Poll Watch: Rasmussen Texas Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Texas Gubernatorial Survey

• Rick Perry (R) 51% [53%] (48%) {49%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [48%] (49%) {47%} [48%] (50%)
• Bill White (D) 43% [42%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {38%} [44%] (43%) {41%} [39%] (40%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Rick Perry (R) 56% [58%]
• Bill White (D) 42% [42%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Perry 59% [59%] (52%) {61%} [60%] (53%) {55%} [59%] (54%) {53%} [54%] (55%) / 40% [40%] (44%) {37%} [38%] (45%) {43%} [37%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (42%) {+19%}
• Bill White 45% [46%] (42%) {50%} [52%] (55%) {47%} [54%] (54%) {55%} [46%] (49%) / 50% [50%] (47%) {41%} [41%] (36%) {41%} [36%] (34%) {32%} [38%] (35%) {-5%}

How would you rate the job Rick Perry has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 24% [19%] (15%) {21%} [16%] (16%) {15%} [19%] (17%) {15%} [11%] (16%)
• Somewhat approve 30% [37%] (37%) {34%} [39%] (37%) {40%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (37%)
• Somewhat disapprove 18% [15%] (17%) {21%} [19%] (23%) {18%} [18%] (22%) {20%} [24%] (23%)
• Strongly disapprove 26% [28%] (31%) {24%} [25%] (22%) {24%} [22%] (22%) {26%} [24%] (23%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 25% [27%] (26%) {20%} [25%] (28%) {27%} [29%] (27%) {25%} [27%] (29%)
• Somewhat approve 15% [12%] (13%) {14%} [12%] (12%) {15%} [13%] (9%) {16%} [14%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 4% [6%] (6%) {11%} [7%] (9%) {7%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [10%] (8%)
• Strongly disapprove 55% [54%] (55%) {54%} [56%] (51%) {50%} [52%] (55%) {50%} [48%] (46%)

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted October 21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% [41%] (40%) Republican; 29% [32%] (31%) Democrat; 29% [27%] (28%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 6, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 13, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 16, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 17, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

White has the support of 92% of Texas Democrats, while just 78% of GOP voters in the state back Perry. The incumbent holds a 14-point lead among voters not affiliated with either of the two major parties.