Gillibrand 18% {16%} / 12% {14%} {+6%}
      • Mark Warner 12% {15%} [11%] (11%) / 13% {13%} [17%] (18%) {-1%
      • Martin O'Malley 9% {12%} [7%] (8%) / 10% {11%} [17%] (17%) {-1%
      • Brian Schweitzer 6% {6%} [5%] (7%) / 11% {12%} [19%] (17%) {-5%}
      Survey of 416 Democratic primary voters was conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Political ideology: 36% {37%} [32%] (36%) Moderate; 32% {24%} [32%] (30%) Somewhat liberal; 20% {23%} [20%] (16%) Very liberal; 9% {13%} [12%] (13%) Somewhat conservative; 3% {2%} [4%] (5%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

      PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [44%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 41% [42%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [53%]
      • Paul Ryan (R) 44% [39%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [51%]
      • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [37%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [51%]
      • Marco Rubio (R) 41% [37%] 
      • Chris Christie (R) 44%
      • Joe Biden (D) 44%
      • Joe Biden (D) 48%
      • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
      • Joe Biden (D) 49%
      • Paul Ryan (R) 45%
        • Joe Biden (D) 48%
        • Marco Rubio (R) 43%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Chris Christie 44% [51%] (48%) / 22% [23%] (26%) {+22%}
        • Elizabeth Warren 28% [30%] (25%) / 20% [22%] (27%) {+8%}
        • Hillary Clinton 49% [54%] (57%) / 42% [39%] (36%) {+7%}
        • Marco Rubio 35% [33%] (35%) / 29% [27%] (27%) {+6%}
        • Joe Biden 48% [48%] (46%) / 44% [43%] (44%) {+4%}
        • Mike Huckabee 42% [34%] (38%) / 38% [46%] (39%) {+4%}
        • Paul Ryan 44% [38%] (41%) / 41% [45%] (42%) {+3%}
        • Jeb Bush 35% [33%] (38%) / 33% [40%] (38%) {+2%}
        • Susana Martinez 13% [17%] / 15% [17%] {-2%}
        • Bobby Jindal 26% [26%] / 29% [31%] {-3%}
        • Deval Patrick 10% [11%] (10%) / 13% [16%] (17%) {-3%}
        • Rand Paul 35% [32%] (32%) / 39% [44%] (38%) {-4%}
        • Mark Warner 8% [12%] (9%) / 14% [12%] (16%) {-6%
        • Martin O’Malley 6% [8%] (5%) / 13% [13%] (17%) {-7%}
        • Kirsten Gillibrand 11% [11%] / 18% [20%] {-7%}
        • Brian Schweitzer 4% [5%] (4%) / 11% [13%] (16%) {-7%}
        • Andrew Cuomo 24% [26%] (23%) / 33% [33%] (33%) {-9%}
        • Rick Perry 26% [19%] / 41% [52%] {-15%}
        National survey of 800 registered voters was conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 42% [43%] (44%) Democrat; 33% [34%] (32%) Republican; 25% [23%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% [29%] (32%) Moderate; 25% [24%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% [17%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 18% [16%] (15%) Very conservative; 11% [13%] (11%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 3-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

        PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

        Given the choices of Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
        • Hillary Clinton 68% (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
        • Joe Biden 21% (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
        • Andrew Cuomo 2% (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
        • Mark Warner 2% (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
        • Elizabeth Warren 2% (3%) {3%} [4%]
        • Deval Patrick 1% (1%) {0%}  
        • Kirsten Gillibrand 0%
        • Brian Schweitzer 0% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
        • Martin O'Malley 0% (0%) {0%} [1%]
        • Someone else/Undecided 3% (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
        Given the choices of Joe Biden, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Deval Patrick, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
        • Joe Biden 58% (40%) {36%} [28%]
        • Andrew Cuomo 13% (14%) {14%} [14%]
        • Elizabeth Warren 7% (9%) {8%} [10%]
        • Kirsten Gillibrand 6%
        • Deval Patrick 3% (2%) {0%}
        • Mark Warner 2% (1%) {3%} [1%]
        • Brian Schweitzer 1% (1%) {4%} [2%]
        • Martin O'Malley 0% (4%) {2%} [0%]
        • Someone else/Undecided 11% (28%) {34%} [36%]
        If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
        • Andrew Cuomo 26% (30%) {20%} [17%]
        • Elizabeth Warren 17% (13%) {11%} [13%]
        • Martin O'Malley 8% (3%) {2%} [3%] 
        • Kirsten Gillibrand 5%
        • Deval Patrick 3% (4%) {4%}
        • Mark Warner 2% (2%) {6%} [1%]
        • Brian Schweitzer 2% (2%) {4%} [4%]
        • Someone else/Undecided 37% (46%) {53%} [47%]
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Hillary Clinton 90% (86%) {90%} [88%] / 5% (11%) {6%} [6%] {+85%}
        • Joe Biden 84% (85%) {79%} [76%] / 9% (15%) {11%} [6%] {+75%}
        • Elizabeth Warren 45% (37%) {30%} [31%] / 8% (11%) {10%} [8%] {+37%}
        • Andrew Cuomo 35% (38%) {26%} [26%] / 13% (16%) {19%} [17%] {+22%}
        • Deval Patrick 17% (14%) {10%} / 6% (11%) {9%} {+11%}
        • Kirsten Gillibrand 14% / 6% {+8%}
        • Brian Schweitzer 9% (12%) {5%} [7%] / 5% (7%) {10%} [9%] {+4%}
        • Martin O'Malley 8% (9%) {4%} [6%] / 6% (13%) {8%} [7%] {+2%}
        • Mark Warner 10% (12%) {10%} [10%] / 11% (11%) {10%} [11%] {-1%}
        Survey of 313 Iowa Democrats was conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 33% (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 33% (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 26% (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 6% (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

        PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

        Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Mike Huckabee, Bobby Jindal, Susana Martinez, Rand Paul, Rick Perry, Marco Rubio, and Paul Ryan, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?
        • Mike Huckabee 16% {15%} [17%] (16%)
        • Marco Rubio 16% {12%} [10%] (7%)
        • Rand Paul 15% {5%} [11%] (9%) 
        • Jeb Bush 14% {11%} [8%] (10%)
        • Chris Christie 12% {12%} [16%] (15%)
        • Paul Ryan 10% {12%} [6%] (5%)  
        • Susana Martinez 4%
        • Bobby Jindal 3%
        • Rick Perry 3%
        • Someone else/Undecided 7% {8%} [8%] (10%)
        Among Men
        • Marco Rubio 17% {15%} [8%] (9%)
        • Jeb Bush 16% {11%} [8%] (9%)
        • Mike Huckabee 14% {13%} [13%] (11%)
        • Rand Paul 14% {6%} [16%] (10%)
        • Chris Christie 12% {14%} [15%] (17%)
        • Paul Ryan 10% {7%} [8%] (3%)  
        • Susana Martinez 5%
        • Rick Perry 4%
        • Bobby Jindal 2%
        • Someone else/Undecided 6% {8%} [5%] (11%)
        Among Women
        • Mike Huckabee 18% {17%} [21%] (22%)
        • Rand Paul 16% {5%} [5%] (8%)
        • Marco Rubio 16% {10%} [11%] (4%)  
        • Jeb Bush 12% {11%} [8%] (12%)
        • Chris Christie 11% {10%} [16%] (13%)
        • Paul Ryan 10% {17%} [5%] (8%)
        • Bobby Jindal 5%
        • Rick Perry 3%
        • Susana Martinez 2%
        • Someone else/Undecided 8% {9%} [10%] (10%)
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Paul Ryan 63% {83%} [49%] (44%) / 16% {13%} [14%] (8%) {+47%}
        • Mike Huckabee 64% {68%} [68%] (69%) / 22% {16%} [20%] (12%) {+42%}
        • Marco Rubio 54% {59%} [57%] (46%) / 13% {11%} [13%] (7%) {+41%}
        • Jeb Bush 55% {60%} [53%] (62%) / 17% {11%} [19%] (9%) {+38%}  
        • Rand Paul 55% {48%} [49%] (54%) / 19% {28%} [29%] (15%) {+36%}
        • Bobby Jindal 43% / 11% {+32%} 
        • Rick Perry 43% / 28% {+15%}
        • Chris Christie 36% {55%} [57%] (50%) / 33% {21%} [17%] (16%) {+3%}
        • Susana Martinez 18% / 16% {+2%} 
        Survey of 326 Republican voters was conducted February 1-3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 43% {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 31% {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 21% {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 1% {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Quinnipiac National Survey on Abortion

        Quinnipiac National Poll on Abortion

        Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
        • Legal in all cases 24% (22%)
        • Legal in most cases 32% (33%)
        • Illegal in most cases 25% (25%)
        • Illegal in all cases 14% (14%)
        Among Democrats
        • Legal in all cases 38% (33%)
        • Legal in most cases 34% (40%)
        • Illegal in most cases 13% (12%)
        • Illegal in all cases 10% (10%)
        Among Republicans
        • Legal in all cases 11% (12%)
        • Legal in most cases 24% (21%)
        • Illegal in most cases 39% (37%)
        • Illegal in all cases 23% (24%)
        Among Independents
        • Legal in all cases 22% (21%)
        • Legal in most cases 35% (37%)
        • Illegal in most cases 25% (27%)
        • Illegal in all cases 11% (9%)
        Among Moderates
        • Legal in all cases 29%
        • Legal in most cases 36%
        • Illegal in most cases 19%
        • Illegal in all cases 10%
        College Degree
        • Legal in all cases 31% (26%)
        • Legal in most cases 35% (36%)
        • Illegal in most cases 22% (24%)
        • Illegal in all cases 8% (8%)
        No College Degree
        • Legal in all cases 21% (20%)
        • Legal in most cases 30% (31%)
        • Illegal in most cases 26% (25%)
        • Illegal in all cases 17% (17%)
        White Born-Again Evangelicals
        • Legal in all cases 10% (8%)
        • Legal in most cases 20% (18%)
        • Illegal in most cases 37% (41%)
        • Illegal in all cases 30% (29%)
        In general, do you agree or disagree with the 1973 Roe v. Wade Supreme Court decision that established a woman's right to an abortion?
        • Agree 63% (64%)
        • Disagree 30% (31%)
        Among Democrats
        • Agree 78% (80%)
        • Disagree 14% (16%)
        Among Republicans
        • Agree 42% (44%)
        • Disagree 52% (51%)
        Among Independents
        • Agree 66% (67%)
        • Disagree 28% (29%)
        Among Moderates
        • Agree 75%
        • Disagree 19%
        College Degree
        • Agree 73% (72%)
        • Disagree 24% (26%)
        No College Degree
        • Agree 59% (60%)
        • Disagree 33% (34%)
        White Born-Again Evangelicals
        • Agree 33% (36%)
        • Disagree 61% (60%)
        Survey of 1,772 registered voters was conducted January 30 - February 4, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (30%) Democrat; 24% (28%) Republican; 34% (33%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 14-20, 2012 are in parentheses.

        Wednesday, February 06, 2013

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) 4th Annual Survey on Trust in Television News

        PPP (D) Poll on Trust in TV News

        Do you trust PBS, or not?
        • Trust it 52% {52%} [50%]
        • Do not trust it 29% {30%} [30%]
        Do you trust Fox News, or not?
        • Trust it 41% {45%} [42%] (49%)
        • Do not trust it 46% {42%} [46%] (37%)
        Do you trust NBC News, or not?
        • Trust it 39% {44%} [41%] (35%)
        • Do not trust it 42% {38%} [41%] (44%)
        Do you trust CNN, or not?
        • Trust it 38% {43%} [40%] (39%)
        • Do not trust it 43% {39%} [43%] (41%)
        Do you trust MSNBC, or not?
        • Trust it 35% {38%}
        • Do not trust it 44% {43%}
        Do you trust CBS News, or not?
        • Trust it 34% {40%} [36%] (32%)
        • Do not trust it 43% {42%} [43%] (46%)
        Do you trust ABC News, or not?
        • Trust it 32% {37%} [35%] (31%)
        • Do not trust it 42% {40%} [43%] (46%)
        Do you trust Comedy Central, or not?
        • Trust it 26% {28%}
        • Do not trust it 46% {46%}
        Which TV news outlet do you trust the most: ABC News, CBS News, CNN, Comedy Central, Fox News, MSNBC, NBC News, or PBS?
        • Fox News 34% {34%}
        • PBS 13% {17%}
        • CNN 12% {12%}
        • ABC News 11% {11%}
        • MSNBC 8% {5%}
        • CBS News 6% {8%}
        • Comedy Central 5% {4%}
        • NBC News 5% {4%}
        Among Democrats
        • ABC News 17% {19%}
        • CNN 17% {17%}
        • MSNBC 16% {8%}
        • PBS 16% {21%}
        • Fox News 8% {9%} 
        • Comedy Central 7% {3%} 
        • NBC News 7% {7%} 
        • CBS News 7% {12%}
        Among Republicans
        • Fox News 67% {68%}
        • PBS 6% {5%}
        • ABC News 6% {4%}
        • CBS News 6% {4%}
        • NBC News 4% {1%}
        • CNN 3% {8%}
        • MSNBC 1% {1%}
        • Comedy Central 1% {7%}
        Among Independents
        • Fox News 32% {29%}
        • PBS 19% {27%}
        • CNN 13% {12%}
        • Comedy Central 8% {2%}
        • ABC News 6% {9%}
        • CBS News 5% {5%}
        • MSNBC 5% {5%}
        • NBC News 3% {4%}
        Among Moderates
        • PBS 18% {25%}
        • CNN 18% {20%}
        • Fox News 15% {12%}
        • ABC News 14% {13%}  
        • MSNBC 9% {3%}
        • Comedy Central 6% {4%}
        • CBS News 6% {10%}
        • NBC News 6% {7%} 
        Among Men
        • Fox News 39% {39%}
        • PBS 16% {18%}
        • CNN 8% {9%}
        • ABC News 8% {11%}
        • CBS News 7% {5%}
        • MSNBC 6% {4%}
        • Comedy Central 5% {6%}
        • NBC News 3% {2%}
        Among Women
        • Fox News 28% {30%}
        • CNN 15% {15%}
        • ABC News 13% {12%}
        • MSNBC 11% {5%}
        • PBS 10% {17%}
        • NBC News 7% {6%}
        • Comedy Central 5% {2%}
        • CBS News 5% {10%}
        Working from the same list of choices, which TV news outlet do you trust the least?
        • Fox News 39% {34%}
        • MSNBC 14% {15%}
        • CNN 13% {11%}
        • Comedy Central 12% {16%}
        • ABC News 5% {7%}
        • CBS News 5% {5%}
        • NBC News 3% {1%}
        • PBS 1% {2%}
        Survey of 800 voters was conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {41%} [40%] (36%) Democrat; 33% {35%} [37%] (35%) Republican; 25% {24%} [23%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 28% {27%} Moderate; 25% {25%} Somewhat conservative; 19% {20%} Somewhat liberal; 18% {19%} Very conservative; 11% {8%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

        Friday, February 01, 2013

        Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

        • Sean Parnell (R) 45.93%
        • Mark Begich (D) 40.03%
        • Not sure 14.04%
        • Mark Begich (D) 46.64%
        • Sarah Palin (R) 40.37%
        • Not sure 12.99%
        • Mark Begich (D) 43.93%
        • Mead Treadwell (R) 33.54%
        • Not sure 22.53%
        • Mark Begich (D) 52.29%
        • Joe Miller (R) 29.35%
        • Not sure 18.35%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Sean Parnell 50.13% / 38.21% {+11.92%}
        • Mark Begich 47.58% / 39.05% {+8.53%}
        • Mead Treadwell 31.60% / 27.00% {+4.60%}
        • Sarah Palin 33.68% / 59.98% {-26.30%}
        • Joe Miller 21.42% / 55.94% {-34.52%}
        GOP Senate Primary
        • Sean Parnell 31.52% 
        • Sarah Palin 26.65% 
        • Mead Treadwell 14.33%
        • Joe Miller 12.32%
        • Not sure 15.19% 
        Survey of 1,157 likely voters was conducted January 29-30, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 2.88 percentage points.  Party ID: 30.94% Republican; 14.95% Democrat; 54.11% Other.  Ideology: 32.93% Somewhat conservative; 32.32% Moderate; 21.26% Very conservative; 10.89% Liberal.  Click here to view crosstabs.
        Inside the numbers:
        In head-to-head matchups against Democratic Senator Mark Begich, Parnell is the only Republican who starts out with a lead (Parnell 46%, Begich 40%). Parnell’s strength is among younger voters 18-to-35 and 36-to-45 years old who pick Parnell 43%-38% and 51%-36% respectively.
        Parnell leads among Taxes & Spending voters (52%-37%), National Debt voters (70%-17%) and Oil & Natural Gas voters (49%-37%) while Begich leads with Health Care voters (66%-19%) and Economy voters (45%-41%). The two are tied among Jobs voters (41%-41%).
        Palin trails Begich 40%-47%. Palin wins among Men (46%-42%) but trails Begich with Women (51%-36%). Begich enjoys stronger support among Democrats (90%) than Palin does among Republicans (68%). Independent and third party voters prefer Begich (52%-34%).
        Joe Miller is the only candidate who lets Begich get above 50% on the ballot. Miller’s weakness in a general election results from his failure to win Somewhat Conservative voters. While Parnell (64%-20%), Palin (54%-31%) and Treadwell (45%-30%) beat Begich with these voters, Miller trails 38%-39%.
        In a GOP Senate primary, Republicans who consider themselves “Very Conservative” give Palin the edge over Parnell 26%-25%. Parnell’s strength is fueled by “Somewhat Conservative” voters who pick him over Palin 39%-25%.
        Palin’s standing is not the result of her being unpopular with Alaska Republicans. Fifty-six percent of Republicans hold a favorable opinion of her, while 38% say unfavorable. The problem for Palin is that Sean Parnell has a 74% favorable image with Republicans, 16% say unfavorable.
        Joe Miller has a net -9% unfavorable image rating (36%-47%) with Republicans. Mead Treadwell boasts a solid 42% favorable, 19% unfavorable image among Republicans.