Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

Given the choices of Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney who would you most like to see as the Republican candidate for President next year?

• Mitt Romney 22% [16%] (24%) {22%} [20%]
• Herman Cain 17% [12%]
• Sarah Palin 15% [16%] (17%) {15%} [19%]
• Newt Gingrich 9% [9%] (20%) {20%} [18%]
• Tim Pawlenty 9% [13%] (8%) {6%} [6%]
• Michele Bachmann 8% [9%] (8%) {5%}
• Ron Paul 7% [9%] (12%) {12%} [12%]
• Jon Huntsman 1% [4%]

If Sarah Palin didn’t run and the choices were just Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Tim Pawlenty, and Mitt Romney who would you most like to see as the nominee?

• Mitt Romney 27% [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%]
• Herman Cain 20% [12%]
• Michele Bachmann 13% [13%] (11%) {8%}
• Newt Gingrich 12% [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%]
• Tim Pawlenty 10% [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%]
• Ron Paul 6% [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]
• Jon Huntsman 3% [4%]

If the Republican candidates for President were Michele Bachmann, Jeb Bush, Chris Christie, Rudy Giuliani, Sarah Palin, Tim Pawlenty, Mitt Romney, and Paul Ryan, who would you vote for?

• Chris Christie 18%
• Mitt Romney 17%
• Sarah Palin 13%
• Rudy Giuliani 11%
• Jeb Bush 11%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Paul Ryan 6%
• Tim Pawlenty 6%

Among Moderate Republicans

• Rudy Giuliani 19%
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Chris Christie 14%
• Jeb Bush 12%
• Sarah Palin 12%
• Michele Bachmann 7%
• Paul Ryan 4%
• Tim Pawlenty 3%

If you had to choose between a candidate with conservative positions on every issue and one with the best chance of defeating Barack Obama, which would you prefer?

• One with the best chance of defeating Obama 56%
• Candidate with conservative positions on every issue 31%

Among Republicans who choose the one candidate with the best chance of defeating Obama

• Mitt Romney 27%
• Herman Cain 14%
• Sarah Palin 14%
• Tim Pawlenty 12%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Newt Gingrich 7%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Jon Huntsman 1%

Among Republicans who choose a candidate with conservative positions on every issue

• Herman Cain 22%
• Sarah Palin 18%
• Mitt Romney 16%
• Michele Bachmann 10%
• Newt Gingrich 10%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Tim Pawlenty 5%
• Jon Huntsman 1%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Sarah Palin 62% [61%] (61%) {61%} [61%] (65%) {65%} [68%] (66%) {76%} [70%] (67%) {69%} [66%] (69%) / 27% [30%] (31%) {31%} [26%] (25%) {26%} [22%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (18%) {21%} [21%] (17%) {+35%}
• Mitt Romney 55% [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 27% [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+28%}
• Tim Pawlenty 44% [26%] / 25% [19%] {+19%}
• Herman Cain 40% / 26% {+14%}
• Newt Gingrich 36% [39%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 49% [44%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {-13%}

Survey of 544 usual Republican primary voters was conducted June 9-12, 2011.  The margin of error is +/-4.2 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 35% [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative;  18% [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 3% [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.