Swing State Blues Making Obama See red!

American voters in pivotal Battleground States redrew the electoral road map President Obama followed to victory in 2008, by electing Republicans in six Governorships in key swing states across the country yesterday. Wisconsin, Ohio, Iowa, Michigan, New Mexico and Pennsylvania are making Obama sing the blues, as all their Governor’s Mansions turned red, and marking dangerous ground the President must traverse in 2012. Losing control of these key states combined with negative voter opinion, point to a rocky road Obama needs to travel, if he wants to renew his lease at

1600 Pennsylvania Avenue

.

Results for Minnesota and Connecticut are still incomplete, and could provide the GOP with two more victories, once the final votes are counted and confirmed. Earlier today, the tight Florida Governor’s race ended, when Alex Sink conceded the race to Republican challenger, Rick Scott. Nevada, which Obama won in 2008, retained the Governorship for the Republicans, by electing Ryan Sandoval.

As outlined in an earlier article, Obama is seeing his path to an Electoral College victory become increasingly difficult. States which turned red yesterday account for 80 Electoral votes. Additional red states Obama won in 2008 but will likely flip back to the GOP are Florida, Indiana, North Carolina and Virginia, worth 66 EVs.

Exit polling data from yesterday indicate Obama has a serious problem with key voting groups he cobbled together in 2008 to win the White House. A week after he took office, Obama’s overall approval rating was 66% - a reflection of the good will from his historic victory as the nations first African-American President. Now however, his approval is 45% overall, with only 40% of Independent voters expressing approving, down from 62% in January 2009. The data also suggests voters are not merely just concerned with the economy, but generally disapprove of Obama’s policies.

The President does have the time and the ability to improve his fortunes, however. He still retains fairly high personal approval ratings. Should he move towards the center, working with the newly elected Republican House Majority in solving the nations problems, he could see his situation improve.

At this afternoon's press conference, he sounded reflective and signaled he was willing to work with the GOP. However, the issues he mostly focused on for compromise were centered around Energy policy. He gave no indication of going along with a major revision to his Health Care bill, suggesting he would merely consider modifications from the GOP. Obama also seemed willing to discuss ideas on how to get America's unemployed working, but offered no specifics, again indicating he was open to ideas.

Overall, he seemed pensive and bit contrite, but would not acknowledge Americans disagreed with him on policy, only that they were misinterpreting his intentions. There was no real indication of any movement towards the center. It may be too early to see a shift, but in light of yesterday's results, should he remain to the left of the American voter, his road to re-election will continue a difficult one.

Giuliani: Palin's Got 'A Hell Of A Lot More Qualifications' Than Obama Did

Poll Watch: Dittman Research (R) Alaska Senatorial Survey

Dittman Research (R) Alaska Senatorial Survey

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 37% {37%} [37%]
• Joe Miller (R) 26% {27%} [31%]
• Scott McAdams (D) 22% {23%} [19%]
• Undecided 15% {13%} [13%]

Survey of 465 likely voters was conducted October 26-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 28 - September 1, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida Senatorial Survey

• Marco Rubio 45% [42%] (44%) {46%} [32%] (33%) {33%} [30%]
• Charlie Crist 31% [35%] (30%) {33%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [32%]
• Kendrick Meek 18% [15%] (22%) {18%} [16%] (13%) {17%} [24%]

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist 47% [51%] (38%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {37%} [27%]
• Kendrick Meek 42% [36%] (50%) {43%} [36%] (33%) {44%} [55%]
• Marco Rubio 7% [6%] (5%) {8%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [5%]

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio 79% [77%] (85%) {83%} [68%] (69%) {64%} [64%]
• Charlie Crist 17% [19%] (13%) {13%} [22%] (23%) {28%} [30%]
• Kendrick Meek 2% [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [0%]

Among Independents

• Marco Rubio 42% [38%] (32%) {40%} [25%] (28%) {26%} [29%]
• Charlie Crist 35% [43%] (42%) {45%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [38%]
• Kendrick Meek 13% [9%] (19%) {12%} [10%] (8%) {10%} [15%]

Among Men

• Marco Rubio 46% [45%] (49%) {48%} [39%] (38%) {39%} [36%]
• Charlie Crist 32% [40%] (29%) {36%} [39%] (40%) {36%} [30%]
• Kendrick Meek 17% [9%] (18%) {13%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [21%]

Among Women

• Marco Rubio 45% [39%] (37%) {42%} [25%] (29%) {29%} [25%]
• Charlie Crist 31% [30%] (31%) {31%} [40%] (37%) {38%} [34%]
• Kendrick Meek 20% [22%] (26%) {23%} [19%] (13%) {20%} [27%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 52% [44%] (48%) {49%} [35%] (35%) {36%} [36%] (32%) {24%} [15%] (14%) / 38% [42%] (34%) {35%} [28%] (24%) {28%} [22%] (14%) {11%} [9%] (11%) {+14%}
• Kendrick Meek 36% [33%] (33%) {29%} [24%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {20%} [14%] (12%) / 32% [35%] (36%) {39%} [25%] (17%) {13%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [5%] (7%) {+4%}
• Charlie Crist 42% [46%] (45%) {45%} [53%] (49%) {52%} [48%] (52%) {58%} [60%] (60%) / 50% [44%] (47%) {47%} [33%] (35%) {33%} [35%] (36%) {30%} [27%] (28%) {-8%}

Survey of 925 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 6-10, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 23-28, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-16, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-27, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 1-7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 8-13, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-24, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 12 – 18, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2-7, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Alex Sink (D) 44% [45%] (44%) {43%} [33%] (27%) {26%}
• Rick Scott (R) 43% [41%] (45%) {49%} [29%] (29%) {35%}

Among Men

• Alex Sink (D) 43% [44%] (42%) {42%}
• Rick Scott (R) 42% [45%] (48%) {50%}

Among Women

• Alex Sink (D) 44% [46%] (47%) {43%}
• Rick Scott (R) 43% [38%] (41%) {47%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alex Sink 43% [43%] (42%) {39%} [30%] (25%) {28%} [22%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (25%) / 40% [39%] (37%) {39%} [15%] (15%) {14%} [15%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {+3%}
• Rick Scott 39% [34%] (39%) {41%} [28%] (29%) {31%} / 50% [50%] (46%) {40%} [40%] (30%) {22%} {-11%}

Survey of 925 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 6-10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22-27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 8-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20 – 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-18, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2-7, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Corbett (R) 52% {49%} [54%] (44%) {43%} [45%] (42%) 
• Dan Onorato (D) 42% {44%} [39%] (37%) {37%} [33%] (32%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 51% {49%} [51%] (44%) {49%} [47%] (43%) / 25% {28%} [21%] (11%) {13%} [13%] (7%) {+26%}
• Dan Onorato 40% {43%} [40%] (31%) {34%} [21%] (20%) / 36% {33%} [24%] (16%) {13%} [11%] (8%) {+4%}

Survey of 1,244 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 4-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

• Pat Toomey (R) 50% {48%} [50%] (43%) {42%} [42%] (39%) {40%} [38%] (39%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 45% {46%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [34%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 47% {46%} [44%] (35%) {29%} [29%] (26%) {35%} [34%] (34%) / 32% {37%} [31%] (13%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [12%] (10%) {+15%}
• Joe Sestak 40% {45%} [44%] (31%) {32%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (23%) / 40% {36%} [34%] (20%) {14%} [11%] (6%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {0%}

Survey of 1,244 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 4-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-14, 2009 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-28, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14-19, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 53% (54%) {54%} [49%] (51%) [50%] {54%} (55%) [56%] {61%} (64%)
• Linda McMahon (R) 44% (42%) {43%} [46%] (45%) [40%] {37%} (35%) [31%] {28%} (23%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 53% (55%) {57%} [51%] (55%) [57%] {60%} (59%) [61%] {70%} (74%) / 43% (39%) {38%} [41%] (39%) [30%] {28%} (29%) [29%] {18%} (13%) {+10%}
• Linda McMahon 43% (43%) {46%} [42%] (45%) [43%] {43%} (38%) [32%] {36%} (24%) [20%] / 50% (51%) {46%} [43%] (41%) [37%] {37%} (35%) [39%] {26%} (21%) [13%] {-7%}

Survey of 930 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2-8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-8, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-14 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Foley (R) 48% (43%) [42%] {42%} (41%) [31%] {33%}
• Dan Malloy (D) 45% (48%) [49%] {45%} (50%) [46%] {44%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 48% (45%) [41%] {34%} (34%) / 34% (33%) [33%] {25%} (24%) {+14%}
• Dan Malloy 44% (47%) [47%] {39%} (46%) / 41% (34%) [29%] {27%} (21%) {+3%}

Survey of 930 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 21-26, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28 - August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Illinois Senatorial Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Illinois Senatorial Survey 

Senatorial Election

• Mark Kirk (R) 46% {43%} [42%]
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 42% {41%} [40%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 6% {7%} [7%]
• Other 2% {2%} [2%]
• Not sure 4% {7%} [9%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Kirk 41% {34%} / 37% {44%} {+4%}
• Alexi Giannoulias 36% {33%} / 55% {52%} {-19%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Bill Brady (R) 44% {44%} [46%]
• Pat Quinn (D) 38% {39%} [36%]
• Scott Lee Cohen (I) 6% {6%}
• Rich Whitney (G) 4% {4%} [8%]
• Other 2% {1%} [1%]
• Not sure 6% {6%} [9%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bill Brady 43% {42%} / 39% {40%} {+4%}
• Pat Quinn 38% {37%} / 53% {52%} {-15%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 46% {45%} [46%]
• Disapprove 47% {47%} [46%]

Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt Illinois's economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?

• Helped 27% {31%} [30%]
• Hurt 42% {43%} [36%]
• Not made much of a difference 26% {23%} [28%]

How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

• Strongly support 22% {24%} [24%]
• Somewhat support 22% {21%} [20%]
• Somewhat oppose 10% {11%} [10%]
• Strongly oppose 31% {32%} [31%]

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA California Political Survey

SurveyUSA California Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Jerry Brown (D) 48% (46%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 37% (38%) {40%} [43%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (46%)
• Other 6% (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
• Undecided 9% (8%) {5%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (8%)

Already Voted: 35% (29%) {19%}

• Jerry Brown (D) 47% (50%) {46%}
• Meg Whitman (R) 45% (39%) {44%}
• Other 3% (8%) {7%}
• Undecided 6% (4%) {3%}

Did Not Vote Yet: 65% (71%) {81%}

• Jerry Brown (D) 49% (45%) {47%}
• Meg Whitman (R) 33% (38%) {39%}
• Other 7% (8%) {9%}
• Undecided 11% (10%) {5%}

Lieutenant Governor

• Gavin Newsom (D) 42% (42%) {43%} [42%]
• Abel Maldonado (R) 35% (34%) {37%} [37%]
• Other 8% (9%) {14%} [19%]
• Undecided 15% (15%) {6%} [3%]

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% (45%) {46%} [46%] (49%) {46%} [42%] (45%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 38% (40%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {48%} [47%] (47%)
• Other 6% (7%) {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 10% (8%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [5%] (5%)

Already Voted: 35% (29%) {19%}

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% (48%) {45%}
• Carly Fiorina (R) 45% (43%) {43%}
• Other 3% (5%) {6%}
• Undecided 5% (4%) {6%}

Did Not Vote Yet: 65% (71%) {81%}

• Barbara Boxer (D) 46% (44%) {47%}
• Carly Fiorina (R) 34% (39%) {44%}
• Other 7% (8%) {6%}
• Undecided 12% (10%) {4%}

On Proposition 19, which would change California law to legalize marijuana and allow it to be regulated and taxed, are you certain to vote yes; certain to vote no; or not certain?

• Certain to vote yes 44% (44%) {48%} [48%] (47%) {47%} [50%] (50%)
• Certain to vote no 46% (46%) {44%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (40%)
• Not certain 10% (10%) {8%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (10%)

Is your opinion of the Tea Party movement favorable or unfavorable?

• Favorable 28% (28%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {36%} [31%] (31%)
• Unfavorable 37% (37%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {37%} [38%] (37%)

Survey of 587 likely and actual voters was conducted October 26-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (42%) Democrat; 32% (34%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 23% (21%) {21%} [22%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (24%) Independent.  Political ideology: 37% (40%) {41%} [43%] (42%) {46%} [46%] (44%) Moderate; 31% (33%) {31%} [30%] (29%) {30%} [29%] (30%) Conservative; 23% (19%) {23%} [21%] (22%) {18%} [20%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 21-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 1, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8-11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 47% [49%] {51%} (50%) [54%] {38%} (38%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [36%] {38%} (32%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 46% [43%] {41%} (41%) [37%] {43%} (44%) [43%] {44%} (40%) [46%] {43%} (51%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 47% [43%] {47%} (46%) [47%] {28%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (23%) [22%] {26%} (22%) / 37% [37%] {33%} (30%) [27%] {19%} (10%) [10%] {10%} (7%) [10%] {7%} (7%) {+10%}
• Ted Strickland 45% [43%] {43%} (41%) [36%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {45%} (38%) [43%] {42%} (53%) / 45% [45%] {47%} (47%) [52%] {37%} (32%) [35%] {36%} (37%) [34%] {37%} (25%) {0%}

Survey of 848 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 5-9, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26 – July 1, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28 – May 4, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio Senatorial Survey

• Rob Portman (R) 56% [53%] (55%) {55%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [40%] (39%) {31%} [33%] (31%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 37% [36%] (36%) {35%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [37%] (36%) {42%} [37%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 52% [50%] (45%) {44%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (22%) / 20% [21%] (18%) {20%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (9%) {+32%}
• Lee Fisher 31% [32%] (30%) {29%} [28%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (25%) {33%} [29%] (37%) / 43% [42%] (44%) {36%} [17%] (13%) {13%} [12%] (15%) {13%} [17%] (13%) {-12%}

Survey of 848 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 5-9, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 25 – July 1, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28 – May 4, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R)  52% [49%] (51%) {49%} [44%] (51%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 48% [47%] (43%) {45%} [49%] (45%)

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 60% [58%] (58%) {55%} [46%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 39% [39%] (36%) {40%} [47%]

Survey of 930 likely voters was conducted October 27-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 48% (47%) {49%} [47%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (48%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 44% (43%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (43%)
• Other 4% (4%) [3%] (2%) {3%} {2%} [2%] (4%)
• Not sure 4% (6%) {5%} [9%] (5%) {10%} [10%] (5%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 45% (43%) {46%} [40%] (45%) / 43% (39%) {41%} [36%] (35%) {+2%}
• Ted Strickland 43% (44%) {45%} [42%] (42%) / 49% (47%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {-6%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 39% (39%) {37%} [33%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (39%)
• Disapprove 56% (53%) {57%} [58%] (56%) {54%} [57%] (55%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 23, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 25, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Campaigning for GOPers Cross Country, Giuliani Preaches Reagan's 11th Commandment

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Colorado Political Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Colorado Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Ken Buck (R) 50% {46%} [47%]
• Michael Bennet (D) 46% {45%} [43%]
• Other 3% {5%} [5%]
• Not sure 1% {4%} [5%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Ken Buck 46% / 49% { -3% }
• Michael Bennet 44% / 51% {-7%}

Regardless of how you plan to vote, are Ken Buck’s positions on the issues too extreme?

• Yes 47% {49%}
• No 43% {39%}

Regardless of how you plan to vote, does Michael Bennet agree with Barack Obama on issues too often, not often enough or about the right amount?

• Too often 51% {50%}
• Not often enough 3% {8%}
• About the right amount 38% {33%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• John Hickenlooper (D) 47% {45%} [44%]
• Tom Tancredo (AC) 44% {40%} [34%]
• Dan Maes (R) 6% {10%} [15%]
• Other 1% {1%} [1%]
• Not sure 2% {5%} [5%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Hickenlooper 54% / 41% {+13%}
• Tom Tancredo 48% / 44% {+4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 40% {40%} [38%]
• Disapprove 53% {54%} [56%]

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Nevada Senatorial Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Nevada Senatorial Survey

• Sharron Angle (R) 48% (49%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Harry Reid (D) 45% (47%) {46%} [45%] (44%)
• Other 5% (3%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
• None of the above 2% (1%) {1%} [1%] (5%)
• Not sure 0% (0%) {0%} [4%] (2%)

Thinking about your vote for Senate, which best describes your vote -- do you strongly favor your candidate, do you like your candidate, but with some reservations, or do you dislike the other candidate?

Among Sharron Angle Supporters

• Strongly favor 43% (30%)
• Like, with some reservations 21% (31%)
• Dislike other candidate 36% (38%)

Among Harry Reid Supporters

• Strongly favor 50% (46%)
• Like, with some reservations 24% (20%)
• Dislike other candidate 25% (30%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sharron Angle 43% (36%) {39%} / 52% (58%) {53%} {-9%}
• Harry Reid 36% (42%) {44%} / 60% (56%) {55%} {-24%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 38% (40%) {44%} [40%] (42%)
• Disapprove 55% (55%) {52%} [52%] (53%)

Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt Nevada's economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?

• Helped 22% (18%) [18%] (21%)
• Hurt 53% (49%) [49%] (46%)
• Not made much of a difference 23% (29%) [31%] (30%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 2, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Washington Senatorial Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Washington Senatorial Survey

• Patty Murray (D) 49% [46%] (48%)
• Dino Rossi (R) 47% [47%] (47%)
• Other 4% [7%] (2%)
• Not sure 0% [0%] (3%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Patty Murray 47% [45%] / 49% [48%] {-2%}
• Dino Rossi 44% [43%] / 51% [49%] {-7%}

Regardless of how you plan to vote, does Patty Murray agree with Barack Obama on issues too often, not often enough or about the right amount?

• Too often 50%
• Not often enough 2%
• About the right amount 42%

Regardless of how you plan to vote, is Dino Rossi in touch with Washington families and their problems?

• Yes 41%
• No 45%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 40% [44%] (44%)
• Disapprove 51% [49%] (49%)

Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt Washington’s economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?

• Helped 30% [23%] (30%)
• Hurt 45% [42%] (39%)
• Not made much of a difference 21% [30%] (25%)

How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

• Strongly support 23% [21%] (26%)
• Somewhat support 21% [24%] (15%)
• Somewhat oppose 10% [9%] (8%)
• Strongly oppose 33% [31%] (32%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida Gubernatorial Survey

• Alex Sink (D) 48% (46%) {41%} [36%]
• Rick Scott (R) 47% (41%) {34%} [30%]
• Undecided 5% (14%) {17%} [26%]

Among Democrats

• Alex Sink (D) 83% (76%) {72%} [62%]
• Rick Scott (R) 13% (13%) {12%} [8%]
• Undecided 4% (11%) {11%} [16%]

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 82% (77%) {57%} [52%]
• Alex Sink (D) 14% (10%) {13%} [10%]
• Undecided 3% (13%) {22%} [25%]

Among Independents

• Alex Sink (D) 47% (53%) {37%} [36%]
• Rick Scott (R) 42% (26%) {28%} [28%]
• Undecided 11% (21%) {23%} [26%]

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 50% (44%) {40%} [36%]
• Alex Sink (D) 46% (46%) {42%} [36%]
• Undecided 4% (10%) {12%} [18%]

Among Women

• Alex Sink (D) 50% (46%) {40%} [36%]
• Rick Scott (R) 44% (38%) {29%} [23%]
• Undecided 6% (17%) {22%} [26%]

Already Voted (41%)

• Alex Sink (D) 49%
• Rick Scott (R) 49%
• Undecided 2%

Did Not Vote Yet (59%)

• Alex Sink (D) 48%
• Rick Scott (R) 46%
• Undecided 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alex Sink 44% (44%) {35%} [24%] / 42% (38%) {23%} [22%] {+2%}
• Rick Scott 34% (33%) {28%} [23%] / 54% (52%) {49%} [41%] {-20%}

If the candidates for Governor had been Republican Bill McCollum and Democrat Alex Sink, who would you have voted for?

• Alex Sink 46%
• Bill McCollum 45%
• Undecided 10%

Survey of 773 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% (40%) {44%} [40%] Republican; 41% (41%) {42%} [40%] Democrat; 16% (19%) {14%} [20%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 41% (40%) {36%} [44%] Moderate; 41% (39%) {41%} [37%] Conservative; 18% (21%) {22%} [19%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida Senatorial Survey 

• Marco Rubio (R) 47% (44%) {40%} [29%] (34%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (33%) {32%} [35%] (27%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 21% (21%) {17%} [17%] (25%)
• Undecided 2% (3%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (I) 48% (42%) {38%} [44%] (32%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 39% (41%) {39%} [35%] (47%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 11% (15%) {11%} [6%] (9%)
• Undecided 1% (2%)

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 84% (82%) {69%} [54%] (62%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 12% (14%) {20%} [23%] (18%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 3% (2%) {1%} [1%] (7%) 
• Undecided 1% (2%)

Among Independents

• Marco Rubio (R) 41% (27%) {34%} [25%] (24%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 33% (50%) {50%} [40%] (35%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 20% (19%) {4%} [15%] (22%)
• Undecided 6% (4%)

Among Conservatives

• Marco Rubio (R) 80% (80%) {69%} [59%] (62%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 10% (13%) {19%} [20%] (18%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 8% (6%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
• Undecided 1% (1%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (I) 41% (48%) {44%} [45%] (34%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 31% (29%) {24%} [14%] (19%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 25% (19%) {20%} [20%] (32%)
• Undecided 3% (5%)

Among Liberals

• Charlie Crist (I) 53% (40%) {37%} [41%] (30%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 39% (53%) {40%} [40%] (58%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 8% (6%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Undecided 0% (2%)

Among Men

• Marco Rubio (R) 52% (43%) {40%} [34%] (41%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (36%) {33%} [30%] (25%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 18% (20%) {16%} [21%] (22%)
• Undecided 1% (1%)

Among Women

• Marco Rubio (R) 43% (45%) {40%} [24%] (29%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 31% (30%) {31%} [39%] (28%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 24% (22%) {18%} [14%] (28%)
• Undecided 2% (4%)

Among Whites

• Marco Rubio (R) 55% (55%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 30% (29%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 13% (14%)
• Undecided 2% (2%)

Among Hispanics

• Marco Rubio (R) 49% (22%) {36%} [16%] (35%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 32% (48%) {36%} [42%] (22%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 18% (23%) {12%} [32%] (22%)
• Undecided 1% (7%)

Among Blacks

• Kendrick Meek (D) 63% (63%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 29% (28%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 5% (8%)
• Undecided 2% (1%)

Already Voted (41%)

• Marco Rubio (R) 48%
• Charlie Crist (I) 32%
• Kendrick Meek (D) 20%
• Undecided 1%

Did Not Vote Yet (59%)

• Marco Rubio (R) 47%
• Charlie Crist (I) 30%
• Kendrick Meek (D) 21%
• Undecided 2%

If the candidates for US Senate were just Independent Charlie Crist and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?

• Marco Rubio (R) 48% (46%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 44% (46%)
• Undecided 8% (8%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (I) 76% (69%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 13% (20%)
• Undecided 10% (12%)

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio (R) 84% (80%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 12% (14%)
• Undecided 3% (7%)

Among Independents

• Charlie Crist (I) 44% (66%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 42% (31%)
• Undecided 14% (3%)

Among Conservatives

• Marco Rubio (R) 82% (80%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 13% (15%)
• Undecided 5% (4%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (I) 59% (61%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 31% (31%)
• Undecided 10% (8%)

Among Liberals

• Charlie Crist (I) 80% (77%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 9% (8%)
• Undecided 11% (15%)

Among Men

• Marco Rubio (R) 52% (45%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 40% (48%)
• Undecided 8% (7%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (I) 47% (45%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 44% (47%)
• Undecided 8% (9%)

Among Whites

• Marco Rubio (R) 56% (55%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 39% (38%)
• Undecided 5% (7%)

Among Hispanics

• Marco Rubio (R) 50% (28%)
• Charlie Crist (I) 44% (69%)
• Undecided 6% (3%)

Among Blacks

• Charlie Crist (I) 69% (59%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 9% (15%)
• Undecided 22% (27%)

If the candidates for US Senate were just Democrat Kendrick Meek and Republican Marco Rubio, who would you vote for?

• Marco Rubio (R) 51%(48%)
• Kendrick Meek (D) 42% (41%)
• Undecided 7% (12%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Charlie Crist’s job performance?

• Approve 41% (47%) {42%} [44%] (35%)
• Disapprove 43% (43%) {44%} [41%] (51%) 

Among Democrats

• Approve 59% (58%) {54%} [58%] (45%)
• Disapprove 24% (30%) {29%} [27%] (41%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 23% (23%) {29%} [29%] (28%)
• Disapprove 64% (66%) {59%} [55%] (58%)

Among Independents

• Approve 44% (70%) {47%} [46%] (29%)
• Disapprove 39% (25%) {37%} [39%] (53%)

Among Conservatives

• Approve 18% (21%) {26%} [27%] (22%)
• Disapprove 68% (66%) {60%} [58%] (61%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 53% (62%) {54%} [54%] (45%)
• Disapprove 28% (31%) {32%} [32%] (42%)

Among Liberals

• Approve 65% (65%) {51%} [55%] (35%)
• Disapprove 23% (24%) {32%} [28%] (51%)

Among Men

• Approve 43% (51%) {45%} [42%] (36%)
• Disapprove 45% (40%) {46%} [42%] (51%)

Among Women

• Approve 40% (42%) {39%} [46%] (34%)
• Disapprove 42% (46%) {41%} [40%] (50%)

If Charlie Crist ran for political office again in the future would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him, or definitely not vote for him?

• Would definitely vote for him 17%
• Would consider voting for him 43%
• Would definitely not vote for him 39%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Marco Rubio?

• Favorable 51% (45%) {40%} [31%] (31%)
• Unfavorable 41% (43%) {37%} [46%] (32%) 

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 84% (77%) {70%} [56%] (52%)
• Unfavorable 11% (13%) {15%} [19%] (17%)

Among Moderates

• Favorable 35% (32%) {27%} [18%] (19%)
• Unfavorable 55% (54%) {47%} [59%] (39%)

Among Liberals

• Favorable 12% (10%) {9%} [15%] (16%)
• Unfavorable 77% (77%) {62%} [68%] (48%)

Among Independents

• Favorable 49% (36%) {38%} [29%] (25%)
• Unfavorable 39% (48%) {35%} [51%] (34%)

Among Men

• Favorable 54% (44%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
• Unfavorable 40% (46%) {41%} [45%] (36%)

Among Women

• Favorable 48% (46%) {40%} [26%] (28%)
• Unfavorable 42% (41%) {34%} [47%] (29%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Kendrick Meek?

• Favorable 42% (35%) {25%} [18%] (17%)
• Unfavorable 32% (37%) {35%} [27%] (20%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 40% (42%) {39%} [45%] (46%)
• Disapprove 55% (52%) {55%} [49%] (50%)  

Survey of 773 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% (40%) {44%} [40%] (42%) Republican; 41% (41%) {42%} [40%] (39%) Democrat; 16% (19%) {14%} [20%] (19%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 41% (40%) {36%} [44%] (45%) Moderate; 41% (39%) {41%} [37%] (39%) Conservative; 18% (21%) {22%} [19%] (16%) Liberal.  Race: 68% (70%) White; 14% (15%) Hispanic; 14% (11%) Black; 4% (4%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Gubernatorial Survey

• Tom Foley (R) 48% {45%} [44%] (40%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {35%} [44%] (36%)
• Dan Malloy (D) 46% {49%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [48%] (44%) {38%} [35%] (37%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Tom Foley (R) 50% {49%} [45%]
• Dan Malloy (D) 47% {51%} [55%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 55% {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} [45%] (40%) {42%} [45%] (42%) / 42% {44%} [40%] (35%) {40%} [41%] (25%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {+13%}
• Dan Malloy 51% {52%} [54%] (55%) {62%} [53%] (52%) {46%} [47%] (43%) / 44% {43%} [39%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (27%) {24%} [29%] (29%) {+7%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% {43%} [40%] Democrat; 31% {31%} [30%] Republican; 26% {26%} [29%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Foley draws support from 88% of GOP voters in the state, while Malloy picks up 80% of the Democrats. The Republican has a 17-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

Rasmussen West Virginia Senatorial Special Election Survey

• Joe Manchin (D) 49% (46%) {41%} [44%] (41%) {43%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [51%]
• John Raese (R) 45% (45%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {42%} [35%]
• Other 2% (3%) [4%] (4%) {5%} [2%] (4%) {4%} [5%]
• Not sure 4% (7%) [7%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (5%) {7%} [9%]

With Leaners

• Joe Manchin (D) 50% (49%) {43%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [50%] (50%)
• John Raese (R) 46% (46%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {48%} [43%] (45%)
• Other 1% (2%) [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%)
• Not sure 3% (5%) [3%] (5%) {4%} [5%] (3%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Joe Manchin (D) 52% (51%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [56%] (52%)
• John Raese (R) 48% (49%) {51%} [50%] (52%) {49%} [44%] (48%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Manchin 69% (72%) {65%} [70%] (69%) {70%} [71%] (70%) {73%} [74%] (80%) / 30% (26%) {33%} [28%] (29%) {26%} [27%] (29%) {26%} [24%] (18%) {+39%}
• John Raese 45% (47%) {55%} [48%] (56%) {50%} [53%] (54%) {60%} [49%] / 52% (49%) {43%} [49%] (40%) {41%} [41%] (37%) {31%} [32%] {-7%}

Would it be more accurate to describe Joe Manchin’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 55% {50%}
• Extreme 23% {26%}

Would it be more accurate to describe John Raese’s views as mainstream or extreme?

• Mainstream 37% {40%}
• Extreme 48% {39%}

How would you rate the job Joe Manchin has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 45% (38%) {35%} [39%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (35%) {36%} [38%] (40%)
• Somewhat approve 28% (36%) {34%} [33%] (36%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {34%} [33%] (37%)
• Somewhat disapprove 14% (15%) {16%} [17%] (19%) {16%} [18%] (19%) {18%} [20%] (14%)
• Strongly disapprove 12% (9%) {15%} [10%] (12%) {14%} [12%] (13%) {11%} [8%] (9%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 21% (22%) {16%} [22%] (18%) {17%} [18%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (18%)
• Somewhat approve 16% (11%) {14%} [15%] (12%) {13%} [16%] (14%) {12%} [15%] (17%)
• Somewhat disapprove 6% (11%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {15%} [12%] (9%) {12%} [12%] (13%)
• Strongly disapprove 55% (55%) {59%} [52%] (56%) {53%} [52%] (53%) {58%} [55%] (51%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: (44%) {48%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [45%] Democrat; (37%) {35%} [38%] (38%) {37%} [37%] Republican; (19%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [17%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 8, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Raese is backed by 75% of West Virginia Republicans, while Manchin is supported by 76% of Democrats. Raese has a 14-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Connecticut Senatorial Survey

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 52% (54%) {50%} [52%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (53%) {56%} [48%] (52%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {58%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 45% (42%) {44%} [43%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (40%) {33%} [45%] (39%) {35%} [31%] (36%) {34%}

With Leaners

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 53% (56%) {51%} [54%] (50%) {53%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 46% (43%) {46%} [43%] (45%) {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Richard Blumenthal (D) 55% (57%) {54%} [56%] (56%) {59%}
• Linda McMahon (R) 45% (43%) {46%} [44%] (44%) {41%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Blumenthal 55% (58%) {54%} [59%] (61%) {62%} [59%] (61%) {64%} [66%] (72%) {69%} [72%] (70%) / 43% (42%) {44%} [39%] (38%) {38%} [39%] (36%) {32%} [32%] (23%) {28%} [26%] (27%) {+12%}
• Linda McMahon 47% (43%) {48%} [46%] (56%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {38%} [54%] (55%) {45%} [46%] (51%) / 51% (56%) {50%} [52%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (46%) {47%} [42%] (31%) {45%} [42%] (34%) {-4%}

How would you rate the job Jodi Rell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 18% (15%) {18%} [17%] (21%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {15%} [20%] (17%) {17%} [18%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 42% (45%) {42%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {38%} [36%] (43%) {43%} [47%] (45%)
• Somewhat disapprove 25% (27%) {24%} [29%] (24%) {24%} [22%] (21%) {24%} [29%] (28%) {20%} [19%] ( 23%)
• Strongly disapprove 14% (13%) {15%} [12%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (16%) {21%} [14%] (12%) {19%} [14%] (10%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 34% (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {39%} [36%] (44%)
• Somewhat approve 18% (17%) {20%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [23%] (22%) {27%} [20%] (17%) {20%} [19%] (19%) {17%} [21%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (7%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (11%) {10%} [11%] (10%) {8%} [10%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 40% (39%) {37%} [38%] (39%) {35%} [37%] (37%) {32%} [29%] (32%) {34%} [35%] (39%) {35%} [33%] (30%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 44% (42%) {43%} [40%] (40%) Democrat; 30% (31%) {31%} [30%] (31%) Republican; 26% (27%) {26%} [29%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 24, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 18, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 4, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 6, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10, 2009 are in parentheses. 

Inside the numbers:

Blumenthal has the backing of 83% of Connecticut Democrats, while 85% of Republicans support McMahon.  The Republican candidate has a 5-point lead among voters not affiliated with either party.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

• Brian Sandoval (R) 55% [52%] (52%)
• Rory Reid (D) 44% [43%] (38%)
• Undecided 1% [5%] (11%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 56% [52%] (42%) / 33% [32%] (31%) {+23%}
• Rory Reid 39% [38%] (34%) / 51% [44%] (48%) {-12%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jim Gibbons’ job performance?

• Approve 25% [25%] (25%)
• Disapprove 67% [61%] (63%)

Survey of 682 voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% [41%] (41%) Democrat; 40% [40%] (39%) Republican; 19% [19%] (20%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 42% [46%] (47%) Moderate; 41% [35%] (40%) Conservative; 17% [19%] (13%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada Senatorial Survey 

• Sharron Angle (R) 47% [45%] (46%)
• Harry Reid (D) 46% [47%] (48%)
• Scott Ashjian (TP) 3% [2%]
• Michael Haines (I) 1% [1%]
• Tim Fasano (IAP) 1% [0%]
• None of these candidates 1% [2%]
• Undecided 0% [1%] (6%)

Among Men

• Sharron Angle (R) 51% [47%] (55%)
• Harry Reid (D) 42% [44%] (39%)

Among Women

• Harry Reid (D) 50% [51%] (55%)
• Sharron Angle (R) 43% [42%] (38%)

Among Conservatives

• Sharron Angle (R) 80% [86%] (80%)
• Harry Reid (D) 14% [8%] (15%) 

Among Moderates

• Harry Reid (D) 63% [63%] (64%)
• Sharron Angle (R) 29% [29%] (28%)

Already Voted (60%)

• Harry Reid (D) 50%
• Sharron Angle (R) 46%
• Scott Ashjian (TP) 2%
• Tim Fasano (IAP) 1%

Did Not Vote Yet (40%)

• Sharron Angle (R) 48%
• Harry Reid (D) 40%
• Scott Ashjian (TP) 4%
• Tim Fasano (IAP) 2%
• Michael Haines (I) 2%
• Jesse Holland (I) 1%
• Wil Stand (I) 1%
• None of these candidates 1%

If the candidates for US Senate were just Republican Sharron Angle and Democrat Harry Reid, who would you vote for?

• Harry Reid 49%
• Sharron Angle 48%
• Undecided 3%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Harry Reid’s job performance?

• Approve 42% [44%] (44%)
• Disapprove 55% [52%] (53%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sharron Angle?

• Favorable 44% [41%] (36%)
• Unfavorable 53% [53%] (52%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve [44%] (44%)
• Disapprove [52%] (52%)

If the candidates for US Senate this fall had been Democrat Harry Reid and Republican Danny Tarkanian, who would you have voted for?

• Danny Tarkanian (R) 54% [49%]
• Harry Reid (D) 39% [43%]
• Undecided 7% [8%]

Survey of 682 voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% [41%] (41%) Democrat; 40% [40%] (39%) Republican; 19% [19%] (20%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 42% [46%] (47%) Moderate; 41% [35%] (40%) Conservative; 17% [19%] (13%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) California Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) California Senatorial Survey

• Barbara Boxer (D) 50% (52%) {50%} [49%] (45%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 46% (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)

Already Voted: 42% (26%)

• Barbara Boxer (D) 50% (48%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 47% (46%)

Did Not Vote Yet: 58% (74%)

• Barbara Boxer (D) 50% (53%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 46% (41%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Barbara Boxer’s job performance?

• Approve 40% (44%) {46%} [44%] (37%)
• Disapprove 50% (46%) {46%} [46%] (46%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Carly Fiorina?

• Favorable 42% (38%) {34%} [28%] (22%)
• Unfavorable 44% (49%) {42%} [40%] (30%) 

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dianne Feinstein’s job performance?

• Approve 43% (50%) {46%} [44%] (41%)
• Disapprove 42% (37%) {40%} [43%] (41%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% (51%) {53%} [54%] (49%)
• Disapprove 47% (43%) {42%} [39%] (42%)

Survey of 882 likely California voters was conducted October 29-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% (47%) {49%} [46%] (46%) Democrat; 37% (34%) {33%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 18% (19%) {18%} [19%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 42% (47%) {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 37% (30%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Conservative; 21% (23%) {27%} [25%] (23%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) California Gubernatorial Survey

• Jerry Brown (D) 51% (53%) {47%} [46%] (48%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% (42%) {42%} [40%] (36%)
• Undecided 3% (5%) {12%} [14%] (16%)

Already Voted: 42% (26%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 53% (50%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 45% (43%)

Did Not Vote Yet: 58% (74%)

• Jerry Brown (D) 50% (54%)
• Meg Whitman (R) 46% (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jerry Brown 42% (48%) {42%} [41%] (37%) / 49% (44%) {45%} [43%] (39%) {-7%}
• Meg Whitman 38% (36%) {35%} [30%] (24%) / 50% (55%) {49%} [50%] (44%) {-12%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger’s job performance?

• Approve 24% (25%) {20%} [19%] (20%)
• Disapprove 67% (63%) {69%} [71%] (64%)

Proposition 19 would legalize marijuana under California but not federal law. It would permit local governments to regulate and tax commercial production, distribution, and sale of marijuana. Will you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?

• Yes 44% (45%)
• No 51% (48%)
• Undecided 5% (7%)

Survey of 882 likely California voters was conducted October 29-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% (47%) {49%} [46%] (46%) Democrat; 37% (34%) {33%} [34%] (33%) Republican; 18% (19%) {18%} [19%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 42% (47%) {39%} [41%] (43%) Moderate; 37% (30%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Conservative; 21% (23%) {27%} [25%] (23%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 21-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Washington Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Washington Senatorial Survey

• Dino Rossi (R) 50% {47%} [46%]
• Patty Murray (D) 48% {49%} [49%]
• Undecided 2% {4%} [5%]

Already Voted (76%)

• Dino Rossi (R) 52%
• Patty Murray (D) 47%
• Undecided 1%

Did Not Vote Yet (24%)

• Patty Murray (D) 51%
• Dino Rossi (R) 45%
• Undecided 5%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Patty Murray’s job performance?

• Approve 44% {47%} [46%]
• Disapprove 51% {48%} [45%]

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dino Rossi?

• Favorable 45% {44%} [43%]
• Unfavorable 46% {49%} [48%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Maria Cantwell’s job performance?

• Approve 41% {44%}
• Disapprove 43% {41%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Christine Gregoire’s job performance?

• Approve 36% {40%}
• Disapprove 55% {53%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 42% {46%} [49%]
• Disapprove 53% {48%} [47%]

Survey of 2,055 likely and actual voters was conducted October 29-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 35% {37%}  [36%] Democrat; 32% {34%} [29%] Republican; 33% {29%} [35%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 41% {41%} [41%] Moderate; 36% {35%} [35%] Conservative; 23% {24%} [24%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27 - August 1, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Illinois Senatorial Survey

• Mark Kirk (R) 46% {42%} [40%] (35%) {30%} [37%] (34%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 42% {40%} [36%] (37%) {31%} [33%] (42%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 3% {4%} [8%] (9%) {14%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3% {3%} [3%]
• Undecided 7% {10%} [13%] (19%) {24%} [30%] (24%)

Among Men

• Mark Kirk (R) 48% {46%} [44%] (41%) {34%} [43%] (40%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 38% {38%} [31%] (35%) {30%} [34%] (40%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 4% {5%} [11%] (10%) {18%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3% {4%} [3%]
• Undecided 7% {7%} [12%] (15%) {17%} 

Among Women

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 46% {43%} [41%] (40%) {32%} [32%] (43%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 44% {37%} [36%] (30%) {26%} [31%] (28%)
• Mike Labno (L) 3% {3%} [3%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 2% {4%} [6%] (8%) {11%}
• Undecided 6% {13%} [15%] (22%) {31%} [37%] (29%)

Among Democrats

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 78% {76%} [68%] (72%) {56%} [54%] (72%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 13% {10%} [9%] (5%) {10%} [10%] (7%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 1% {5%} [7%] (8%) {15%}
• Mike Labno (L) 0% {0%} [2%]
• Undecided 8% {9%} [15%] (15%) {19%} [36%] (20%)

Among Republicans

• Mark Kirk (R) 87% {86%} [79%] (74%) {63%} [77%] (76%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 8% {3%} [2%] (6%) {5%} [7%] (5%)
• Mike Labno (L) 1% {2%} [2%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 0% {1%} [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Undecided 3% {9%} [11%] (12%) {25%} [16%] (19%)

Among Independents

• Mark Kirk (R) 46% {40%} [41%] (36%) {26%} [33%] (33%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 31% {31%} [27%] (20%) {20%} [30%] (27%)
• Mike Labno (L) 7% {9%} [5%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 7% {6%} [13%] (12%) {21%}
• Undecided 9% {14%} [14%] (32%) {32%} [37%] (40%)

Among Conservatives

• Mark Kirk (R) 75% {69%} [70%] (66%) {51%} [69%] (59%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 10% {11%} [6%] (9%) {11%} [9%] (19%)
• Mike Labno (L) 5% {6%} [4%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 2% {3%} [4%] (8%) {17%}
• Undecided 8% {11%} [16%] (17%) {21%} [22%] (21%)

Among Moderates

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 52% {45%} [43%] (42%) {33%} [36%] (45%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 37% {39%} [33%] (25%) {27%} [23%] (25%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 2% {4%} [9%] (11%) {14%}
• Mike Labno (L) 2% {3%} [2%]
• Undecided 8% {11%} [13%] (23%) {26%} [41%] (30%)

Among Liberals

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 77% {78%} [74%] (78%) {56%} [71%] (68%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 15% {6%} [2%] (1%) {6%} [8%] (11%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 4% {8%} [13%] (8%) {12%}
• Mike Labno (L) 2% {1%} [2%]
• Undecided 2% {8%} [9%] (13%) {26%} [22%] (21%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Kirk 39% {35%} [33%] (26%) {23%} [24%] (27%) / 45% {46%} [47%] (34%) {31%} [23%] (22%) {-6%}
• Alexi Giannoulias 35% {35%} [33%] (26%) {23%} [21%] (31%) / 49% {47%} [48%] (42%) {31%} [28%] (19%) {-14%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 46% {45%} [44%] (49%) {53%} [50%]
• Disapprove 48% {51%} [49%] (46%) {41%} [42%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Roland Burris’ job performance?

• Approve 18% {19%} [17%] (20%) {19%} [18%] (14%)
• Disapprove 57% {58%} [68%] (55%) {54%} [54%] (60%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dick Durbin’s job performance?

• Approve 46% {47%} [46%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (47%)
• Disapprove 43% {45%} [43%] (38%) {36%} [34%] (39%)

Survey of 814 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% {40%} [42%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (47%) Democrat; 31% {30%} [32%] (32%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Republican; 30% {30%} [26%] (26%) {29%} [28%] (23%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 45% {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} [44%] (38%) Moderate; 35% {34%} [37%] (38%) {34%} [36%] (36%) Conservative; 20% {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [20%] (26%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1-5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Illinois Gubernatorial Survey 

• Bill Brady (R) 45% [42%] (42%) {39%} [34%] (43%)
• Pat Quinn (D) 40% [41%] (35%) {30%} [30%] (33%)
• Rich Whitney (G) 5% [3%] (4%) {11%} [9%]
• Scott Lee Cohen (I) 4% [6%] (6%)
• Lex Green (L) 2% [1%] (2%)
• Undecided 4% [6%] (11%) {20%} [27%] (24%)

Among Men

• Bill Brady (R) 47% [47%] (45%) {45%} [37%] (44%)
• Pat Quinn (D) 36% [39%] (30%) {31%} [30%] (34%)
• Scott Lee Cohen (I) 6% [4%] (7%)
• Rich Whitney (G) 4% [4%] (6%) {11%} [12%]
• Lex Green (L) 3% [2%] (3%)
• Undecided 4% [3%] (8%) {14%} [21%] (22%)

Among Women

• Pat Quinn (D) 45% [43%] (39%) {30%} [31%] (32%)
• Bill Brady (R) 43% [38%] (39%) {34%} [31%] (42%)
• Rich Whitney (G) 5% [2%] (2%) {11%} [6%]
• Scott Lee Cohen (I) 3% [7%] (4%)
• Lex Green (L) 1% [1%] (1%)
• Undecided 3% [9%] (14%) {25%} [32%] (26%)

If the only choices for Governor were Republican Bill Brady and Democrat Pat Quinn, who would you vote for?

• Bill Brady 49% [49%]
• Pat Quinn 44% [44%]
• Undecided 7% [7%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Pat Quinn’s job performance?

• Approve 32% [32%] (24%) {23%} [27%] (25%) {25%}
• Disapprove 54% [54%] (60%) {53%} [50%] (53%) {55%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bill Brady?

• Favorable 39% [39%] (36%) {25%} [22%] (25%)
• Unfavorable 45% [44%] (44%) {30%} [22%] (20%)

Survey of 814 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 39% [40%] (42%) {41%} [42%] (42%) {47%} Democrat; 31% [30%] (32%) {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} Republican; 30% [30%] (26%) {26%} [29%] (28%) {23%} Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 45% [44%] (40%) {39%} [43%] (44%) {38%} Moderate; 35% [34%] (37%) {38%} [34%] (36%) {36%} Conservative; 20% [22%] (23%) {22%} [23%] (20%) {26%} Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1-5, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado Senatorial Survey

• Ken Buck (R) 49% [47%] (45%) {43%} [39%] (40%)
• Michael Bennet (D) 48% [47%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (46%)

Already Voted: 66% [45%]

• Michael Bennet (D) 52% [49%]
• Ken Buck (R) 46% [46%]

Did Not Vote Yet: 34% [55%]

• Ken Buck (R) 55% [47%]
• Michael Bennet (D) 41% [46%]

If the candidates for US Senate had been Democrat Michael Bennet and Republican Jane Norton, who would you have voted for?

• Jane Norton 47%
• Michael Bennet 43%
• Undecided 10%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Michael Bennet’s job performance?

• Approve 39% [40%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (32%)
• Disapprove 47% [51%] (49%) {48%} [44%] (46%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Buck?

• Favorable 44% [44%] (41%) {26%} [19%] (14%)
• Unfavorable 48% [49%] (46%) {46%} [24%] (18%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?

• Approve 38% [42%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%)
• Disapprove 35% [40%] (39%) {41%} [41%] (42%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 41% [43%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (47%)
• Disapprove 53% [53%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (50%)

Survey of 1,059 likely was conducted October 30-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 39% [38%] (37%) {39%} [33%] (36%) Republican; 38% [35%] (36%) {40%} [37%] (39%) Democrat; 23% [26%] (27%) {20%} [31%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 39% [42%] (42%) {39%} [44%] (42%) Moderate; 39% [38%] (36%) {37%} [37%] (35%) Conservative; 23% [19%] (23%) {24%} [20%] (23%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 21-23, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 7-8, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado Gubernatorial Survey

• John Hickenlooper (D) 48% [47%] (47%) {48%}
• Tom Tancredo (AC) 43% [44%] (33%) {22%}
• Dan Maes (R) 8% [5%] (13%) {23%}
• Undecided 1% [4%] (7%) {7%}

Already Voted (66%)

• John Hickenlooper (D) 52%
• Tom Tancredo (AC) 41%
• Dan Maes (R) 6%
• Undecided 1%

Did Not Vote Yet (34%)

• Tom Tancredo (AC) 46%
• John Hickenlooper (D) 41%
• Dan Maes (R) 12%
• Undecided 1%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Hickenlooper 51% [51%] (51%) {50%} [47%] (51%) / 38% [41%] (37%) {33%} [33%] (27%) {+13%}
• Tom Tancredo 44% [45%] (35%) {27%} / 43% [44%] (45%) {50%} {+1%}
• Dan Maes 11% [8%] (12%) {23%} / 66% [75%] (58%) {38%} {-55%}

Survey of 1,059 likely was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% [38%] (37%) {39%} [33%] (36%) Republican; 38% [35%] (36%) {40%} [37%] (39%) Democrat; 23% [26%] (27%) {20%} [31%] (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 39% [42%] (42%) {39%} [44%] (42%) Moderate; 39% [38%] (36%) {37%} [37%] (35%) Conservative; 23% [19%] (23%) {24%} [20%] (23%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 21-23, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-8, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska Survey on Sarah Palin

PPP (D) Alaska Survey on Sarah Palin

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

• Favorable 33% [35%] {47%}
• Unfavorable 58% [57%] {45%}

Among Independents

• Favorable 25% [29%] {36%}
• Unfavorable 65% [63%] {55%}

Among Republicans

• Favorable 60% [59%] {78%}
• Unfavorable 30% [30%] {15%}

Among Democrats

• Favorable 14% [8%] {24%}
• Unfavorable 84% [86%] {74%}

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 60% [64%]
• Unfavorable 28% [25%]

Among Moderates

• Favorable 16% [17%]
• Unfavorable 76% [77%]

Among Men

• Favorable 37% [37%] {50%}
• Unfavorable 54% [55%] {42%}

Among Women

• Favorable 30% [33%] {44%}
• Unfavorable 62% [59%] {49%}

Do you want Sarah Palin to run for President in 2012?

• Yes 18%
• No 70%

Among Independents

• Yes 16%
• No 72%

Among Republicans

• Yes 26%
• No 58%

Among Democrats

• Yes 10%
• No 83%

Among Conservatives

• Yes 25%
• No 55%

Among Moderates

• Yes 13%
• No 79%

Among Men

• Yes 21%
• No 65%

Among Women

• Yes 15%
• No 75%

Survey of 1,539 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 48% [47%] {50%} Independent/Other; 32% [33%] {32%} Republican; 21% [20%] {18%} Democrat. Political ideology: 43% [43%] Moderate; 42% [41%] Conservative; 16% [16%] Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-28, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska Senatorial Survey

In the election for US Senate will you vote for Democrat Scott McAdams, Republican Joe Miller, nonaffiliated candidate Tim Carter, nonaffiliated candidate Ted Gianoutsos, Libertarian Fredrick Haase, or are you going to write in Lisa Murkowski, or are you planning to write in someone else?

• Joe Miller (R) 37% [35%] (38%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 30% [33%] (34%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 30% [26%] (22%)
• Someone else 1% [1%]
• Undecided 2% [4%] (6%)

Among Independents

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 34% [38%] (38%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 32% [25%] (21%)
• Joe Miller (R) 31% [29%] (33%)
• Someone else 1% [1%]
• Undecided 2% [5%] (7%)

Among Republicans

• Joe Miller (R) 65% [61%] (59%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 27% [31%] (32%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 5% [4%] (5%)
• Undecided 2% [2%] (4%)

Among Democrats

• Scott McAdams (D) 63% [63%] (57%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 28% [25%] (28%)
• Joe Miller (R) 9% [8%] (7%)
• Undecided 0% [3%] (8%)

Among Conservatives

• Joe Miller (R) 67% [66%] (69%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 23% [24%] (23%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 7% [5%] (3%)
• Undecided 2% [3%] (6%)

Among Moderates

• Lisa Murkowski (R) 41% [47%] (48%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 38% [30%] (29%)
• Joe Miller (R) 18% [15%] (16%)
• Undecided 2% [5%] (7%)

Among Men

• Joe Miller (R) 40% [40%] (42%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 29% [31%] (35%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 28% [23%] (19%)
• Undecided 2% [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Joe Miller (R) 34% [31%] (34%)
• Lisa Murkowski (R) 32% [36%] (33%)
• Scott McAdams (D) 32% [29%] (25%)
• Someone else 1% [1%]
• Undecided 2% [4%] (8%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Lisa Murkowski's job performance?

• Approve 37% 
• Disapprove 53%

Among Independents

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 48%

Among Republicans

• Approve 31%
• Disapprove 63%

Among Democrats

• Approve 39%
• Disapprove 53%

Among Conservatives

• Approve 28%
• Disapprove 66% 

Among Moderates

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 39%

Among Men

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 56%

Among Women

• Approve 40%
• Disapprove 51%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Miller?

• Favorable 36% [35%] (36%)
• Unfavorable 59% [58%] (52%)

Among Independents

• Favorable 30% [28%] (32%)
• Unfavorable 64% [65%] (54%)

Among Republicans

• Favorable 62% [59%] (57%)
• Unfavorable 32% [33%] (32%)

Among Democrats

• Favorable 11% [10%] (8%)
• Unfavorable 86% [85%] (84%)

Among Conservatives

• Favorable 63% [64%] (66%)
• Unfavorable 29% [28%] (20%)

Among Moderates

• Favorable 19% [17%] (15%)
• Unfavorable 77% [77%] (72%)

Among Men

• Favorable 40% [38%] (40%)
• Unfavorable 56% [56%] (48%)

Among Women

• Favorable 33% [32%] (33%)
• Unfavorable 62% [61%] (55%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott McAdams?

• Favorable 50% [44%] (23%)
• Unfavorable 30% [26%] (24%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 39% [39%] (42%)
• Disapprove 47% [48%] (50%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 38% [38%] (44%)
• Disapprove 55% [55%] (53%) 

Survey of 1,539 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 48% [47%] (42%) Independent/Other; 32% [33%] (38%) Republican; 21% [20%] (20%) Democrat. Political ideology: 43% [43%] (44%) Moderate; 42% [41%] (42%) Conservative; 16% [16%] (14%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27-28, 2010 are in parentheses.