Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

• Mitt Romney 47% {45%} [44%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 43% {43%} [43%] (41%)

• Rick Perry 47%
• Barack Obama 45%

• Barack Obama 47% {46%} [44%] (44%)
• Newt Gingrich 45% {44%} [44%] (45%)

• Barack Obama 47%
• Michele Bachmann 43%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 50% of the vote in Missouri. In 2004, George W. Bush received 53% of the vote in MO.

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 43% {39%} [45%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 40% {42%} [33%] (35%)

• Barack Obama 46%
• Rick Perry 40%

• Barack Obama 51% {47%} [39%] (41%)
• Newt Gingrich 38% {33%} [41%] (43%)

• Barack Obama 50%
• Michele Bachmann 36%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 51% of the Independent vote in Missouri (26% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the Independent vote in MO (29% of the electorate). 

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 61% {63%} [61%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 28% {22%} [25%] (28%)

• Barack Obama 66%
• Rick Perry 22%

• Barack Obama 70% {70%} [65%] (63%)
• Newt Gingrich 23% {15%} [24%] (24%)

• Barack Obama 69%
• Michele Bachmann 22%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 38% of the Moderate vote in Missouri (45% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 46% of the Moderate vote in MO (45% of the electorate).

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% {49%} [47%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 40% {39%} [40%] (36%)

• Rick Perry 51%
• Barack Obama 42%

• Newt Gingrich 48% {46%} [47%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 43% {42%} [42%] (40%)

• Michele Bachmann 45%
• Barack Obama 43%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 50% of the Male vote in Missouri (46% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 52% of the Male vote in MO (47% of the electorate).

Among Women

• Barack Obama 47% {47%} [45%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 44% {42%} [41%] (42%)

• Barack Obama 48%
• Rick Perry 43%

• Barack Obama 52% {48%} [46%] (47%)
• Newt Gingrich 42% {42%} [42%] (41%)

• Barack Obama 51%
• Michele Bachmann 40%

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Female vote in Missouri (54% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 54% of the Female vote in MO (53% of the electorate).

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Perry 33% / 43% {-10%}
• Michele Bachmann 30% / 49% {-19%}
• Mitt Romney 28% {31%} [32%] (30%) / 51% {45%} [44%] (42%) {-23%}
• Newt Gingrich 25% {29%} [31%] (33%) / 60% {50%} [50%] (48%) {-35%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Perry 60% / 18% {+42%}
• Michele Bachmann 49% / 25% {+24%}
• Newt Gingrich 46% {54%} [55%] (60%) / 37% {22%} [26%] (25%) {+9%}
• Mitt Romney 43% {52%} [46%] (49%) / 34% {30%} [29%] (24%) {+9%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 28% {26%} [35%] (26%) / 48% {46%} [41%] (39%) {-20%}
• Rick Perry 26% / 46% {-20%}
• Michele Bachmann 21% / 56% {-35%}
• Newt Gingrich 17% {18%} [28%] (27%) / 69% {60%} [55%] (53%) {-52%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 25% {26%} [29%] (20%) / 50% {46%} [47%] (48%) {-25%}
• Rick Perry 18% / 54% {-36%}
• Michele Bachmann 15% / 64% {-49%}
• Newt Gingrich 12% {10%} [19%] (17%) / 76% {68%} [64%] (64%) {-64%}

Among Men

• Rick Perry 37% / 47% {-10%}
• Michele Bachmann 33% / 49% {-16%}
• Mitt Romney 29% {35%} [32%] (34%) / 54% {50%} [49%] (42%) {-25%}
• Newt Gingrich 31% {32%} [32%] (36%) / 60% {54%} [54%] (51%) {-29%}

Among Women

• Rick Perry 29% / 40% {-11%}
• Mitt Romney 28% {29%} [31%] (27%) / 47% {41%} [39%] (42%) {-19%}
• Michele Bachmann 27% / 50% {-23%}
• Newt Gingrich 19% {26%} [31%] (31%) / 60% {45%} [47%] (46%) {-41%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 43% {43%} [43%] (43%)
• Disapprove 53% {53%} [52%] (52%)

Among Independents

• Approve 41% {42%} [38%] (39%)
• Disapprove 52% {51%} [53%] (52%)

Among Men

• Approve 40% {41%} [41%] (39%)
• Disapprove 57% {56%} [56%] (57%)

Among Women

• Approve 47% {45%} [45%] (46%)
• Disapprove 49% {50%} [49%] (48%)

Survey of 632 Missouri voters was conducted September 9-12, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 33% {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 30% {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 27% {32%} [27%] Moderate; 26% {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 23% {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 14% {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.