Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 49% (46%) {45%} [46%] (46%) {43%} [44%] (46%) 
• Barack Obama 47% (48%) {43%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (42%) 

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney? 

• Very favorable 38% (33%) {30%} [23%] (21%)
• Somewhat favorable 14% (18%) {19%} [29%] (29%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 10% (15%) {19%} [19%] (25%)
• Very unfavorable 36% (32%) {29%} [25%] (22%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 52% (51%) {49%} [52%] (50%) / 46% (47%) {48%} [44%] (47%) {+6%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president? 

• Strongly approve 33% (35%) {30%} [28%] (37%) {28%}
• Somewhat approve 18% (16%) {19%} [21%] (12%) {21%} 
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (7%) {8%} [6%] (12%) {6%}
• Strongly disapprove 40% (40%) {41%} [44%] (39%) {45%} 

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 51% (51%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {49%} 
• Disapprove 47% (47%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {51%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 4, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 13, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-three percent (93%) of Likely Voters in the state say they're certain to vote next month. Among these voters, Romney leads 51% to 45%.

Ninety-three percent (93%) of Obama supporters are certain of their vote at this time, as are 87% of Romney voters.

The Republican leads by six points among male voters. The candidates are essentially tied among female voters.

Most young voters continue to favor the president, while the majority of their elders prefer Romney.

Florida voters are evenly divided over which candidate they trust more to handle the economy: 46% say the president, 46% Romney. This marks little change from the previous survey.

If Obama is reelected and Democrats regain control of Congress, 42% believe the economy will get better, while 44% say it will get worse. The numbers are only slightly more encouraging for Romney: 44% say the economy will get better if he wins the presidency and Republicans win control of Congress, while 40% say the economy will get worse.

When it comes to handling national security matters, 48% trust the president more, while 46% put more faith in Romney. Obama had a seven-point advantage - 47% to 43% - in this area in September.