Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 45% [45%] (46%) {47%} [44%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 45% [44%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {44%} [43%] (44%)

• Barack Obama 46%
• Michele Bachmann 43%

• Barack Obama 46% [48%]
• Herman Cain 42% [37%]

• Barack Obama 46% [47%]
• Tim Pawlenty 41% [40%]

• Barack Obama 50% [52%] (52%) {52%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [52%] (48%)
• Sarah Palin 42% [38%] (40%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Michele Bachmann 53%
• Barack Obama 36%

• Mitt Romney 50% [47%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 33% [36%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (37%)

• Tim Pawlenty 48% [33%]
• Barack Obama 35% [41%]

• Sarah Palin 51% [29%] (40%) {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [33%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 38% [45%] (51%) {54%} [55%] (54%) {48%} [51%] (42%)

• Herman Cain 48% [37%]
• Barack Obama 38% [47%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [48%] (47%) {43%} [44%] (49%) {45%} [49%] (52%)
• Barack Obama 41% [46%] (41%) {49%} [42%] (44%) {43%} [39%] (37%)

• Michele Bachmann 46%
• Barack Obama 43%

• Tim Pawlenty 44% [46%]
• Barack Obama 42% [47%]

• Herman Cain 45% [40%]
• Barack Obama 43% [46%]

• Barack Obama 46% [51%] (47%) {54%} [47%] (49%) {46%} [46%] (39%)
• Sarah Palin 45% [41%] (46%) {38%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [44%] (51%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49%
• Michele Bachmann 41%

• Barack Obama 49% [45%] (50%) {44%} [46%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 41% [40%] (39%) {46%} [41%] (39%) {42%} [39%] (37%)

• Barack Obama 49% [50%]
• Herman Cain 39% [35%]

• Barack Obama 49% [48%]
• Tim Pawlenty 38% [35%]

• Barack Obama 52% [53%] (57%) {50%} [54%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (55%)
• Sarah Palin 39% [36%] (35%) {41%} [36%] (38%) {40%} [33%] (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Michele Bachmann 34% / 42% {-8%}
• Herman Cain 24% [20%] / 36% [28%] {-12%}
• Mitt Romney 32% [35%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (33%) / 47% [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {-15%}
• Tim Pawlenty 19% [23%] / 40% [37%] {-21%}
• Sarah Palin 35% [31%] (32%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 57% [62%] (59%) {60%} [57%] (57%) {55%} [57%] (55%) {-22%}

Among Republicans

• Sarah Palin 63% [61%] (57%) {63%} [66%] (71%) {73%} [68%] (62%) / 26% [29%] (34%) {28%} [26%] (23%) {17%} [24%] (24%) {+37%}
• Mitt Romney 53% [52%] (43%) {45%} [48%] (48%) {51%} [57%] (44%) / 26% [27%] (34%) {32%} [25%] (25%) {20%} [21%] (22%) {+27%}
• Herman Cain 37% [30%] / 22% [16%] {+15%}
• Michele Bachmann 39% / 29% {+10%}
• Tim Pawlenty 28% [39%] / 21% [19%] {+7%}

Among Independents

• Herman Cain 34% [26%] / 35% [33%] {-1%}
• Sarah Palin 44% [21%] (30%) {26%} [29%] (32%) {29%} [36%] (38%) / 50% [64%] (59%) {67%} [67%] (62%) {64%} [52%] (50%) {-6%}
• Michele Bachmann 37% / 44% {-7%}
• Mitt Romney 30% [35%] (36%) {34%} [30%] (45%) {35%} [30%] (46%) / 49% [45%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (36%) {43%} [39%] (32%) {-19%}
• Tim Pawlenty 21% [26%] / 43% [41%] {-22%}

Among Men

• Michele Bachmann 35% / 43% {-8%}
• Herman Cain 27% [25%] / 39% [34%] {-12%}
• Mitt Romney 37% [34%] (33%) {31%} [33%] (45%) {37%} [36%] (39%) / 52% [53%] (47%) {50%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [47%] (39%) {-15%}
• Sarah Palin 38% [32%] (37%) {31%} [39%] (41%) {38%} [42%] (42%) / 54% [61%] (55%) {63%} [54%] (54%) {54%} [54%] (50%) {-16%}
• Tim Pawlenty 22% [27%] / 46% [42%] {-24%}

Among Women

• Michele Bachmann 33% / 40% {-7%}
• Herman Cain 20% [17%] / 32% [23%] {-12%}
• Mitt Romney 28% [36%] (28%) {31%} [31%] (29%) {31%} [32%] (29%) / 42% [36%] (40%) {38%} [40%] (38%) {36%} [32%] (38%) {-14%}
• Tim Pawlenty 16% [20%] / 35% [32%] {-19%}
• Sarah Palin 31% [30%] (28%) {35%} [34%] (34%) {39%} [31%] (30%) / 59% [62%] (64%) {56%} [59%] (60%) {55%} [60%] (60%) {-28%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% [49%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [46%] (45%)
• Disapprove 51% [47%] (46%) {48%} [46%] (48%) {47%} [49%] (51%)

Survey of 651 North Carolina voters was conducted July 7-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 46% [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [46%] (49%) Democrat; 33% [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 21% [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} [21%] (17%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 25% [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 16% [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.