Poll Watch: Rasmussen Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Massachusetts Gubernatorial Survey

• Deval Patrick (D) 44% {43%} (42%) [39%] {38%} (41%) [45%] {35%} (35%) [33%]
• Charlie Baker (R) 37% {39%} (38%) [34%] {32%} (34%) [31%] {27%} (32%) [28%]
• Tim Cahill (I) 14% {11%} (11%) [18%] {17%} (16%) [14%] {23%} (19%) [25%]

With Leaners

• Deval Patrick (D) 47% {47%} (45%) [44%] 
• Charlie Baker (R) 42% {42%} (42%) [42%] 
• Tim Cahill (I) 6% {6%} (5%) [8%]

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Deval Patrick (D) 49% {52%} (51%) [50%]
• Charlie Baker (R) 44% {42%} (44%) [39%]
• Tim Cahilll (I) 7% {6%} (5%) [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Deval Patrick 53% {55%} (52%) [48%] {51%} (52%) [53%] {49%} (43%) [42%] / 45% {43%} (46%) [50%] {48%} (47%) [47%] {48%} (55%) [56%] {+8%}
• Charlie Baker 47% {52%} (50%) [48%] {36%} (46%) [41%] {43%} (46%) [42%] / 50% {40%} (34%) [36%] {46%} (35%) [34%] {32%} (26%) [29%] {-3%}
• Tim Cahill 32% {37%} (40%) [40%] {44%} / 61% {54%} (45%) [44%] {38%} {-29%}

How would you rate the job Deval Patrick has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 23% {23%} (19%) [21%] {18%} (14%) [12%] {12%} (14%) [11%]
• Somewhat approve 28% {25%} (30%) [25%] {32%} (34%) [36%] {34%} (25%) [23%]
• Somewhat disapprove 13% {17%} (18%) [19%] {13%} (20%) [19%] {20%} (24%) [27%]
• Strongly disapprove 35% {34%} (32%) [33%] {36%} (30%) [31%] {33%} (37%) [37%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 32% {34%} (34%) [33%] {37%} (33%) [42%] {37%} (34%) [31%]
• Somewhat approve 21% {20%} (20%) [23%] {19%} (23%) [21%] {19%} (20%) [24%]
• Somewhat disapprove 9% {11%} (10%) [9%] {10%} (11%) [11%] {11%} (11%) [9%]
• Strongly disapprove 36% {34%} (35%) [34%] {35%} (32%) [26%] {33%} (35%) [35%]

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 16, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 40% {42%} (41%) Democrat; 19% {21%} (18%) Republican; 41% {37%} (41%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 22, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 5, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 23, 2009 are in square brackets. 

Inside the numbers:

Baker has the backing of 78% of the state’s Republicans, while 80% of Democrats support Patrick. Baker leads Patrick among voters not affiliated with either party by 21 points. Cahill earns single-digit support from all three groups.