Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Poll

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% {47%} [49%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [42%]

• Rand Paul (R) 46% {47%} [49%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%} [43%]

• Chris Christie (R) 44% {43%} [46%] (43%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {39%} [38%] (42%)

• Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {45%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {41%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%} [49%] (53%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 41% {43%} [40%] (37%)

Among Men

• Jeb Bush (R) 58% {54%} [59%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 32% {33%} [31%]

• Rand Paul (R) 55% {55%} [58%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {35%} [34%]

• Chris Christie (R) 51% {49%} [51%] (50%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {34%} [31%] (35%)

• Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {51%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {35%}

• Sarah Palin (R) 50% {49%} [48%] (43%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {37%} [39%] (46%)

Among Women 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {45%} [52%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 37% {40%} [40%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {46%} [50%]
• Rand Paul (R) 39% {41%} [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {44%} [45%] (47%)
• Chris Christie (R) 37% {38%} [43%] (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {47%}
• Mike Huckabee (R) 37% {40%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {50%} [58%] (60%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 32% {38%} [34%] (31%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?

• Favorable 36% {39%} [39%] (34%)
• Unfavorable 56% {55%} [58%] (59%)

Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?

• She should run 19% {23%} [18%] (16%)
• She should not 74% {69%} [77%] (78%)

Survey of 582 registered voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2016 GOP Primary Poll 

Given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Sarah Palin, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker, who would you most like to see as the GOP candidate for President in 2016?

• Ted Cruz 15% {13%} [8%] 
• Chris Christie 14% {10%} [13%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 14% {12%} [11%] (9%)
• Sarah Palin 12% {13%} [14%] (9%) 
• Mike Huckabee 11% {11%} (14%)
• Rand Paul 11% {15%} [18%] (12%)
• Paul Ryan 4% {4%} [9%] (10%)
• Scott Walker 4% {4%}
• Marco Rubio 3% {6%} [9%] (18%)
• Someone else/Not sure 12% {12%} [12%] (10%)

If Sarah Palin was not a candidate for President, who would you support, given the choices of Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Ted Cruz, Mike Huckabee, Rand Paul, Marco Rubio, Paul Ryan, and Scott Walker?

• Chris Christie 16% {9%} [14%]
• Ted Cruz 15% {16%} [9%]
• Jeb Bush 15% {14%} [15%]
• Rand Paul 14% {14%} [20%]
• Mike Huckabee 10% {13%} 
• Paul Ryan 5% {7%} [14%]
• Scott Walker 5% {5%}
• Marco Rubio 4% {8%} [10%]
• Someone else/Not sure 16% {15%} [12%]

Survey of 313 Republican primary voters was conducted May 8-11, 2014.  The margin of error is +/-5.5  percentage points. Political ideology: 38% {37%} [ 33%] Very conservative; 31% {33%} [37%] Somewhat conservative; 22% {23%} [24%] Moderate; 5% {2%} [2%] Very liberal; 4% {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Charlie Crist (D) 44% [44%] (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 41% [41%] (41%)

Among Democrats

• Charlie Crist (D) 80% (80%)
• Rick Scott (R) 10% (13%)

Among Republicans

• Rick Scott (R) 74% (71%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 14% (14%)

Among Independents

• Rick Scott (R) 41% (43%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 36% (40%)

Among Moderates

• Charlie Crist (D) 55% (57%)
• Rick Scott (R) 30% (33%)

Among Men

• Rick Scott (R) 49% (41%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 37% (47%)

Among Women

• Charlie Crist (D) 50% (46%)
• Rick Scott (R) 33% (42%)

Survey of 554 likely voters was conducted May 9-12, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (38%) Democrat; 37% (34%) Republican; 26% (27%) Independent. Ideology: 42% (45%) Moderate; 34% (32%) Conservative; 19% (20%) Liberal. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
• Rand Paul (R) 44% (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 42% (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
• Chris Christie (R) 40% (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%) {49%} [48%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 43% (43%) {42%} [43%]

Among Independents

• Rand Paul (R) 46% (44%) {40%} [39%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (42%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 32% (35%) {48%} [49%] (34%) {42%} [42%] (48%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 40% (45%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [41%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (39%) {46%} [50%] (36%) {37%} [40%]

• Chris Christie (R) 39% (45%) {38%} [33%] (39%) {50%} [46%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (38%) {39%} [47%] (33%) {31%} [31%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (44%) {34%} [36%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (38%) {48%} [52%]

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (59%) [58%] (60%) {62%} [63%] (65%)
• Rand Paul (R) 23% (26%) [29%] (25%) {25%} [26%] (25%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (60%) [58%] (58%) {59%} [61%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 23% (29%) [25%] (25%) {30%} [26%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59% (60%) [54%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
• Chris Christie (R) 18% (31%) [31%] (32%) {32%} [36%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 64% (62%) [60%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 21% (28%) [25%]

Among Men

• Rand Paul (R) 50% (48%) {49%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%) {43%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (46%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% (50%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [46%] 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (42%) {42%} [45%] (41%) {38%} [42%]

• Chris Christie (R) 43% (47%) {48%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [51%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (42%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {35%} [37%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 49% (47%) {44%} [46%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%) {47%} [47%]

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (49%) {55%} [49%] (49%) {53%} [54%] (57%)
• Rand Paul (R) 38% (39%) {38%} [41%] (38%) {38%} [38%] (35%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (49%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 38% (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {39%} [40%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%) {52%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [47%]
• Chris Christie (R) 36% (42%) {37%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [42%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (50%) {52%} [50%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 38% (40%) {41%} [41%]

Among Whites

• Rand Paul (R) 52% (54%) {54%} [54%] (56%) {54%} [51%] (51%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%) {38%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (41%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 51% (55%) {57%} [54%] (55%) {58%} [53%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (37%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [37%]

• Chris Christie (R) 46% (54%) {51%} [50%] (53%) {57%} [56%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (37%) {36%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [33%]

• Mike Huckabee (R) 51% (53%) {53%} [54%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (38%) {37%} [38%]

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton (D) 75% (80%) {87%} [82%] (84%) {83%} [86%] (87%)
• Rand Paul (R) 13% (10%) {11%} [10%] (5%) {12%} [11%] (8%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 69% (77%) {86%} [82%] (86%) {81%} [81%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 9% (8%) {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [13%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 68% (78%) {80%} [78%] (79%) {81%} [77%]
• Chris Christie (R) 11% (13%) {14%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [17%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 78% (80%) {89%} [82%]
• Mike Huckabee (R) 10% (10%) {9%} [9%]

Survey of 877 registered voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 42% (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 35% (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 23% (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% (53%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) Women; 47% (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) Men. Race: 74% (74%) {74%} [75%] (73%) {73%} [73%] (72%) White; 20% (20%) {20%} [20%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (22%) Black; 6% (6%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Mike Huckabee 17% [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%)
• Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
• Chris Christie 12% [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 12% [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
• Rand Paul 12% [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
• Paul Ryan 8% [6%] (9%) {4%} [8%] (11%) {7%} [7%] (12%) 
• Scott Walker 5% (7%) {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
• Marco Rubio 5% [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%) 
• Bobby Jindal 2% [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%] 
• Someone else/Not sure 11% [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee 18% [13%] (19%) {15%} [15%] (14%)
• Chris Christie 14% [9%] (12%) {16%} [14%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (10%)
• Rand Paul 14% [18%] (8%) {13%} [19%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
• Ted Cruz 12% [19%] (16%) {16%} [7%] (14%) {15%} [16%] 
• Jeb Bush 12% [15%] {13%} [18%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (11%)
• Paul Ryan 7% [7%] (8%) {3%} [5%] (10%) {5%} [6%] (12%)  
• Scott Walker 7% (10%) {7%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [1%] 
• Marco Rubio 4% [6%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (22%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% [4%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [5%]
• Someone else/Not sure 11% [7%] (4%) {12%} [6%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (7%)

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 23% [15%] (21%) {11%} [13%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (8%)
• Mike Huckabee 16% [26%] (24%) {24%} [25%] (16%)
• Ted Cruz 11% [13%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [9%] 
• Chris Christie 10% [9%] (12%) {13%} [7%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
• Paul Ryan 9% [4%] (9%) {5%} [12%] (11%) {8%} [9%] (12%)
• Rand Paul 9% [11%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
• Marco Rubio 5% [4%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (19%) 
• Scott Walker 4% (3%) {5%} [2%] (1%) {4%} [0%] 
• Bobby Jindal 3% [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (4%) {3%} [7%] 
• Someone else/Not sure 10% [10%] (7%) {14%} [13%] (17%) {15%} [17%] (10%)

Survey of 394 Republican primary voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 37% [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 2% [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• David Perdue 27% [26%] (29%)
• Jack Kingston 19% [20%] (19%)
• Karen Handel 16% [15%] (10%)
• Phil Gingrey 10% [6%] (12%)
• Paul Broun 10% [13%] (11%)
• Derrick Grayson 3% [5%] (4%)
• Art Gardner 1% [1%] (1%)
• Undecided 14% [13%] (15%)

Survey of 634 likely and actual GOP primary voters was conducted May 8-12, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 77% [72%] (76%) Republican; 19% [22%] (21%) Independent; 3% [4%] (3%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 71% [68%] (72%) Conservative; 23% [24%] (24%) Moderate; 4% [5%] (3%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll 

• Mark Begich (D) 42% {41%} [46%] (47%)
• Dan Sullivan (R) 37% {37%} [39%] (41%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 5% {6%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 1% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 41% {44%} [52%] (54%)
• Sarah Palin (R) 35% {40%} [40%] (38%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {4%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 41% {43%} [44%] (47%)
• Mead Treadwell (R) 33% {37%} [40%] (39%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 6% {5%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {1%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 1% {1%}

• Mark Begich (D) 43% {45%} [55%] (58%)
• Joe Miller (R) 27% {25%} [32%] (30%)
• Zachary Kile (AIP) 4% {5%}
• Sidney Hill (I) 2% {2%}
• Ted Gianoutsos (I) 0% {1%} 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mead Treadwell 30% {33%} [35%] (34%) / 34% {31%} [29%] (26%) {-4%} 
• Dan Sullivan 34% {31%} [31%] (37%) / 43% {35%} [28%] (34%) {-9%}
• Sarah Palin 36% {39%} [39%] (34%) / 56% {55%} [58%] (59%) {-20%}
• Joe Miller 17% {16%} [19%] (20%) / 61% {62%} [63%] (63%) {-44%}
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Begich’s job performance?

• Approve 44% {43%} [42%] (49%)
• Disapprove 45% {44%} [41%] (39%)

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 40% {30%} [25%]
• Mead Treadwell 26% {25%} [33%]
• Joe Miller 14% {20%} [24%]
• John Jaramillo 3% {2%}
• Someone else/Not sure 17% {19%} [19%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dan Sullivan 54% {46%} [42%] / 28% {21%} [19%] {+26%}
• Mead Treadwell 46% {51%} [50%]/ 23% {20%} [19%] {+23%} 
• Joe Miller 28% {26%} [26%] / 52% {52%} [53%] {-24%}

Survey of 582 registered voters, including 313 Republican primary voters, was conducted May 8-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points among all voters; +/- 5.5 percentage points among GOP primary voters.  Party ID (among all voters): 29% {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 18% {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 53% {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology (among all voters): 31% {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 21% {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 16% {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 9% {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Hawaii 2014 Democratic Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) Hawaii 2014 Democratic Senate Primary Poll

• Brian Schatz 49%
• Colleen Hanabusa 34%
• Undecided 17%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Democrat Brian Schatz is handling his job as a U.S. Senator? 

• Approve 55%
• Disapprove 22%

Survey of 606 likely Hawaii Democratic primary voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014 on behalf of Democracy for America. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Saint Leo University Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

St. Leo University Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 41%
• Michelle Nunn (D) 37%  

• Michelle Nunn (D) 39%
• Jack Kingston (R) 38% 

• Michelle Nunn (D) 39%
• Karen Handel (R) 38%

• Michelle Nunn (D) 42% 
• Paul Broun (R) 38%

• Michelle Nunn (D) 42%
• Phil Gingrey (R) 36% 

• Michelle Nunn (D) 43%
• Derrick Grayson (R) 32% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Michelle Nunn 46% / 31% {+15%}
• David Perdue 41% / 28% {+13%}
• Jack Kingston 40% / 32% {+8%}
• Karen Handel 37% / 29% {+8%}
• Paul Broun 31% / 30% {+1%}
• Derrick Grayson 14% / 20% {-6%}
• Phil Gingrey 30% / 38% {-8%}

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• David Perdue 26%
• Jack Kingston 16%
• Karen Handel 15%
• Paul Broun 13%
• Phil Gingrey 8%
• Derrick Grayson 1%
• Some other candidate 6%
• Not sure 15%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• David Perdue 64% / 17% {+47%}
• Jack Kingston 63% / 23% {+40%}
• Paul Broun 49% / 23% {+26%}
• Karen Handel 50% / 26% {+24%}
• Phil Gingrey 50% / 29% {+21%}
• Derrick Grayson 19% / 22% {-3%}

Survey of 1,000 likely voters, including 689 likely Republican primary voters, was conducted May 5-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4% among likely GOP primary voters. Party ID: 37% Republican; 34% Democrat; 29% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Kay Hagan (D) 38% (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
• Thom Tillis (R) 36% (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}  
• Sean Haugh (L) 11%

Note: With Haugh supporters asked whether they would lean to Hagan or Tillis, the race is tied at 41 percent, with 18% not sure.

Among Men

• Thom Tillis (R) 42% (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
• Kay Hagan (D) 36% (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
• Sean Haugh (L) 12%

Among Women

• Kay Hagan (D) 40% (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
• Thom Tillis (R) 31% (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%} 
• Sean Haugh (L) 10% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Thom Tillis 30% (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 46% (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-16%}

Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 38% (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
• Disapprove 49% (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}

Survey of 877 registered voters was conducted May 9-11, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 42% (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 35% (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 23% (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Nebraska 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Nebraska 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Ben Sasse 38%
• Sid Dinsdale 24%
• Shane Osborn 20%
• Bart McLeay 6% 
• Clifton Johnson 2%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Ben Sasse 59% / 24% {+35%}
• Sid Dinsdale 47% / 23% {+24%} 
• Shane Osborn 40% / 32% {+8%}
  

Survey of 525 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.28 percentage points.

Poll Watch: McLaughlin & Associates (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

McLaughlin & Associates (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 42%
• Charlie Crist (D) 38%

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted May 4-6, 2014 for American Future Fund. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Republican; 37% Democrat; 23% Independent/Other.

Inside the numbers: 

Fifty-three percent (53%) of Florida voters approve of the job Governor Scott has done in office and by a 44% to 36% margin Florida voters view Governor Scott favorably. Former Governor Crist; however, is only viewed favorably by 39% of Florida voters and is viewed unfavorably by 41% of voters.

Governor Scott also has a significant advantage over former Governor Crist on specific issues of concern to Florida voters. Florida voters believe Governor Scott is best positioned to better handle improving the economy and creating jobs by a 39% to 25% margin. And on the issue of which candidate would do a better job keeping taxes low and reducing wasteful spending, Scott again outpaces Crist 38% to 23%.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Ohio 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• John Kasich (R) 45%
• Ed FitzGerald (D) 38%
• Some other candidate 4%
• Undecided 13%

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted May 7-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Udall (D) 47% [47%] (42%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 43% [45%] (40%)

Among Independents

• Cory Gardner (R) 45% [43%] (38%)
• Mark Udall (D) 43% [43%] (30%)

Among Men

• Cory Gardner (R) 48% [50%] (45%)
• Mark Udall (D) 43% [44%] (42%)

Among Women

• Mark Udall (D) 51% [49%] (43%)
• Cory Gardner (R) 39% [40%] (36%) 

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?  

• Approve 42% (41%)
• Disapprove 45% (40%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Cory Gardner?  

• Favorable 35% (23%)
• Unfavorable 42% (25%)

Survey of 526 Colorado voters was conducted May 7-8, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters.  Party ID: 36% [36%] (33%) Democrat; 31% [32%] (34%) Republican; 33% [32%] (33%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

NBC News/Marist Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll

• Mark Pryor (D) 51%
• Tom Cotton (R) 40%
• Other 2%
• Undecided 7%

Men

• Tom Cotton (R) 46%
• Mark Pryor (D) 46%
• Other 2%
• Undecided 7%

Women

• Mark Pryor (D) 55%
• Tom Cotton (R) 35%
• Other 2%
• Undecided 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Pryor 50% / 35% {+15%}
• Tom Cotton 38% / 39% {-1%}

Survey of 876 registered voters was conducted April 30 - May 4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party registration: 30% Democrat; 23% Republican; 46% Independent. Ideology: 38% Conservative; 33% Moderate; 13% Liberal; 12% Very conservative; 4% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

NBC News/Marist Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• David Perdue (R) 45%
• Michelle Nunn (D) 41% 

• Paul Broun (R) 43% 
• Michelle Nunn (D) 42%

• Jack Kingston (R) 43%
• Michelle Nunn (D) 43%

• Michelle Nunn (D) 44%
• Phil Gingrey (R) 42% 

• Michelle Nunn (D) 42%
• Karen Handel (R) 39%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• David Perdue 40% / 20% {+20%}
• Michelle Nunn 41% / 22% {+19%}
• Jack Kingston 32% / 24% {+8%}
• Karen Handel 29% / 21% {+8%}

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• David Perdue 23%
• Jack Kingston 18%
• Karen Handel 14%
• Phil Gingrey 11%
• Paul Broun 11%
• Derrick Grayson 1%
• Art Gardner 0%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 22%
  

Survey of 2,196 registered voters, including 533 likely Republican primary voters, was conducted April 30 - May 5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.1 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.2% among likely GOP primary voters. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 31% Republican; 34% Independent. Ideology: 34% Conservative; 34% Moderate; 14% Liberal; 13% Very conservative; 5% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

NBC News/Marist Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

• Mitch McConnell (R) 46%
• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 8%

Among Men

• Mitch McConnell (R) 51%
• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 40%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 8%

Among Women

• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 49%
• Mitch McConnell (R) 42%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 8%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alison Lundergan Grimes 39% / 24% {+15%}
• Mitch McConnell 42% / 46% {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Mitch McConnell is doing as U.S. Senator?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 46%

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Mitch McConnell 57%
• Matt Bevin 25%
• Chris Payne 3%
• Shawna Sterling 1%
• Brad Copas 1%
• Undecided 13%

Survey of 2,353 registered voters, including 408 likely Republican primary voters, was conducted April 30 - May 6, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.9% among GOP primary voters. Party ID: 40% Democrat; 30% Republican; 27% Independent.  Party registration: Party ID: 52% Democrat; 34% Republican; 14% Independent. Ideology: 34% Moderate; 33% Conservative; 17% Liberal; 11% Very conservative; 5% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Atlanta Journal-Constitution Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

AJC Georgia 2014 Senate Poll

• Michelle Nunn (D) 46%
• David Perdue (R) 45% 

Note: Among "very likely" voters, Perdue takes the lead, 49% to 46%.

• Michelle Nunn (D) 49%
• Karen Handel (R) 41%

• Michelle Nunn (D) 50%
• Jack Kingston (R) 40%

• Michelle Nunn (D) 51%
• Paul Broun (R) 38%

• Michelle Nunn (D) 52%
• Phil Gingrey (R) 37%

Survey of 1,012 registered voters was conducted May 5-8, 2014 by Abt SRBI . The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% Democrat; 27% Republican; 28% Independent. Ideology: 40% Conservative; 33% Moderate; 26% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Dartmouth Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

Dartmouth Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 39.2% (44.2%)
• Scott Brown (R) 35.6% (29.5%)
• Unsure 25.2% (26.3%)

Survey of 412 registered voters was conducted April 21-25, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Party ID: 29.6% (32.0%) Republican; 23.6% (26.5%) Democrat; 45.0% (40.1%) Independent/Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted April 22-25, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Dartmouth Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

Dartmouth Rockefeller Center New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll

• Rand Paul (R) 38.4%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35.8%
• Unsure 25.8% 

• Hillary Clinton (D) 36.5% (37.1%)
• Chris Christie (R) 34.4% (32.3%)
• Unsure 29.0% (30.6%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 38.3%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 36.2%
• Unsure 24.4%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42.1%
• Jeb Bush (R) 32.2%
• Unsure 34.4%

Survey of 412 registered voters was conducted April 21-25, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Party ID: 29.6% (32.0%) Republican; 23.6% (26.5%) Democrat; 45.0% (40.1%) Independent/Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted April 22-25, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

• Thom Tillis (R) 45% (47%) 
• Kay Hagan (D) 44% (40%)
• Some other candidate 5% (3%)
• Undecided 7% (10%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted May 7-8, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 22-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

Hagan has the support of 76% of the state’s Democrats, while 84% of North Carolina Republicans back Tillis. The two run almost even among voters not affiliated with either major party. 

Hagan is viewed very favorably by 20% of North Carolina voters and very unfavorably by 31%. For Tillis, very favorables are 18% and very unfavorables, 22%. Both candidates are well-known in the state, but Hagan has slightly higher name recognition.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Tom Foley (R) 43% [42%] (43%)
  
• Dannel Malloy (D) 43% [42%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Foley 36% [38%] (35%) / 23% [21%] (18%) {+13%}
• Dannel Malloy 46% [46%] (46%) / 45% [43%] (44%) {+1%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 48% [48%] (47%)
• Disapprove 46% [45%] (47%)

Do you feel that Dannel Malloy deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 44% [45%] (44%)
• No/Does not 48% [46%] (46%)

Survey of 1,668 registered voters was conducted May 1-6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [31%] (34%) Democrat; 21% [20%] (21%) Republican; 42% [42%] (40%) Independent; 5% [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• David Perdue 26% [22%] (19%)
• Karen Handel 18% [21%] (13%)
• Jack Kingston 17% [17%] (15%)
• Paul Broun 12% [14%] (11%)
• Phil Gingrey 11% [12%] (9%)
• Undecided 13% [11%] (33%)

Survey of 531 likely primary voters was conducted May 7, 2014 for Morris News and Fox5 of Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 27-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rosetta Stone (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Rosetta Stone (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• David Perdue 23.1% (21%)
• Karen Handel 21.0% (10%)
• Jack Kingston 15.1% (15%)
• Paul Broun 8.6% (15%)
• Phil Gingrey 8.5% (13%)
• Undecided 20.1% (24%)

Survey of 729 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 6, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 23-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Iowa 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Harper Polling (R) Iowa 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Joni Ernst 33%
• Mark Jacobs 23% 
• Sam Clovis 14%
• Matt Whitaker 3% 
• Scott Schaben 1%
• Not sure 26%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joni Ernst 54% / 11% {+43%}
• Mark Jacobs 43% / 21% {+22%}
• Sam Clovis 26% / 14% {+12%}
• Matt Whitaker 25% / 15% {+10%}
• Scott Schaben 8% / 22% {-14%}

Survey of 500 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 30 - May 1, 2014 on behalf of American Heartland PAC. The margin of error is +/- 4.38 percentage points. Ideology: 50% Very conservative; 36% Somewhat conservative; 13% Moderate; 1% Liberal.

Poll Watch: Critical Insights Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Critical Insights Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Mike Michaud (D) 37% (33%)
• Paul LePage (R) 36% (30%)
• Eliot Cutler (I) 18% (24%)
• Don't know 8% (13%)

Survey of 601 registered voters was conducted April 16-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party registration: 34% (35%) Democrat; 32% (31%) Republican; 27% (30%) Unenrolled/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2013 are in parentheses.

PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 38% [40%]
• Rick Weiland (D) 28% [34%]
• Larry Pressler (I) 15%
• Gordon Howie (I) 4%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Weiland 36% [28%] / 30% [19%] {+6%}
• Mike Rounds 41% [42%] (51%) / 41% [40%] (34%) {0%}

Survey of 745 South Dakota voters was conducted April 30 - May 1, 2014 on behalf of People for Weiland.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 49% [43%] (49%) Republican; 33% [35%] (37%) Democrat. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Hickman Analytics (D) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Hickman Analytics (D) Montana 2014 Senate Poll

• Steve Daines (R) 49%
  
• John Walsh (D) 37%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Steve Daines 48% / 26% {+22%}
  
• John Walsh 38% / 20% {+18%}

Survey of 400 likely voters was conducted April 24-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 31% Republican; 28% Democrat; 34% Independent.

Poll Watch: Hickman Analytics (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

Hickman Analytics (D) Iowa 2014 Senate Poll 

• Bruce Braley (D) 43%
• Mark Jacobs (R) 42%

• Bruce Braley (D) 44%
• Joni Ernst (R) 40%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bruce Braley 37% / 26% {+11%}
• Mark Jacobs 25% / 14% {+11%}
• Joni Ernst 17% / 12% {+5%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted April 24-30, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 28% Democrat; 27% Republican; 41% Independent.

Poll Watch: Hickman Analytics (D) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Hickman Analytics (D) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll

• Gary Peters (D) 42%
• Terri Lynn Land (R) 37%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Terri Lynn Land 29% / 18% {+11%}
• Gary Peters 26% / 21% {+5%}

Survey of 502 likely voters was conducted April 24-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 24% Republican; 31% Independent.

Poll Watch: Hickman Analytics (D) Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

Hickman Analytics (D) Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

• Mitch McConnell (R) 46%
• Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Alison Lundergan Grimes 34% / 21% {+13%}
• Mitch McConnell 45% / 48% {-3%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted April 24-30, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Democrat; 38% Republican; 16% Independent.

Poll Watch: Hickman Analytics (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

Hickman Analytics (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49%
• Scott Brown (R) 43%

Among Men

• Scott Brown (R) 53%
• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 38%

Among Women 

• Jeanne Shaheen (D) 59%
• Scott Brown (R) 34%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jeanne Shaheen 53% / 38% {+15%}
• Scott Brown 39% / 42%{-3%}

Survey of 400 likely voters was conducted April 24-30, 2014 on behalf of Consumer Energy Alliance.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 30% Republican; 28% Democrat; 38% Independent.

Inside the numbers: 

If President Barack Obama delays the presidential permit to construct the Keystone pipeline, 34 percent of those polled said they would be less likely to support Shaheen, 17 percent said more likely and 43 percent said it would make no difference.

Voters were also asked whether they would most likely vote to have Shaheen serve another term or instead “replace her with a Republican.” And 47 percent chose Shaheen, while 44 percent chose a Republican, also a statistical tie.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 13% (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Rand Paul 13% (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Paul Ryan 12% (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
• Mike Huckabee 10% (10%) {14%}
• Chris Christie 9% (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Rick Perry 8% (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 7%
• Ted Cruz 7% (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Someone else (vol.) 4% (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• No opinion 7% (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Jeb Bush 15% (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Paul Ryan 14% (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
• Rand Paul 12% (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% (9%) {17%}
• Chris Christie 8% (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
• Scott Walker 7%
• Rick Perry 7% (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 6% (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
• Someone else (vol.) 3% (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
• No opinion 8% (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Rand Paul 15% (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
• Chris Christie 10% (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
• Jeb Bush 10% (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 9% (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 8% (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%)
• Paul Ryan 8% (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
• Mike Huckabee 7% (11%) {10%}
• Marco Rubio 6% (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
• Someone else (vol.) 5% (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
• None/No one (vol.) 6% (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• No opinion 7% (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men

• Rand Paul 17% (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
• Jeb Bush 14% (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
• Rick Perry 11% (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 9% (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
• Chris Christie 8% (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
• Scott Walker 8%
• Mike Huckabee 8% (11%) {14%}
• Paul Ryan 7% (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%) 
• Marco Rubio 4% (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 1% (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
• Someone else (vol.) 3% (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
• No opinion 6% (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Paul Ryan 17% (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
• Jeb Bush 12% (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% (9%) {14%}
• Rand Paul 10% (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%) 
• Chris Christie 9% (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
• Marco Rubio 8% (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%) 
• Scott Walker 6%
• Ted Cruz 5% (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
• Rick Perry 4% (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%)
• Someone else (vol.) 4% (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
• No opinion 9% (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 473 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted May 2-4, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 61% (50%) {52%} Republican; 39% (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Moore Information (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

Moore Information (R) Alaska 2014 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Dan Sullivan 38%
• Mead Treadwell 22%
• Joe Miller 12%
  

GENERAL ELECTION

• Mark Begich (D) 44% 
• Dan Sullivan (R) 42%

Survey of 500 registered voters, including a subsample of GOP primary voters, was conducted April 27-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Thom Tillis 40% {46%} (18%) [14%] {20%}
• Greg Brannon 28% {20%} (15%) [14%] {13%}
• Mark Harris 15% {11%} (11%) [7%] {8%}
• Heather Grant 4% {5%} (7%) [11%] {13%}
• Ted Alexander 2% {2%} (6%) [7%] {10%}
• Jim Snyder 1% {3%} (2%) [4%]
• Edward Kryn 1% {2%} (1%) [1%] {2%}
• Alex Bradshaw 0% {1%} (5%) [6%]
• Undecided 11% {12%} (34%) [36%] {34%}

If there was a runoff election for the Republican Senate nomination between Thom Tillis and Greg Brannon, who would you vote for? 

• Thom Tillis 46% {50%}
• Greg Brannon 40% {32%}
• Not sure 14% {18%}

If there was a runoff election for the Republican Senate nomination between Thom Tillis and Mark Harris, who would you vote for?

• Thom Tillis 49% {53%}
• Mark Harris 34% {27%}
• Not sure 16% {20%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Greg Brannon 51% {47%} (18%) [13%] {15%} / 15% {15%} (13%) [17%] {17%} {+36%}
• Mark Harris 43% {41%} (15%) [12%] {10%} / 15% {15%} (15%) [15%] {18%} {+28%}
• Thom Tillis 52% {56%} (31%) [24%] {21%} / 29% {24%} (29%) [28%] {24%} {+23%}
• Heather Grant 21% {25%} (7%) [8%] {7%} / 16% {17%} (15%) [18%] {17%} {+5%}
• Jim Snyder 16% {19%} (4%) [7%] / 16% {18%} (12%) [15%] {0%}
• Ted Alexander 15% {17%} (6%) [6%] {7%} / 15% {15%} (12%) [17%] {18%} {0%}
• Edward Kryn 11% {16%} (4%) [4%] {3%} / 14% {17%} (12%) [17%] {17%} {-3%}
• Alex Bradshaw 11% {17%} (4%) [7%] / 16% {16%} (14%) [14%] {-5%} 

Survey of 925 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 3-4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Ideology: 45% {45%} (39%) [37%] {35%} Very conservative; 31% {35%} (32%) [35%] {33%} Somewhat conservative; 12% {13%} (21%) [20%] {22%} Moderate; 3% {4%} (6%) [4%] {7%} Somewhat liberal; 2% {4%} (3%) [3%] {3%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Oregon 2014 Senatorial Survey

The Daily Caller/Vox Populi Polling (R) Oregon 2014 Senate Poll

• Monica Wehby (R) 45%
• Jeff Merkley (D) 41%
• Don't know 14%

Among Men

• Monica Wehby (R) 52%
• Jeff Merkley (D) 38%
• Don't know 10%

Among Women

• Jeff Merkley (D) 44%
• Monica Wehby (R) 38%
• Don't know 18%

What is your opinion of Senator Jeff Merkley?

• Strongly favorable 19%
• Somewhat favorable 17%
• Somewhat unfavorable 16%
• Strongly unfavorable 16%
  

Survey of 618 active voters was conducted April 28-30, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 29% Republican; 34% Independent/Something else.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Presidential Poll

• Mike Huckabee (R) 47%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
• Jeb Bush (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Rand Paul (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Chris Christie (R) 38%

Among Independents

• Mike Huckabee (R) 56%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 31%

• Jeb Bush (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33%

• Rand Paul (R) 51%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35%

• Chris Christie (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33%

Among Moderates

• Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 30%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 64%
• Jeb Bush (R) 23%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 66%
• Rand Paul (R) 24%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
• Chris Christie (R) 27%

Among Men

• Mike Huckabee (R) 50%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38%

• Jeb Bush (R) 44%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 38%

• Rand Paul (R) 47%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%

• Chris Christie (R) 41%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 40%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 46%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Jeb Bush (R) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Rand Paul (R) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Chris Christie (R) 36%

Do you think Mike Huckabee should run for President in 2016, or not?

• Think he should run 39%
• Think he should not 46%
• Not sure 15% 

Survey of 840 registered voters was conducted April 25-27, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 41% Democrat; 27% Republican; 32% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 23% Very conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Arkansas 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Mike Huckabee 38%
• Ted Cruz 14% 
• Rand Paul 13%
• Jeb Bush 10%
• Chris Christie 4%
• Paul Ryan 3%
• Bobby Jindal 3%
• Marco Rubio 3%
• Cliven Bundy 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 10%

Survey of 342 Republican primary voters was conducted April 25-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Political ideology: 45% Very conservative; 29% Somewhat conservative; 16% Moderate; 6% Somewhat liberal; 4% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: McLaughlin & Associates (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

McLaughlin & Associates (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Jack Kingston 20%
• David Perdue 17%
• Karen Handel 14%
• Phil Gingrey 13%
• Paul Broun 8%
• Undecided 28%

Survey of 400 likely primary voters was conducted April 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 44% (44%)
• Charlie Crist (D) 43% (47%)
• Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% (3%)
• Unsure 9% (6%)

Survey of 907 registered voters was conducted April 23-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (37%) Republican; 36% (36%) Democrat; 27% (27%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted January 30-31, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• David Perdue 22% (19%)
• Karen Handel 21% (13%)
• Jack Kingston 17% (15%)
• Paul Broun 14% (11%)
• Phil Gingrey 12% (9%)
• Undecided 11% (33%)

Survey of 737 likely primary voters was conducted April 27-29, 2014 for Morris News and Fox5 of Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 27% [25%] (22%)
• Rand Paul 14% [11%] (9%) 
• Marco Rubio 11% [16%] (18%)
• Chris Christie 7% [9%] (14%)
• Ted Cruz 6% [9%] (12%) 
• Mike Huckabee 6%
• Paul Ryan 6% [5%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 4% [5%] (2%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (3%)

Among Men

• Jeb Bush 29% [23%] (21%)
• Rand Paul 19% [14%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 9% [16%] (17%)
• Paul Ryan 7% [5%] (6%)
• Chris Christie 6% [9%] (11%)
• Ted Cruz 5% [10%] (14%)
• Scott Walker 5% [8%] (4%)
• Mike Huckabee 5%
• Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (4%)

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 26% [26%] (23%)
• Marco Rubio 14% [16%] (20%)
• Chris Christie 9% [9%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 7%
• Rand Paul 7% [8%] (5%)
• Ted Cruz 6% [7%] (9%)
• Paul Ryan 4% [6%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 3% [3%] (1%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] (2%)

Survey of 494 Republican voters was conducted April 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%) {47%} [50%] (51%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 41% (43%) {45%} [43%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (51%) {50%} [53%] (52%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 40% (41%) {43%} [41%] (41%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (51%) {45%}
• Chris Christie (R) 34% (35%) {41%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 35%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (53%) {51%}
• Rand Paul (R) 37% (38%) {41%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (52%) {50%}
• Paul Ryan (R) 36% (39%) {42%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (54%) {52%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 31% (34%) {36%}

Among Independents

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 42% (41%) {46%} [42%] (41%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (50%) {48%} [55%] (47%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 36% (38%) {42%} [36%] (38%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (47%) {41%}
• Chris Christie (R) 31% (33%) {42%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (52%) {48%}
• Rand Paul (R) 34% (34%) {40%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57% (51%) {49%}
• Paul Ryan (R) 31% (37%) {40%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59% (53%) {51%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 26% (29%) {34%}

Among Men

• Jeb Bush (R) 47% (48%) {51%} [45%] (45%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (43%) {41%} [45%] (45%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (45%) {43%} [49%] (48%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 44% (47%) {49%} [44%] (44%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (44%) {38%}
• Chris Christie (R) 38% (39%) {45%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 38%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (47%) {43%}
• Rand Paul (R) 42% (44%) {49%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (46%) {43%}
• Paul Ryan (R) 40% (44%) {48%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (48%) {46%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 35% (40%) {42%}

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (53%) {53%} [53%] (56%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 36% (40%) {39%} [41%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (56%) {56%} [56%] (55%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 35% (36%) {37%} [38%] (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (57%) {52%}
• Chris Christie (R) 31% (31%) {37%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 33%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59% (59%) {58%}
• Rand Paul (R) 32% (33%) {33%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 60% (58%) {57%}
• Paul Ryan (R) 31% (35%) {36%}

• Hillary Clinton (D) 61% (59%) {58%}
• Ted Cruz (R) 27% (28%) {30%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 58% [57%] (62%) / 37% [38%] (33%) {+21%}
• Jeb Bush 53% [54%] (50%) / 35% [33%] (35%) {+18%}
• Marco Rubio 43% [44%] (41%) / 36% [33%] (34%) {+7%}
• Mike Huckabee 36% / 32% {+4%}
• Rand Paul 34% / 31% {+3%}
• Chris Christie 37% / 35% {+2%}
• Paul Ryan 33% / 36% {-3%}
• Ted Cruz 19% / 30% {-11%}

Survey of 1,413 registered voters was conducted April 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points. Party ID: 31% (30%) {32%} [34%] (35%) Democrat; 25% (27%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Republican; 34% (35%) {32%} [30%] (31%) Independent; 11% (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-27, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 12-17, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 11-16, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Ohio 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Ohio 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• John Kasich (R) 47%
• Ed FitzGerald (D) 41%
• Some other candidate 5%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 857 likely Ohio voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.35 percentage points. Party registration: 35% Democrat; 35% Republican; 30% Independent.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Snyder (R) 45%
• Mark Schauer (D) 42%
• Some other candidate 9%
• Undecided 4%

Survey of 875 likely Michigan voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America. The margin of error is +/- 3.31 percentage points. Party registration: 37% Democrat; 31% Republican; 32% Independent.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Mike Michaud (D) 40%
• Paul LePage (R) 40%
• Eliot Cutler (I) 14%
• Some other candidate 1%
• Undecided 5%

Survey of 830 likely voters was conducted April 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 38%
• Mike Huckabee 11%  
• Ted Cruz 10%
• Rand Paul 10% 
• Marco Rubio 8%
• Chris Christie 7%
• Scott Walker 7%
• John Kasich 3%
• Undecided 6%

Survey of 365 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

• Rick Scott (R) 45%
• Charlie Crist (D) 43%
• Some other candidate 5%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 868 likely Florida voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.  The margin of error is +/- 3.33 percentage points. Party registration: 42% Republican; 40% Democrat; 18% Independent.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Ohio 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Mike Huckabee 17% 
• Rand Paul 15%
• Chris Christie 13%
• Jeb Bush 13%  
• Ted Cruz 12%
• John Kasich 10%
• Marco Rubio 5%
• Scott Walker 4%
• Undecided 11%

Survey of 300 likely Republican voters was conducted April 14-15, 2014 for The Liberty Foundation of America.