Poll Watch: PPIC California Political Survey

PPIC California Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Barbara Boxer (D) 43% (42%) [39%] {48%} (44%) [48%]
• Carly Fiorina (R) 38% (35%) [34%] {39%} (43%) [40%]
• Someone else 6% (6%)
• Don't Know 13% (17%) [22%] {13%} (13%) [12%]

Gubernatorial Election

• Jerry Brown (D) 44% (37%) [37%] {42%} (39%) [41%]
• Meg Whitman (R) 36% (38%) [34%] {37%} (44%) [36%]
• Someone else 4% (7%)
• Don't Know 16% (18%) [23%] {21%} (17%) [23%]

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Arnold Schwarzenegger is handling his job as governor of California

• Approve 28% (28%) [25%]
• Disapprove 65% (66%) [66%]

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president of the United States?

• Approve 55% (48%) [50%] {53%}
• Disapprove 40% (48%) [46%] {43%}

Proposition 19 is called the ‘Legalizes Marijuana Under California but Not Federal Law. Permits Local Governments to Regulate and Tax Commercial Production, Distribution, and Sale of Marijuana. Initiative Statute.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 19?

• Yes 44% (52%)
• No 49% (41%)

Proposition 23 is called the ‘Suspends Implementation of Air Pollution Control Law (AB 32) Requiring Major Sources of Emissions to Report and Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions That Cause Global Warming, Until Unemployment Drops to 5.5 Percent or Less for Full Year. Initiative Statute.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 23?

• Yes 37% (43%)
• No 48% (42%)

Proposition 25 is called the ‘Changes Legislative Vote Requirement to Pass Budget and Budget-related Legislation from Two-Thirds to a Simple Majority. Retains Two-Thirds Vote Requirement for Taxes. Initiative Constitutional Amendment.’ If the election were held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 25?

• Yes 49% (48%)
• No 34% (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Democratic Party 47% / 43% {+4%}
• Tea Party movement 27% / 44% {-17%}
• Republican Party 28% / 60% {-32%}

What is your preference for the outcome of this year's congressional elections: a Congress controlled by Republicans or a Congress controlled by Democrats?

• Controlled by Democrats 48%
• Controlled by Republicans 35%

If control of the Congress switched from the Democrats to the Republicans after November's election, do you think that would be a good thing, a bad thing, or wouldn't it make any difference?

• Good thing 32%
• Bad thing 30%
• Would not make a difference 34%

Survey of 1,067 likely voters was conducted October 10-17, 2010.  The margin of error is ± 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9-16, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Party registration breakdown: 45% (45%) [45%] Democrat; 31% (31%) [31%] Republican; 21% (23%) [22%] Independent.  Political ideology: 10% (9%) [11%] very liberal; 18% (23%) [20%] somewhat liberal; 29% (29%) [30%] middle-of-the-road; 25% (24%) [24%] somewhat conservative; 14% (14%) [13%] very conservative.