Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mitt Romney 45% [40%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (44%) {42%} [41%] (44%) {41%} [43%] (39%) {38%} [43%] {40%} [44%] (44%) 
• Barack Obama 42% [42%] (44%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {44%} [40%] (43%) {46%} [42%] {45%} [42%] (44%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted December 8-9, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 21-22, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-10, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 1-2, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 24-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-9, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28-29, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25-26, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the polls conducted August 17-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the polls conducted between July 14-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 3-4, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 24, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Romney and Obama are tied among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Men prefer Romney 46% to 39%, while women are evenly divided between the two candidates. Obama continues to lead among voters under 40, while their elders favor Romney.

Romney leads Obama 52% to 36% among military veterans, but the candidates are tied among those who have not served in the military. The Republican holds a slight edge among both voters who have an immediate family member in the U.S. military and those who don’t.