Poll Watch: ARG New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 40% [35%] (33%) {30%} [29%] (32%)
• Jon Huntsman 17% [13%] (8%) {10%} [0%] (0%)
• Ron Paul 16% [21%] (12%) {12%} [4%] (8%)
• Rick Santorum 12% [1%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (0%)
• Newt Gingrich 8% [16%] (22%) {4%} [7%] (8%)
• Rick Perry 1% [2%] (2%) {13%} [2%]
• Other 2%
• Undecided 4% [8%] (9%) {12%} [18%] (8%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 46% [44%] (36%) {35%} [33%] (37%)
• Ron Paul 14% [15%] (8%) {10%} [6%] (5%)
• Jon Huntsman 12% [5%] (5%) {7%} [0%] (0%)
• Newt Gingrich 10% [20%] (25%) {6%} [7%] (10%)
• Rick Santorum 10% [2%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (0%)
• Rick Perry 2% [3%] (3%) {13%} [2%]
• Other 2%
• Undecided 4% [8%] (9%) {10%} [15%] (6%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Mitt Romney 30% [22%] (26%) {19%} [20%] (20%)
• Jon Huntsman 24% [25%] (14%) {17%} [0%] (0%)
• Ron Paul 20% [30%] (19%) {15%} [10%] (15%)
• Rick Santorum 15% [0%] (0%) {3%} [0%] (0%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% [10%] (19%) {2%} [6%] (3%)
• Rick Perry 0% [0%] (1%) {14%} [2%] 
• Other 1%
• Undecided 5% [8%] (9%) {13%} [15%] (7%)

Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (359 Republicans and 241 independents) was conducted January 6-7, 2012. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 60% [60%] (65%) {67%} [70%] Republican; 40% [40%] (35%) {33%} [30%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 16-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-21, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.