Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen New Hampshire Senatorial Survey

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 49% {48%} [51%] (49%) {50%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (46%)
• Paul Hodes (D) 43% {41%} [38%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [40%] (38%)

With Leaners

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 51% {51%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 44% {44%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 55% {55%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 45% {45%}

Among Men

• Kelly Ayotte (R) 55% {56%}
• Paul Hodes (D) 38% {39%}

Among Women

• Paul Hodes (D) 50% {48%}
• Kelly Ayotte (R) 47% {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kelly Ayotte 58% {56%} [55%] (56%) {63%} [61%] (60%) [57%} [60%] (58%) / 37% {39%} [33%] (32%) {27%} [19%] (22%) {21%} [21%] (21%) {+21%}
• Paul Hodes 47% {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (46%) / 47% {48%} [44%] (48%) {47%} [46%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (38%) {0%}

How would you rate the job John Lynch has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 34% {28%} [24%] (24%) {22%} [22%] (25%) {24%} [23%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 23% {29%} [31%] (33%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} [35%] (42%)
• Somewhat disapprove 22% {21%} [26%] (26%) {24%} [25%] (21%) {25%} [19%] (21%)
• Strongly disapprove 19% {18%} [18%] (17%) {19%} [14%] (15%) {14%} [19%] (13%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 36% {28%} [36%] (27%) {32%} [27%] (29%) {31%} [31%] (38%)
• Somewhat approve 14% {19%} [13%] (15%) {18%} [22%] (19%) {18%} [21%] (12%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% {8%} [8%] (11%) {9%} [7%] (11%) {10%} [9%] (9%)
• Strongly disapprove 42% {43%} [42%] (46%) {41%} [43%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (41%)

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 10, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 34% {30%} Republican; 31% {34%} Democrat; 35% {36%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-five percent (85%) of New Hampshire Republicans support Ayotte, while 82% of the state’s Democrats back Hodes. The Republican has a six-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.