Poll Watch: PPP (D) Illinois Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Illinois Senatorial Survey

• Mark Kirk (R) 42% [40%] (35%) {30%} [37%] (34%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 40% [36%] (37%) {31%} [33%] (42%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 4% [8%] (9%) {14%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3% [3%]
• Undecided 10% [13%] (19%) {24%} [30%] (24%)

Among Men

• Mark Kirk (R) 46% [44%] (41%) {34%} [43%] (40%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 38% [31%] (35%) {30%} [34%] (40%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 5% [11%] (10%) {18%}
• Mike Labno (L) 4% [3%]
• Undecided 7% [12%] (15%) {17%} 

Among Women

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 43% [41%] (40%) {32%} [32%] (43%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 37% [36%] (30%) {26%} [31%] (28%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 4% [6%] (8%) {11%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3% [3%]
• Undecided 13% [15%] (22%) {31%} [37%] (29%)

Among Democrats

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 76% [68%] (72%) {56%} [54%] (72%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 10% [9%] (5%) {10%} [10%] (7%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 5% [7%] (8%) {15%}
• Mike Labno (L) 0% [2%]
• Undecided 9% [15%] (15%) {19%} [36%] (20%)

Among Republicans

• Mark Kirk (R) 86% [79%] (74%) {63%} [77%] (76%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 3% [2%] (6%) {5%} [7%] (5%)
• Mike Labno (L) 2% [2%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 1% [6%] (7%) {7%}
• Undecided 9% [11%] (12%) {25%} [16%] (19%)

Among Independents

• Mark Kirk (R) 40% [41%] (36%) {26%} [33%] (33%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 31% [27%] (20%) {20%} [30%] (27%)
• Mike Labno (L) 9% [5%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 6% [13%] (12%) {21%}
• Undecided 14% [14%] (32%) {32%} [37%] (40%)

Among Conservatives

• Mark Kirk (R) 69% [70%] (66%) {51%} [69%] (59%)
• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 11% [6%] (9%) {11%} [9%] (19%)
• Mike Labno (L) 6% [4%]
• LeAlan Jones (G) 3% [4%] (8%) {17%}
• Undecided 11% [16%] (17%) {21%} [22%] (21%)

Among Moderates

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 45% [43%] (42%) {33%} [36%] (45%)
• Mark Kirk (R) 39% [33%] (25%) {27%} [23%] (25%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 4% [9%] (11%) {14%}
• Mike Labno (L) 3% [2%]
• Undecided 11% [13%] (23%) {26%} [41%] (30%)

Among Liberals

• Alexi Giannoulias (D) 78% [74%] (78%) {56%} [71%] (68%)
• LeAlan Jones (G) 8% [13%] (8%) {12%}
• Mark Kirk (R) 6% [2%] (1%) {6%} [8%] (11%)
• Mike Labno (L) 1% [2%]
• Undecided 8% [9%] (13%) {26%} [22%] (21%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mark Kirk 35% [33%] (26%) {23%} [24%] (27%) / 46% [47%] (34%) {31%} [23%] (22%) {-11%}
• Alexi Giannoulias 35% [33%] (26%) {23%} [21%] (31%) / 47% [48%] (42%) {31%} [28%] (19%) {-12%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% [44%] (49%) {53%} [50%]
• Disapprove 51% [49%] (46%) {41%} [42%]

Since Barack Obama became President do you think things in America have gotten better, worse, or stayed about the same?

• Better 33%
• Worse 49%
• Stayed about the same 18%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by President Obama, or does it not make a difference either way?

• More likely 25%
• Less likely 41% 
• Doesn't make a difference 34%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Roland Burris’ job performance?

• Approve 19% [17%] (20%) {19%} [18%] (14%)
• Disapprove 58% [68%] (55%) {54%} [54%] (60%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Dick Durbin’s job performance?

• Approve 47% [46%] (50%) {49%} [45%] (47%)
• Disapprove 45% [43%] (38%) {36%} [34%] (39%)

Would you rather Democrats or Republicans held the majority in the next US Senate?

• Republicans 46%
• Democrats 45%

Survey of 557 likely voters was conducted October 14-16, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% [42%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (47%) Democrat; 30% [32%] (32%) {29%} [30%] (31%) Republican; 30% [26%] (26%) {29%} [28%] (23%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 44% [40%] (39%) {43%} [44%] (38%) Moderate; 34% [37%] (38%) {34%} [36%] (36%) Conservative; 22% [23%] (22%) {23%} [20%] (26%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1-5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.