NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey
REPUBLICAN NOMINATION
REPUBLICAN NOMINATION
- Mitt Romney 30% [21%] {21%} (19%)
- Sarah Palin 14% [10%] {12%} (14%)
- Herman Cain 12%
- Rick Perry 8%
- Ron Paul 7%
- Newt Gingrich 6% [11%] {13%} (10%)
- Tim Pawlenty 4% [6%] {3%} (5%)
- Rick Santorum 4% [3%] {2%} (3%)
- Michele Bachmann 3% [5%]
- Jon Huntsman 1%
- Other (VOL) 1% [1%] {2%} (2%)
- None (VOL) 2% [4%] {4%} (6%)
- Not sure 8% [4%] {8%} (8%)
Let me read you a slightly shorter list of people who might seek the 2012 Republican nomination for president. If you were voting today in the Republican primary for president, which one of the following candidates would you favor?
Supports a federal requirement for companies to reduce greenhouse gases
Statement A: The president and the Congress should worry more about boosting the economy even though it may mean larger budget deficits now and in the future.
Statement B: The president and the Congress should worry more about keeping the budget deficit down, even though it may mean it will take longer for the economy to recover
Some people say do not raise the debt ceiling because doing so will make it easier to increase spending and harder to reduce the deficit, and will increase the debt held by other countries and passed on to the next generation.…while other people say raise the debt ceiling because failing to do so could stop the government from meeting its obligations, including payments to those on Social Security and in the military, and cause a shock to the economy. Efforts to control debt should be comprehensive and long-term rather than artificial and short-term.
Statement A: The troops should be removed now.
Statement B: The troops should be removed on the timetable of July 2011.
Statement C: The troops should be removed depending upon the military conditions in July 2011.
Statement D: The troops should only be removed after the Afghan government has stabilized and
the Taliban has been defeated.
- Mitt Romney 43% [40%]
- Ron Paul 11%
- Michele Bachmann 11% [11%]
- Rick Santorum 9%
- Newt Gingrich 8% [20%]
- Tim Pawlenty 7% [12%]
- Other (VOL) 0% [1%]
- None (VOL) 3% [6%]
- Not sure 8% [7%]
GENERAL ELECTION
- Barack Obama 49% {49%} [47%]
- Mitt Romney 43% {40%} [40%]
- Barack Obama 50% {50%}
- Tim Pawlenty 37% {31%}
- More favorable 13%
- Less favorable 35%
- No difference 50%
- Extremely confident 9%
- Quite confident 15%
- Only somewhat confident 43%
- Not at all confident 22%
- Extremely confident 3%
- Quite confident 8%
- Only somewhat confident 33%
- Not at all confident 24%
- Extremely confident 2%
- Quite confident 5%
- Only somewhat confident 23%
- Not at all confident 30%
- Extremely confident 3%
- Quite confident 6%
- Only somewhat confident 23%
- Not at all confident 37%
- Extremely confident 4%
- Quite confident 9%
- Only somewhat confident 33%
- Not at all confident 45%
- Extremely confident 5%
- Quite confident 7%
- Only somewhat confident 25%
- Not at all confident 60%
Do you consider yourself a supporter of the Tea Party movement?
- Yes 26% [25%] {29%} (27%) [29%]
- No 63% [67%] {61%} (62%) [61%]
(Among Republicans Who Support the Tea Party) Which better describes you, a supporter of the Tea Party movement, or a Republican?
- Supporter of the Tea Party movement 40% [52%] {46%} (46%) [49%]
- Republican 45% [43%] {47%} (48%) [49%]
- Very positive 27% [28%] {28%} (29%) [25%]
- Somewhat positive 22% [22%] {21%} (23%) [23%]
- Neutral 14% [14%] {15%} (15%) [14%]
- Somewhat negative 13% [13%] {15%} (14%) [14%]
- Very negative 24% [23%] {20%} (18%) [24%]
Chris Christie
- Very positive 10%
- Somewhat positive 13%
- Neutral 19%
- Somewhat negative 7%
- Very negative 7%
- Don't know name/Not sure 44%
Mitt Romney
Jon Huntsman- Very positive 7% {6%} [10%]
- Somewhat positive 20% {19%} [18%]
- Neutral 30% {30%} [30%]
- Somewhat negative 16% {13%} [10%]
- Very negative 10% {12%} [10%]
Paul Ryan
- Very positive 6%
- Somewhat positive 11%
- Neutral 19%
- Somewhat negative 8%
- Very negative 10%
- Don't know name/Not sure 46%
- Very positive 3% {3%}
- Somewhat positive 11% {7%}
- Neutral 25% {20%}
- Somewhat negative 9% {6%}
- Very negative 6% {3%}
- Don't know name/Not sure 46% {61%}
- Very positive 1%
- Somewhat positive 6%
- Neutral 20%
- Somewhat negative 5%
- Very negative 4%
- Don't know name/Not sure 64%
Rick Perry
- Very positive 4%
- Somewhat positive 8%
- Neutral 18%
- Somewhat negative 6%
- Very negative 9%
- Don't know name/Not sure 55%
- Very positive 3% [6%] {9%}
- Somewhat positive 13% [18%] {15%}
- Neutral 23% [24%] {27%}
- Somewhat negative 21% [15%] {16%}
- Very negative 27% [22%] {19%}
- Very positive 7% [9%] [13%] {14%}
- Somewhat positive 17% [16%] [15%] {16%}
- Neutral 19% [18%] [20%] {19%}
- Somewhat negative 16% [12%] [16%] {15%}
- Very negative 38% [41%] [34%] {33%}
- Approve 49%
- Disapprove 46%
- Approve 41%
- Disapprove 54%
- Approve 50%
- Disapprove 44%
- Approve 54%
- Disapprove 39%
- Approve 46%
- Disapprove 36%
If President Obama runs for re-election in the year 2012, do you think you will probably vote for President Obama or probably vote for the Republican candidate?
- President Obama 45% [43%] {45%}
- Republican candidate 40% [38%] {40%}
Supports a federal requirement for companies to reduce greenhouse gases
- More likely to vote 54%
- Less likely to vote 17%
- No difference either way 27%
- More likely to vote 47%
- Less likely to vote 35%
- No difference either way 14%
- More likely to vote 47%
- Less likely to vote 32%
- No difference either way 18%
- More likely to vote 44%
- Less likely to vote 40%
- No difference either way 14%
- More likely to vote 39%
- Less likely to vote 43%
- No difference either way 18%
- More likely to vote 38%
- Less likely to vote 37%
- No difference either way 18%
- More likely to vote 31%
- Less likely to vote 50%
- No difference either way 17%
- More likely to vote 24%
- Less likely to vote 45%
- No difference either way 29%
- More likely to vote 23%
- Less likely to vote 55%
- No difference either way 18%
- Already helping improve the economy 19%
- Will help improve the economy in the future 15%
- Will not help improve the economy 45%
- Solely responsible 10%
- Mainly responsible 24%
- Only somewhat responsible 48%
- Not really responsible 16%
- Solely responsible 14%
- Mainly responsible 33%
- Only somewhat responsible 43%
- Not really responsible 9%
- Situation Obama inherited 62%
- Situation Obama's policies mostly responsible for 25%
Statement A: The president and the Congress should worry more about boosting the economy even though it may mean larger budget deficits now and in the future.
Statement B: The president and the Congress should worry more about keeping the budget deficit down, even though it may mean it will take longer for the economy to recover
- Statement A/Worry more about boosting the economy 31%
- Statement B/Worry more about keeping budget deficit down 63%
- Good decision 31%
- Bad decision 32%
- Too early to tell 34%
- Help recovery 37%
- Hurt recovery 31%
- Not affect 23%
Some people say do not raise the debt ceiling because doing so will make it easier to increase spending and harder to reduce the deficit, and will increase the debt held by other countries and passed on to the next generation.…while other people say raise the debt ceiling because failing to do so could stop the government from meeting its obligations, including payments to those on Social Security and in the military, and cause a shock to the economy. Efforts to control debt should be comprehensive and long-term rather than artificial and short-term.
- Raise debt ceiling 46%
- Do not raise debt ceiling 42%
- Complete overhaul 15% [16%]
- Major changes 28% [28%]
- Minor modifications 37% [38%]
- Pretty much OK the way it is 15% [15%]
Statement A: The troops should be removed now.
Statement B: The troops should be removed on the timetable of July 2011.
Statement C: The troops should be removed depending upon the military conditions in July 2011.
Statement D: The troops should only be removed after the Afghan government has stabilized and
the Taliban has been defeated.
- A/Removed now 23% (23%)
- B/Removed on this timetable 24% (21%)
- C/Removed depending on military conditions 37% (34%)
- D/Removed after gov’t stabilized and Taliban defeated 15% (21%)
- U.S. should remain engaged 51%
- U.S. should NOT remain engaged 36%
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