Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 24% [10%] (15%) {10%} [14%]
• Newt Gingrich 23% [8%] (8%) {17%} [23%]
• Rick Perry 18% [49%] (31%) {9%} [8%]
• Rick Santorum 15% [3%]
• Ron Paul 12% [7%] (9%) {10%} [8%]
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 9% [7%] (9%) [5%]

Among Republicans

• Newt Gingrich 26%
• Mitt Romney 23%
• Rick Perry 19%
• Rick Santorum 17%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 8%

Among Independents

• Ron Paul 31%
• Mitt Romney 21%
• Rick Perry 17%
• Newt Gingrich 15%
• Rick Santorum 8%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Undecided 8%

Among Men

• Newt Gingrich 25%
• Mitt Romney 21%
• Rick Perry 15%
• Ron Paul 15%
• Rick Santorum 14%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Undecided 9%

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 26%
• Newt Gingrich 20%
• Rick Perry 20%
• Rick Santorum 15%
• Ron Paul 10%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 9%

Tea Party Members

• Newt Gingrich 31%
• Rick Perry 21%
• Rick Santorum 21%
• Mitt Romney 12%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 7%

Non-Tea Party GOP Primary Voters

• Mitt Romney 31%
• Newt Gingrich 17%
• Ron Paul 17%
• Rick Perry 14%
• Rick Santorum 11%
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Undecided 9%

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 43%
• Might end up supporting someone else 57%

Second Choice

• Rick Santorum 15%
• Newt Gingrich 14%
• Mitt Romney 13%
• Rick Perry 12%
• Ron Paul 7%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Undecided 39%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Santorum 45%
• Mitt Romney 42%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 43%
• Newt Gingrich 42%

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 46% [18%]
• Rick Perry 45% [72%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 64%
• Ron Paul 25%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 53% / 31% {+22%}
• Newt Gingrich 48% [50%] / 39% [36%] {+9%}
• Mitt Romney 44% [37%] (49%) {52%} / 44% [44%] (34%) {27%} {0%}
• Ron Paul 32% [35%] (37%) / 59% [49%] (45%) {-27%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Perry’s job performance?

• Approve 60% [72%]
• Disapprove 32% [19%]

Do you think Rick Perry’s campaign for President has helped Texas’ image, hurt it, or has it not made a difference?

• Helped 13%
• Hurt 39%
• Hasn't made a difference 45%

Do you think Ron Paul’s campaign for President has helped Texas’ image, hurt it, or has it not made a difference?

• Helped 19%
• Hurt 28%
• Hasn't made a difference 50%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 36%
• No 53%

Survey of 559 Texas Republican primary voters was conducted January 12-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 72% [82%] Republican; 23% [17%] Independent/Other; 5% [2%] Democrat.  Political ideology: 41% [38%] (43%) Very conservative; 34% [41%] (34%) Somewhat conservative; 18% [14%] (15%) Moderate; 5% [4%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2010 are in square brackets.