Poll Watch: Rasmussen Maryland Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Maryland Gubernatorial Survey

• Martin O’Malley (D) 48% {49%} [45%] (46%) {45%} [47%] (49%)
• Bob Ehrlich (R) 40% {45%} [44%] (47%) {45%} [44%] (43%)

With Leaners

• Martin O’Malley (D) 49% {50%} [47%]
• Bob Ehrlich (R) 41% {47%} [47%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Martin O'Malley (D) 57% {52%} [52%]
• Bob Ehrlich (R) 43% {48%} [48%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Martin O’Malley 55% {54%} [55%] (49%) {53%} [54%] (54%) / 41% {43%} [42%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (40%) {+14%}
• Bob Ehrlich 49% {58%} [56%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (55%) / 46% {38%} [38%] (37%) {42%} [39%] (36%) {+3%}

How would you rate the job Martin O’Malley has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 28% {25%} [27%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (18%)
• Somewhat approve 26% {26%} [27%] (29%) {34%} [28%] (35%)
• Somewhat disapprove 17% {16%} [19%] (18%) {18%} [19%] (19%)
• Strongly disapprove 27% {30%} [26%] (30%) {26%} [29%] (23%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 37% {42%} [41%] (42%) {39%} [44%] (38%)
• Somewhat approve 15% {14%} [15%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (21%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% {6%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [6%] (8%)
• Strongly disapprove 39% {36%} [38%] (34%) {35%} [33%] (32%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 4, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% {52%} Democrat; 30% {28%} Republican; 24% {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 17, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 8, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 20, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ehrlich has the support of 80% of the state's Republicans, while 78% of Maryland Democrats favor O'Malley.  Ehrlich leads O’Malley 43% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.