Wednesday, November 30, 2011

Baier: 'Irritated' Romney Complained Interview “Overly Aggressive” and “Uncalled For”

Cain Discusses Campaign Future with Cavuto

Part 1

Part 2

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Montana 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Montana 2012 Republican Primary Poll
  • Newt Gingrich 37% [11%]
  • Ron Paul 12% [10%]
  • Mitt Romney 11% [22%]
  • Michele Bachmann 10% [25%]
  • Herman Cain 10% [8%]
  • Rick Perry 5%
  • Jon Huntsman 3% [4%]
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Gary Johnson 1%
  • Someone else/Not sure 10% [10%]
Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
  • Strongly committed to that candidate 33%
  • Might end up supporting someone else 67%
Second Choice
  • Newt Gingrich 18%
  • Herman Cain 15%
  • Mitt Romney 15%
  • Michele Bachmann 8%
  • Rick Perry 6%
  • Ron Paul 4%
  • Jon Huntsman 3%
  • Rick Santorum 2%
  • Gary Johnson 0%
  • Someone else/Not sure 27%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Newt Gingrich 65% / 23% {+42%}
  • Herman Cain 46% [44%] / 33% [15%] {+13%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% [47%] (58%) / 39% [36%] (24%) {+5%}
  • Ron Paul 37% / 44% {-7%}
  • Rick Perry 33% / 45% {-12%}
Survey of 700 Montana Republican primary voters was conducted November 28-30, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% [39%] Somewhat conservative; 39% [39%] Very conservative; 15% [15%] Moderate; 3% [3%] Somewhat liberal; 3% [3%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 GOP Primary Poll
  • Newt Gingrich 47% (10%) {10%} [30%]
  • Mitt Romney 17% (30%) {29%} [28%]
  • Herman Cain 15% (7%) {14%}
  • Ron Paul 5% (8%) {8%} [9%]
  • Michele Bachmann 4% (6%) {22%} [11%]
  • Jon Huntsman 3% (3%) {2%}
  • Rick Perry 2% (24%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% (2%)
  • Gary Johnson 0% (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 7% (9%) {9%} [11%]
Tea Party Members
  • Newt Gingrich 53%
  • Herman Cain 24%
  • Michele Bachmann 7%
  • Mitt Romney 7%
  • Rick Perry 4%
  • Ron Paul 2%
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Jon Huntsman 0%
  • Gary Johnson 0%
  • Someone else/Undecided 2%
Non-Tea Party Republicans
  • Newt Gingrich 42%
  • Mitt Romney 23%
  • Herman Cain 11%
  • Ron Paul 6%
  • Jon Huntsman 5%
  • Michele Bachmann 3%
  • Rick Santorum 1% 
  • Rick Perry 1%
  • Gary Johnson 0%
  • Someone else/Undecided 8% 
    Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?
    • Strongly committed to that candidate 44%
    • Might end up supporting someone else 56%
    Second Choice
    • Mitt Romney 21%
    • Newt Gingrich 20% 
    • Herman Cain 11%
    • Rick Perry 8%
    • Michele Bachmann 6%
    • Jon Huntsman 3%
    • Rick Santorum 3%
    • Ron Paul 3%
    • Gary Johnson 1%
    • Someone else/Undecided 25%
    Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
    • Yes 32%
    • No 58%
    Do you agree or disagree with Newt Gingrich’s opinions about illegal immigration?
    • Agree 57%
    • Disagree 20%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Newt Gingrich 72% (57%) {46%} [58%] (59%) / 21% (29%) {37%} [26%] (24%) {+51%}
    • Herman Cain 51% {48%} / 35% {19%} {+16%}
    • Mitt Romney 51% (65%) {56%} [61%] (61%) / 36% (22%) {30%} [24%] (22%) {+15%}
    • Rick Perry 27% (54%) {38%} / 55% (31%) {12%} {-28%}
    • Ron Paul 25% (33%) {44%} [53%] / 57% (45%) {31%} [16%] {-32%}
    Tea Party Members
    • Newt Gingrich 77% / 19% {+58%}
    • Herman Cain 66% / 20% {+46%}
    • Mitt Romney 42% / 47% {-5%}
    • Rick Perry 30% / 53% {-23%}
    • Ron Paul 27% / 56% {-29%}
    Non-Tea Party Republicans
    • Newt Gingrich 67% / 25% {+42%}
    • Mitt Romney 56% / 31% {+25%}
    • Herman Cain 41% / 46% {-5%}
    • Rick Perry 25% / 59% {-34%}
    • Ron Paul 25% / 59% {-34%}
      Survey of 470 Florida Republican primary voters was conducted November 28-30, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 37% (43%) {35%} [38%] Somewhat conservative; 35% (33%) {40%} [40%] Very conservative; 23% (19%) {21%} [17%] Moderate; 5% (4%) {4%} [3%] Somewhat liberal; 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

      Adam Carolla Explains the Occupy Wall Street Generation

      Mitt Romney 2012 Ad: "The Right Answer"

      DNC 2012 Ad: "Mitt Romney on FOX: A 'Disastrous Interview'"

      Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Marijuana

      Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Marijuana

      There have been discussions about the legalization of marijuana. Which of the following statements about the use of marijuana do you agree with?

      Do you agree or disagree that penalties for the possession of a small amount of marijuana should be eliminated?
      • Agree 55%
      • Disagree 40%
      Do you agree or disagree that the sale and use of marijuana should be completely legalized?
      • Agree 35%
      • Disagree 58%
      Recently New Jersey legalized the use of marijuana for medical purposes. Do you support or oppose making marijuana available for medical use by prescription?
      • Support 86%
      • Oppose 11%
      Survey of 753 New Jersey registered voters was conducted November 9-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/-3.6 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Clarus Research Louisiana 2012 Republican Primary Survey

      Clarus Research Louisiana 2012 GOP Primary Poll
      • Newt Gingrich 31% (4%)
      • Mitt Romney 23% (17%)
      • Herman Cain 12% (21%)
      • Rick Perry 11% (23%)
      • Ron Paul 6% (4%)
      • Michele Bachmann 4% (3%)
      • Buddy Roemer 2% (3%)
      • Jon Huntsman 1% (1%)
      • Rick Santorum 0% (0%)
      • Undecided/Other/None 10% (24%)
      Survey of 300 registered Republicans was conducted November 20-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey

      Rasmussen 2012 Presidential Survey
      • Newt Gingrich 45% [40%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (30%) {37%} [39%]
      • Barack Obama 43% [46%] (50%) {44%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [47%]
      Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 28-29, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-12, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the polls conducted June 24-25, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-16, 2011 are in square brackets.

      Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Washington Political Survey

      SurveyUSA Washington Political Survey

      GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
      • Rob McKenna (R) 44%
      • Jay Inslee (D) 38%
      Among Independents
      • Rob McKenna (R) 45%
      • Jay Inslee (D) 29%
      SENATORIAL ELECTION
      • Maria Cantwell (D) 48%
      • Dave Reichert (R) 41%
      • Maria Cantwell (D) 49%
      • Susan Hutchison (R) 38%
      • Maria Cantwell (D) 51%
      • Michael Baumgartner (R) 39%
      Among Independents
      • Dave Reichert (R) 43%
      • Maria Cantwell (D) 39%
      • Maria Cantwell (D) 41%
      • Susan Hutchison (R) 37%
      • Maria Cantwell (D) 43%
      • Michael Baumgartner (R) 39%
      In Washington, there is a proposal to legalize possession of up to one ounce of marijuana, and subject the purchase of marijuana to a 25 percent tax. Do you support or oppose this proposal?
      • Support 57%
      • Oppose 39%
      Among Democrats
      • Support 71%
      • Oppose 26%
      Among Republicans
      • Support 36%
      • Oppose 59%
      Among Independents
      • Support 59%
      • Oppose 36%
      Among Liberals
      • Support 78%
      • Oppose 19%
      Among Moderates
      • Support 60%
      • Oppose 36%
      Among Conservatives
      • Support 35%
      • Oppose 59%
      Should same-sex couples who wish to get married be given no legal recognition at all? The right to civil unions? Or the right to marry?
      • Marriage 40%
      • Civil unions 32%
      • No recognition 24%
      Among Democrats
      • Marriage 55%
      • Civil unions 30%
      • No recognition 12%
      Among Republicans
      • Marriage 16%
      • Civil unions 38%
      • No recognition 41%
      Among Independents
      • Marriage 45%
      • Civil unions 29%
      • No recognition 22%
      Among Liberals
      • Marriage 70%
      • Civil unions 18%
      • No recognition 8%
      Among Moderates
      • Marriage 44%
      • Civil unions 34%
      • No recognition 19%
      Among Conservatives
      • Marriage 12%
      • Civil unions 36%
      • No recognition 46%
      Survey of 613 registered voters was conducted November 21-23, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 29% Democrat; 25% Republican; 44% Independent. Ideology: 46% Moderate; 27% Conservative; 23% Liberal.

      Poll Watch: Field Research California 2012 Republican Primary Survey

      Field Research California 2012 Republican Primary Poll
      • Mitt Romney 26% {30%} [30%]
      • Newt Gingrich 23% {7%} [8%]
      • Herman Cain 9% {4%} [7%]
      • Ron Paul 5% {7%} [8%]
      • Rick Perry 3% {22%} [6%]
      • Michele Bachmann 3% {7%} [5%]
      • Rick Santorum 2% {1%} [2%]
      • Jon Huntsman 1% {3%} [1%]
      • Other/undecided 26% {16%} [18%]
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Mitt Romney 59% {54%} [56%] / 21% {27%} [25%] {+38%}
      • Newt Gingrich 55% {34%} [36%] / 22% {45%} [44%] {+33%}
      • Herman Cain 45% {25%} [23%] / 32% {15%} [12%] {+13%}
      • Michele Bachmann 40% {35%} [39%] / 30% {35%} [19%] {+10%}
      • Rick Perry 34% {50%} [36%] / 38% {19%} [10%] {-4%}
      • Rick Santorum 20% {17%} [29%] / 25% {19%} [15%] {-5%}
      • Jon Huntsman 16% {15%} [16%] / 25% {22%} [17%] {-9%}
      • Ron Paul 29% {26%} [34%] / 46% {42%} [34%] {-17%}
      Survey of 330 registered Republicans was conducted November 15-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 1-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 28 – March 14, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: ABC News/Washington Post 2012 Favorability Survey

      ABC News/Washington Post 2012 Favorability Survey

      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Mitt Romney 38% [33%] (33%) / 38% [36%] (31%) {0%}
      • Ron Paul 32% (25%) / 35% (27%) {-3%}
      • Newt Gingrich 35% {32%} / 42% {43%} {-7%}
      Among Republicans
      • Newt Gingrich 60% {57%} / 26% {23%} {+34%}
      • Mitt Romney 56% [57%] (55%) / 29% [21%] (19%) {+27%}
      • Ron Paul 39% / 34% {+5%}
      Among Conservative Republicans
      • Newt Gingrich 67% / 24% {+43%}
      • Mitt Romney 63% [60%] (57%) / 25% [25%] (17%) {+38%}
      • Ron Paul 39% / 37% {+2%}
      Survey of 1,007 adults was conducted November 22-27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-13, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 14-18, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Rick Perry Goes On the Record with Greta

      Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research (R) Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

      InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research (R) Florida 2012 GOP Primary Poll
      • Newt Gingrich 41% [12%] (9%)
      • Mitt Romney 17% [33%] (20%)
      • Herman Cain 13% [30%] (6%)
      • Rick Perry 7% [3%] (29%
      • Ron Paul 4% [3%] (5%)
      • Michele Bachmann 3% [2%] (8%)
      • Rick Santorum 1% (2%)
      • Someone else 3% [2%]
      • No opinion 11% [16%] (21%)
      Survey of 513 likely GOP primary voters was conducted November 29, 2011 for The Florida Times-Union. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Tuesday, November 29, 2011

      The Situation Room: Interview with Michele Bachmann

      Fox News Special Report: Interview with Mitt Romney

      AWKWARD: Mitt Romney Really Doesn't Like Bret Baier

      Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

      Gallup 2012 GOP Favorability Survey

      Among Republicans/GOP-Leaning Independents Who Recognize Candidate


      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Newt Gingrich 70% {68%} (65%) [64%] {64%} (65%) [67%] {66%} (63%) [64%] {61%} (61%) [61%]  {60%} (57%) [53%] {56%} (57%) [56%] {55%} / 22% {24%} (26%) [27%] {28%} (27%) [27%] {27%} (30%) [30%] {31%} (33%) [31%] {34%} (35%) [36%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {36%} {+48%}
      • Mitt Romney 66% {67%} (67%) [68%] {70%} (66%) [67%] {71%} (72%) [72%] {74%} (71%) [71%] {70%} (73%) [74%] {72%} (73%) [74%] {73%} / 25% {25%} (24%) [24%] {22%} (24%) [23%] {18%} (19%) [20%] {18%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (19%) [17%] {18%} (18%) [16%] {16%} {+41%}
      • Rick Santorum 57% {58%} (60%) [60%] {58%} (58%) [62%] {62%} (61%) [65%] {65%} (60%) [63%]  {62%} (62%) [64%] {62%} (62%) [67%] {69%} / 27% {27%} (26%) [28%] {27%} (25%) [23%] {24%} (23%) [19%] {21%} (22%) [23%] {23%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (20%) [18%] {15%} {+30%}
      • Herman Cain 57% {60%} (66%) [76%] {76%} (74%) [76%] {77%} (75%) [77%] {76%} (73%) [73%] {74%} (74%) [74%] {77%} (76%) [77%] {72%} / 35% {32%} (26%) [18%] {16%} (16%) [14%] {13%} (14%) [15%] {15%} (13%) [14%] {13%} (14%) [13%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {16%} {+22%}
      • Ron Paul 55% {56%} (56%) [58%] {57%} (55%) [53%] {53%} (56%) [57%] {57%} (59%) [61%] {60%} (61%) [63%] {65%} (65%) [61%] {62%} / 34% {35%} (34%) [34%] {34%} (34%) [36%] {35%} (33%) [32%] {34%} (30%) [27%] {28%} (27%) [25%] {24%} (24%) [25%] {25%} {+21%}
      • Michele Bachmann 55% {56%} (55%) [55%] {56%} (56%) [57%] {59%} (59%) [62%] {65%} (64%) [67%] {68%} (67%) [70%] {69%} (64%) [67%] {74%} / 35% {35%} (36%) [37%] {36%} (34%) [33%] {32%} (31%) [29%] {29%} (27%) [24%] {23%} (21%) [20%] {21%} (24%) [20%] {15%} {+20%}
      • Rick Perry 53% {55%} (54%) [58%] {63%} (60%) [60%] {63%} (68%) [71%] {74%} (73%) [73%] {71%} (69%) [70%] {70%} (74%) [73%] {67%} / 35% {34%} (36%) [33%] {28%} (29%) [30%] {27%} (21%) [17%] {15%} (16%) [13%] {14%} (15%) [13%] {15%} (15%) [15%] {17%} {+18%}
      • Jon Huntsman 47% {49%} (51%) [50%] {47%} (46%) [52%] {54%} (50%) [51%] {53%} (53%) [50%] {48%} (50%) [51%] {50%} (55%) [55%] {55%} / 36% {34%} (35%) [38%] {36%} (36%) [34%] {31%} (31%) [32%] {32%} (34%) [34%] {35%} (31%) [27%] {28%} (25%) [24%] {26%} {+11%}
      Positive Intensity Score (Strongly Favorable minus Strongly Unfavorable)
      • Newt Gingrich +20% {+20%} (+17%) [+14%] {+12%} (+12%) [+13%] {+13%} (+11%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+7%] {+7%} (+4%) [+3%] {+2%} (+1%) [+3%] {+4%}
      • Herman Cain +9% {+14%} (+17%) [+25%] {+29%} (+30%) [+34%] {+34%} (+30%) [+26%] {+24%} (+22%) [+24%] {+27%} (+28%) [+25%] {+22%} (+25%) [+27%] {+25%}
      • Mitt Romney +9% {+11%} (+10%) [+10%] {+12%} (+13%) [+15%] {+14%} (+13%) [+14%] {+15%} (+16%) [+12%] {+11%} (+14%) [+15%] {+14%} (+15%) [18%] {+17%}
      • Rick Santorum +7% {+6%} (+5%) [+6%] {+8%} (+8%) [+10%] {+10%} (+8%) [+11%] {+10%} (+8%) [+10%] {+10%} (+7%) [+6%] {+5%} (+7%) [+11%] {+12%}
      • Michele Bachmann +2% {+1%} (+1%) [+3%] {+3%} (+3%) [+4%] {+4%} (+5%) [+8%] {+11%} (+10%) [+11%] {+13%} (+16%) [+20%] {+18%} (+14%) [+18%] {+21%}
      • Ron Paul +2% {+2%} (+4%) [+6%] {+6%} (+5%) [+2%] {+2%} (+3%) [+6%] {+7%} (+7%) [+6%] {+6%} (+9%) [+11%] {+9%} (+8%) [+9%] {+8%}
      • Rick Perry 0% {+2%} (0%) [+3%] {+6%} (+5%) [+4%] {+7%} (+15%) [+22%] {+24%} (+24%) [+25%] {+25%} (+22%) [+23%] {+23%} (+24%) [+23%] {+21%}
      • Jon Huntsman -2% {-2%} (-3%[-3%] {-2%} (-2%) [+1%] {+1%} (-1%) [+1%] {+2%} (-1%) [-2%] {+1%} (+2%) [+4%] {+6%} (+5%) [+3%] {+2%}
      Newt Gingrich
      • Strongly Favorable 24% {24%} (21%) [19%] {18%} (18%) [19%] {18%} (16%) [16%] {15%} (13%) [13%] {15%} (12%) [10%] {9%} (8%) [10%] {11%}
      • Favorable 46% {44%} (44%) [45%] {46%} (47%) [48%] {48%} (47%) [48%] {46%} (48%) [48%] {45%} (45%) [43%] {47%} (49%) [46%] {44%}
      • Unfavorable 18% {20%} (22%) [22%] {22%} (21%) [22%] {22%} (24%) [24%] {25%} (27%) [25%] {26%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {29%}
      • Strongly Unfavorable 4% {4%} (4%) [5%] {6%} (6%) [5%] {5%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (6%) [6%] {8%} (8%) [7%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {7%}
      Mitt Romney
      • Strongly Favorable 15% {16%} (16%) [16%] {16%} (16%) [19%] {18%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (19%) [15%] {15%} (18%) [17%] {17%} (18%) [21%] {19%}
      • Favorable 51% {51%} (51%) [52%] {54%} (50%) [48%] {53%} (55%) [55%] {55%} (52%) [56%] {55%} (55%) [57%] {55%} (55%) [53%] {54%}
      • Unfavorable 19% {20%} (19%) [18%] {18%} (20%) [19%] {14%} (16%) [17%] {15%} (17%) [16%] {16%} (15%) [14%] {15%} (15%) [13%] {14%}
      • Strongly Unfavorable 6% {5%} (5%) [6%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {4%} (3%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {4%} (4%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [3%] {2%}
      Rick Santorum
      • Strongly Favorable 11% {10%} (8%) [10%] {12%} (11%) [12%] {12%} (12%) [13%] {12%} (11%) [13%] {13%} (9%) [9%] {9%} (11%) [13%] {13%}
      • Favorable 46% {48%} (52%) [50%] {46%} (47%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [52%] {53%} (49%) [50%] {49%} (53%) [55%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {56%}
      • Unfavorable 23% {22%} (22%) [24%] {23%} (22%) [21%] {22%} (20%) [17%] {19%} (19%) [20%] {20%} (18%) [17%] {16%} (16%) [16%] {14%}
      • Strongly Unfavorable 4% {5%} (4%) [4%] {4%} (3%) [2%] {2%} (3%) [2%] {2%} (3%) [3%] {3%} (2%) [2%] {4%} (4%) [2%] {1%}
      Herman Cain
      • Strongly Favorable 18% {22%} (23%) [28%] {32%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (31%) [27%] {25%} (24%) [26%] {28%} (29%) [26%] {24%} (27%) [29%] {26%}
      • Favorable 39% {38%} (43%) [48%] {44%} (41%) [41%] {42%} (44%) [50%] {51%} (49%) [47%] {46%} (45%) [48%] {53%} (49%) [48%] {46%}
      • Unfavorable 25% {23%} (20%) [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {12%} (13%) [14%] {13%} (11%) [12%] {12%} (13%) [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {15%}
      • Strongly Unfavorable 10% {9%} (6%) [3%] {3%} (3%) [2%] {1%} (1%) [1%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (1%) [1%] {1%} (2%) [2%] {1%}
      Ron Paul
      • Strongly Favorable 9% {9%} (9%) [12%] {12%} (11%) [10%] {9%} (10%) [12%] {13%} (12%) [11%] {11%} (14%) [15%] {13%} (13%) [12%] {11%}
      • Favorable 46% {47%} (47%) [46%] {45%} (44%) [43%] {44%} (46%) [45%] {44%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (47%) [48%] {52%} (52%) [49%] {51%}
      • Unfavorable 27% {28%} (29%) [28%] {28%} (28%) [28%] {28%} (27%) [26%] {28%} (25%) [23%] {23%} (22%) [21%] {20%} (20%) [21%] {22%}
      • Strongly Unfavorable 7% {7%} (5%) [6%] {6%} (6%) [8%] {7%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [4%] {5%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [4%] {3%}
      Michele Bachmann
      • Strongly Favorable 10% {9%} (9%) [10%] {11%} (11%) [12%] {11%} (12%) [15%] {17%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (21%) [24%] {22%} (20%) [23%] {24%}
      • Favorable 45% {47%} (46%) [45%] {45%} (45%) [45%] {48%} (47%) [47%] {48%} (47%) [50%] {49%} (46%) [46%] {47%} (44%) [44%] {50%}
      • Unfavorable 27% {26%} (28%) [29%] {28%} (26%) [24%] {25%} (24%) [22%] {23%} (21%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [16%] {17%} (18%) [15%] {12%}
      • Strongly Unfavorable 8% {9%} (8%) [8%] {8%} (8%) [9%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {6%} (6%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [4%] {4%} (6%) [5%] {3%}
      Rick Perry
      • Strongly Favorable 7% {8%} (7%) [11%] {13%} (11%) [11%] {13%} (19%) [25%] {27%} (27%) [29%] {27%} (25%) [25%] {24%} (26%) [26%] {23%}
      • Favorable 46% {47%} (47%) [47%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {50%} (49%) [46%] {47%} (46%) [44%] {44%} (44%) [45%] {46%} (48%) [47%] {44%}
      • Unfavorable 28% {28%} (28%) [25%] {21%} (22%) [23%] {21%} (17%) [14%] {12%} (12%) [10%] {12%} (13%) [11%] {14%} (13%) [12%] {14%}
      • Strongly Unfavorable 7% {6%} (8%) [8%] {7%} (7%) [7%] {6%} (4%) [3%] {3%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (2%) [2%] {1%} (2%) [3%] {3%}
      Jon Huntsman
      • Strongly Favorable 4% {4%} (3%) [4%] {4%} (4%) [6%] {5%} (4%) [6%] {6%} (5%) [5%] {6%} (6%) [7%] {8%} (8%) [6%] {7%}
      • Favorable 43% {45%} (48%) [46%] {43%} (42%) [46%] {49%} (46%) [45%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {42%} (44%) [44%] {42%} (47%) [49%] {48%}
      • Unfavorable 30% {28%} (29%) [31%] {30%} (30%) [29%] {27%} (26%) [27%] {28%} (28%) [28%] {30%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (22%) [20%] {21%}
      • Strongly Unfavorable 6% {6%} (6%) [7%] {6%} (6%) [5%] {4%} (5%) [5%] {4%} (6%) [6%] {5%} (4%) [3%] {2%} (3%) [4%] {5%}
      Name Recognition
      • Mitt Romney 90% {89%} (89%) [89%] {88%} (88%) [88%] {85%} (83%) [84%] {85%} (86%) [88%] {88%} (86%) [86%] {86%} (84%) [85%] {86%}
      • Newt Gingrich 88% {88%} (86%) [85%] {86%} (87%) [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {86%} (86%) [86%] {85%} (85%) [86%] {85%} (84%) [85%] {85%}
      • Herman Cain 87% {88%} (85%) [81%] {80%} (78%) [69%] {61%} (55%) [51%] {50%} (48%) [48%] {50%} (47%) [45%] {45%} (46%) [47%] {44%}
      • Rick Perry 87% {87%} (84%) [83%] {86%} (85%) [82%] {80%} (80%) [79%] {76%} (75%) [74%] {75%} (67%) [59%] {54%} (54%) [56%] {55%}
      • Ron Paul 85% {85%} (80%) [80%] {81%} (80%) [80%] {78%} (79%) [80%] {82%} (81%) [79%] {78%} (78%) [78%] {78%} (77%) [78%] {77%}
      • Michele Bachmann 84% {82%} (84%) [86%] {84%} (83%) [85%] {84%} (84%) [83%] {84%} (84%) [84%] {85%} (83%) [81%] {78%} (76%) [78%] {77%}
      • Rick Santorum 59% {57%} (55%) [55%] {57%} (57%) [55%] {54%} (54%) [53%] {53%} (54%) [52%] {52%} (51%) [51%] {51%} (50%) [50%] {49%}
      • Jon Huntsman 51% {48%} (47%) [50%] {52%} (50%) [49%] {46%} (43%) [44%] {45%} (46%) [46%] {43%} (40%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [40%] {41%} 
      Click Image to Enlarge
      Survey Methods
      Results are based on telephone interviews conducted as part of Gallup Daily tracking November 14-27, 2011, with random samples of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. Questions asking about the 10 potential candidates measured in this research were rotated among randomly selected samples of Republicans each night; over the 14-day period, each candidate was rated by approximately 1,400 Republicans and Republican-leaning independents.

      For the overall ratings of each potential candidate among Republicans and Republican-leaning independents, including recognition scores, one can say with 95% confidence that the maximum margin of sampling error is ±3 percentage points.  
       
      Results from the poll conducted November 7-20, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 1-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 24 - November 6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-30, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 10-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 3-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 26 - October 9, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 19 - October 2, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 12-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 5-18, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 11, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22 - September 4, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 15-28, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 8-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 25 - August 7, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-31, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 4-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen New Hampshire 2012 Republican Primary Survey

      Rasmussen New Hampshire 2012 GOP Primary Survey
      • Mitt Romney 34% [41%] (39%)
      • Newt Gingrich 24% [8%] (4%) 
      • Ron Paul 14% [11%] (13%)
      • Jon Huntsman 11% [7%] (7%)
      • Herman Cain 5% [17%] (4%) 
      • Rick Perry 2% [4%] (18%)
      • Michele Bachmann 2% [3%] (5%)
      • Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (2%)
      Survey of 762 likely Republican primary voters was conducted November 28, 2011. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 21, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: American Research Group South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

      ARG South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Survey
      • Newt Gingrich 33% {8%} [3%] (9%)
      • Mitt Romney 22% {25%} [25%] (18%)
      • Herman Cain 10% {26%} [10%] (1%)
      • Rick Perry 8% {15%} [6%]
      • Ron Paul 8% {7%} [2%] (1%)
      • Michele Bachmann 3% {5%} [13%] (5%)
      • Jon Huntsman 3% {0%} [0%] (0%)
      • Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [2%] (1%)
      • Buddy Roemer 0% {0%} [2%] (0%)
      • Gary Johnson 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
      • Undecided 12% {12%} [15%] (11%)
      Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters (446 Republicans, 144 independents, and 10 Democrats) was conducted November 25-28, 2011. The margin of error is ± 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: Republican: 74% {81%} [79%] (76%); Independent: 26% {19%} [21%] (24%). Tea Party supporter: 46% {47%} [51%] (52%); Not a Tea Party supporter/Undecided: 54% {53%} [49%] (48%).  Results from the poll conducted October 5-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-17, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 18-23, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

      We Ask America (R) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey
      • Newt Gingrich 29% {18%} [5%] (14%)
      • Michele Bachmann 13% {11%} [17%]
      • Mitt Romney 13% {15%} [15%] (13%)
      • Ron Paul 11% {11%} [8%] (5%)
      • Herman Cain 7% {22%} [5%] 
      • Rick Perry 5% {4%} [29%]
      • Rick Santorum 5% {3%} [4%]
      • Jon Huntsman 4% {2%} [1%]
      • Uncertain 13% {14%}
      Among Men
      • Newt Gingrich 33% {24%}
      • Mitt Romney 13% {11%}
      • Michele Bachmann 12% {10%}
      • Ron Paul 12% {12%}
      • Herman Cain 8% {28%}
      • Rick Perry 6% {3%}
      • Rick Santorum 4% {2%}
      • Jon Huntsman 4% {2%}
      • Uncertain 7% {9%}
      Among Women
      • Newt Gingrich 28% {12%}
      • Michele Bachmann 13% {12%} 
      • Mitt Romney 12% {19%}
      • Ron Paul 9% {10%} 
      • Herman Cain 7% {17%}
      • Rick Perry 6% {5%}
      • Rick Santorum 5% {4%}
      • Jon Huntsman 3% {3%}
      • Uncertain 18% {18%}
      Survey of 962 likely Iowa GOP caucus participants was conducted November 28, 2011. The margin of error is ±3.16 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research (R) South Carolina 2012 Republican Primary Survey

      InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research (R) South Carolina 2012 GOP Primary Survey
      • Newt Gingrich 37.9% [18.9%] (7.8%) 
      • Mitt Romney 15.4% [16.1%] (16.4%)
      • Herman Cain 12.9% [25.6%] (32.0%)
      • Ron Paul 6.9% [3.1%] (6.6%)  
      • Rick Perry 3.7% [6.1%] (12.4%)
      • Michele Bachmann 3.2% [4.7%] (5.8%)
      • Rick Santorum 2.2% [1.6%]
      • Someone else 4.6% [4.0%] (3.7%)
      • No opinion 13.2% [19.8%] (14.7%)
      Among Men
      • Newt Gingrich 39.5% [25.9%] (6.9%) 
      • Mitt Romney 15.8% [15.9%] (15.6%)
      • Ron Paul 11.9% [3.9%] (9.1%)  
      • Herman Cain 9.7% [27.7%] (36.7%)
      • Rick Perry 5.3% [2.5%] (14.7%) 
      • Michele Bachmann 3.4% [8.9%] (4.1%) 
      • Rick Santorum 1.1% [0.2%]
      • Someone else 2.4% [3.7%] (4.9%)
      • No opinion 10.9% [11.3%] (7.3%)
      Among Women
      • Newt Gingrich 36.4% [12.2%] (8.6%) 
      • Herman Cain 16.0% [23.7%] (27.4%)
      • Mitt Romney 15.3% [16.2%] (17.2%)
      • Rick Santorum 3.3% [2.9%]
      • Michele Bachmann 3.1% [0.6%] (7.3%)
      • Rick Perry 2.1% [9.7%] (10.3%) 
      • Ron Paul 1.9% [2.4%] (4.2%) 
      • Someone else 6.7% [4.3%] (2.6%)
      • No opinion 15.2% [28.0%] (21.8%)
      Survey of 519 likely South Carolina GOP primary voters was conducted November 28, 2011 for The Augusta Chronicle.  Party ID breakdown: 73.4% [75.0%] Republican; 23.7% [20.8%] Independent; 2.9% [3.9%] Democrat.  Results from the poll conducted November 8, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research (R) Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

      InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion Research (R) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Poll
      • Newt Gingrich 28.1% {14.5%} [11.7%] (12.1%)
      • Ron Paul 13.3% {11.4%} [8.7%] (9.6%) 
      • Mitt Romney 11.5% {18.7%} [14.9%] (18.1%)
      • Michele Bachmann 10.1% {5.4%} [7.8%] (11.0%) 
      • Herman Cain 9.8% {23.3%} [29.6%] (26.4%)
      • Rick Perry 6.6% {8.8%} [5.6%] (5.8%)
      • Rick Santorum 3.3% {3.4%}
      • Someone else 3.2% {1.7%} [5.5%] (3.0%)
      • No opinion 14.1% {12.8%} [14.2%] (13.1%)
      Among Men
      • Newt Gingrich 22.9% {14.2%} [13.3%] (12.8%)
      • Ron Paul 19.0% {14.0%} [10.6%] (13.2%)
      • Michele Bachmann 15.5% {5.9%} [10.4%] (10.1%) 
      • Herman Cain 14.2% {31.4%} [30.4%] (32.5%)
      • Mitt Romney 7.4% {19.1%} [12.6%] (14.9%)
      • Rick Perry 5.7% {8.1%} [4.6%] (6.0%)
      • Rick Santorum 3.6% {0.6%}
      • Someone else 3.6% {1.0%} [8.1%] (3.1%)
      • No opinion 8.1% {5.7%} [8.4%] (5.8%)
      Among Women
      • Newt Gingrich 33.1% {14.7%} [10.2%] (11.5%) 
      • Mitt Romney 15.2% {18.4%} [17.1%] (21.2%)
      • Ron Paul 7.8% {9.0%} [6.9%] (6.1%)
      • Rick Perry 7.2% {9.4%} [6.5%] (5.6%)  
      • Herman Cain 5.8% {15.5%} [28.9%] (20.6%)
      • Michele Bachmann 5.2% {5.0%} [5.3%] (11.8%) 
      • Rick Santorum 3.1% {6.2%}
      • Someone else 2.8% {2.4%} [3.1%] (3.0%)
      • No opinion 19.7% {19.4%} [19.8%] (20.0%)
      Survey of 509 likely Iowa GOP caucus-goers was conducted November 28, 2011 for Newsmax.  Party ID breakdown: 67.4% {73.2%} [76.5%] Republican; 28.3% {24.1%} [20.7%] Independent; 4.3% {2.8%} [2.8%] Democrat.  Results from the poll conducted November 8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Monday, November 28, 2011

      Poll Watch: Poll Position 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

      Poll Position 2012 GOP Nomination Survey
      • Newt Gingrich 32.1% (30.3%)
      • Mitt Romney 23.2% (21.4%)
      • Herman Cain 13.6% (11.3%)
      • Ron Paul 5.6% (4.5%)
      • Rick Perry 4.9% (5.9%)
      • Michele Bachmann 4.1% (6.2%)
      • Jon Huntsman 2.7% (2.4%)
      • Someone else 2.7% (4.2%)
      • No opinion 11.1% (13.8%)
      Among Men
      • Newt Gingrich 37.5% (39.4%)
      • Herman Cain 18.3% (11.8%)
      • Mitt Romney 15.1% (21.0%)
      • Ron Paul 8.5% (8.5%)
      • Jon Huntsman 4.7% (1.6%)
      • Rick Perry 3.1% (5.4%)
      • Michele Bachmann 2.6% (4.8%)
      • Someone else 2.1% (2.4%)
      • No opinion 8.1% (5.1%)
      Among Women
      • Mitt Romney 30.5% (21.6%)
      • Newt Gingrich 27.3% (22.3%)
      • Herman Cain 9.5% (10.9%)
      • Rick Perry 6.4% (6.3%)
      • Michele Bachmann 5.4% (7.4%)
      • Ron Paul 3.0% (1.1%)
      • Jon Huntsman 1.0% (3.1%)
      • Someone else 3.1% (5.3%)
      • No opinion 13.8% (21.9%)
      Survey of 499 likely Republican primary voters was conducted November 27, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted November 22, 2011 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Presidential Survey

      PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Presidential Survey
      • Mitt Romney 49% {48%} [49%] (50%)
      • Barack Obama 42% {44%} [43%] (43%)
      • Ron Paul 44%
      • Barack Obama 43%
        • Newt Gingrich 45% {40%} [46%]
        • Barack Obama 45% {47%} [46%]
        • Barack Obama 46%
        • Herman Cain 42%
        • Barack Obama 47%
        • Rick Perry 40%
          Among Men
          • Mitt Romney 54% {52%} [52%] (53%)
          • Barack Obama 36% {41%} [38%] (42%)
          • Newt Gingrich 50% {44%} [49%]
          • Barack Obama 40% {44%} [43%]
          • Ron Paul 48%
          • Barack Obama 39%
          • Herman Cain 46%
          • Barack Obama 42%
          • Barack Obama 43%
          • Rick Perry 43%
          Among Women
          • Barack Obama 47% {47%} [46%] (45%)
          • Mitt Romney 44% {44%} [47%] (46%)
          • Barack Obama 47%
          • Ron Paul 40%
            • Barack Obama 49% {49%} [48%]
            • Newt Gingrich 41% {37%} [43%]
            • Barack Obama 49%
            • Herman Cain 38%
            • Barack Obama 50%
            • Rick Perry 37%
              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
              • Newt Gingrich 40% {26%} [34%] / 50% {59%} [48%] {-10%}
              • Mitt Romney 38% {45%} [44%] (40%) / 51% {37%} [38%] (39%) {-13%}
              • Herman Cain 35% / 52% {-17%}
              • Ron Paul 35% / 52% {-17%}
              • Rick Perry 17% / 67% {-50%}
              Among Men
              • Newt Gingrich 46% {29%} [37%] / 48% {61%} [50%] {-2%}
              • Herman Cain 39% / 52% {-13%
              • Ron Paul 38% / 53% {-15%}
              • Mitt Romney 38% {50%} [45%] (44%) / 57% {35%} [40%] (40%) {-19%}
              • Rick Perry 18% / 73% {-55%}
              Among Women
              • Mitt Romney 38% {41%} [43%] (37%) / 46% {40%} [37%] (37%) {-8%}
              • Ron Paul 33% / 50% {-17%
              • Newt Gingrich 34% {23%} [32%] / 53% {57%} [45%] {-19%}
              • Herman Cain 32% / 52% {-20%}  
              • Rick Perry 16% / 61% {-45%
              Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?
              • Approve 41% {46%} [45%] (47%)
              • Disapprove 54% {50%} [51%] (47%)
              Survey of 500 Arizona voters voters was conducted November 17-20, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% {43%} [40%] (42%) Republican; 38% {34%} [36%] (37%) Democrat; 21% {23%} [24%] (22%) Independent/Other. Political views: 25% {33%} Moderate; 25% {25%} Somewhat conservative; 21% {17%} Very conservative; 17% {17%} Somewhat liberal; 13% {7%} Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in parentheses.

              Sunday, November 27, 2011

              Sens. Kyl and Durbin on Fox News Sunday

              Jon Huntsman on Fox News Sunday

              CNN State of the Union: Newt Gingrich Receives Endorsement from New Hampshire Union Leader


              An Editorial: For President, Newt Gingrich
              By JOSEPH W. McQUAID, New Hampshire Union Leader Publisher

              CNN State of the Union: Sizing Up The Presidential Race

              CNN State of the Union: Interview with Herman Cain (Part 2)

              CNN State of the Union: Interview with Herman Cain (Part 1)

              Fox News Sunday: Panel Plus