Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

Mason-Dixon Iowa 2012 Presidential Survey

Republican Caucus

• Michele Bachmann 32%
• Mitt Romney 29%
• Tim Pawlenty 7%
• Rick Santorum 6%
• Ron Paul 3%
• Newt Gingrich 2%
• Herman Cain 1%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Undecided 19%

General Election

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 44%

• Barack Obama 47%
• Michele Bachmann 46%

Survey of 629 likely voters, including a subsample of 300 likely GOP caucus-goers, was conducted July 5-7, 2011 for Every Child Matters Education Fund. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points among all likely voters; +/- 5.7 percentage points among likely GOP caucus-goers. Party registration breakdown: 37% Democrat; 33% Republican; 31% Independent. Political ideology (Likely Voters): 31% Somewhat conservative; 20% Liberal; 18% Conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 13% Moderate. Political ideology (GOP Caucus-Goers): 70% Conservative; 29% Somewhat conservative; 1% Moderate.