Poll Watch: Rasmussen Oregon Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Oregon Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kitzhaber (D) 45% [43%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {41%} [42%]
• Chris Dudley (R) 44% [47%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (45%) {41%} [36%]

With Leaners

• John Kitzhaber (D) 48% [44%] (45%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 46% [49%] (49%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• John Kitzhaber (D) 50% [47%] (51%)
• Chris Dudley (R) 50% [53%] (49%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Chris Dudley 51% [57%] (59%) {53%} [48%] (53%) {46%} [40%] / 43% [30%] (30%) {29%} [28%] (25%) {25%} [24%] {+8%}
• John Kitzhaber 50% [48%] (50%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {58%} [44%] / 45% [45%] (44%) {44%} [47%] (47%) {34%} [42%] {+5%}

How would you rate the job Ted Kulongoski has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 15% [16%] (15%) {13%} [12%] (18%) {14%} [10%] (7%)
• Somewhat approve 30% [29%] (29%) {30%} [26%] (28%) {34%} [30%] (33%)
• Somewhat disapprove 16% [17%] (24%) {19%} [25%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (24%)
• Strongly disapprove 37% [35%] (32%) {34%} [33%] (34%) {32%} [36%] (34%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 34% [38%] (31%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {41%} [35%] (30%)
• Somewhat approve 15% [16%] (22%) {17%} [17%] (15%) {18%} [18%] (20%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% [5%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (12%)
• Strongly disapprove 42% [41%] (42%) {43%} [39%] (41%) {34%} [40%] (37%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 10, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% Democrat; 27% Republican; 37% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 22, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 26, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 17, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Dudley is now backed by 88% of Republicans in Oregon. Kitzhaber draws support from 83% of Democrats.  Among voters not affiliated with either political party, Dudley holds a 46% to 42% edge.