Poll Watch: EMC Research California Survey on Proposition 19

EMC Research California Survey on Proposition 19

I’d like to read you one of the measures from the state ballot. The following measure will be on the state ballot.

PROPOSITION 19. LEGALIZES MARIJUANA UNDER CALIFORNIA BUT NOT FEDERAL LAW. PERMITS LOCAL GOVERNMENTS TO REGULATE AND TAX COMMERCIAL PRODUCTION, DISTRIBUTION, AND SALE OF MARIJUANA. INITIATIVE STATUTE. Allows people 21 years old or older to possess, cultivate, or transport marijuana for personal use. Fiscal impact: Depending on federal, state, and local government actions, potential increased tax and fee revenues in the hundreds of millions of dollars annually and potential correctional savings of several tens of millions of dollars annually.

If the election were held today, would you vote Yes to approve or No to reject Proposition 19?

Live Interviews

• Yes, approve 40%
• No, reject 45%
• Undecided 14%

Automated Interviews

• Yes, approve 56%
• No, reject 41%
• Undecided 4%

Survey of 1,403 likely voters (704 live interviews and 699 automated interviews) was conducted October 13-14, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points; +/- 3.7 percentage points among each subsample of live and automated interviews. Party registration breakdown: 46.5% Democrat; 31.0% Republican; 17.5% Independent.