Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 GOP Primary Poll

• Mitt Romney 41% [17%] (30%) {29%} [28%]
• Newt Gingrich 26% [47%] (10%) {10%} [30%] 
• Rick Santorum 11% [1%] (2%)
• Ron Paul 10% [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%]
• Rick Perry 4% [2%] (24%)
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Not sure 7% [7%] (9%) {9%} [11%]

Would you say you are strongly committed to that candidate, or might you end up supporting someone else?

• Strongly committed to that candidate 64% [44%]
• Might end up supporting someone else 36% [56%]

Second Choice

• Newt Gingrich 19% [20%]
• Mitt Romney 19% [21%]
• Rick Santorum 18% [3%]
• Rick Perry 10% [8%]
• Ron Paul 7% [3%]
• Buddy Roemer 1%
• Not sure 28% [25%]

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Newt Gingrich, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Newt Gingrich 38%
• Not sure 12%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 59%
• Rick Santorum 29%
• Not sure 11%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 69%
• Rick Perry 21%
• Not sure 10%

If the Republican candidates for President were just Mitt Romney and Ron Paul, who would you vote for?

• Mitt Romney 76%
• Ron Paul 17%
• Not sure 7%

Which of the Republican candidates do you trust the most on economic issues?

• Mitt Romney 42%
• Newt Gingrich 25%
• Ron Paul 13%
• Rick Santorum 6%
• Rick Perry 5%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Not Sure 8%

Which of the Republican candidates do you trust the most on foreign policy issues?

• Newt Gingrich 42%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Rick Santorum 6%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Not Sure 12%

Which of the Republican candidates do you trust the most on social issues like abortion and gay marriage?

• Mitt Romney 30%
• Rick Santorum 21%
• Newt Gingrich 19%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Rick Perry 8%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Not Sure 14%

Generally speaking, would you like the Republican nominee for President to be Mitt Romney or someone else?

• Mitt Romney 41%
• Someone else 49%
• Not sure 10%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Mitt Romney’s record in business?

• Favorable 70%
• Unfavorable 18%
• Not sure 13%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Jeb Bush, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 30%
• Less likely 28%
• Doesn't make a difference 39%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Marco Rubio, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 40%
• Less likely 23%
• Doesn't make a difference 34%

Are you more or less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Rick Scott, or does it not make a difference?

• More likely 12%
• Less likely 41%
• Doesn't make a difference 43%

What is more important to you when deciding who to vote for: a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama in the general election, or their positions on the issues?

• More concerned about a candidate’s ability to beat Barack Obama 57%
• Their positions on the issues 30%

Who do you think will win the Republican nomination for President?

• Mitt Romney 52%
• Newt Gingrich 16%
• Rick Santorum 5%
• Ron Paul 4%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Buddy Roemer 0%
• Not Sure 20%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 34% [32%]
• No 57% [58%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 68% [51%] (65%) {56%} [61%] (61%) / 24% [36%] (22%) {30%} [24%] (22%) {+44%}
• Rick Santorum 54% / 26% {+28%}
• Newt Gingrich 51% [72%] (57%) {46%} [58%] (59%) / 36% [21%] (29%) {37%} [26%] (24%) {+15%}
• Rick Perry 39% [27%] (54%) {38%} / 47% [55%] (31%) {12%} {-8%}
• Ron Paul 30% [25%] (33%) {44%} [53%] / 57% [57%] (45%) {31%} [16%] {-27%}

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are 45%
• Are not 55%

Survey of 572 Florida Republican primary voters was conducted January 14-16, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 43% [37%] (43%) {35%} [38%] Somewhat conservative; 38% [35%] (33%) {40%} [40%] Very conservative; 16% [23%] (19%) {21%} [17%] Moderate; 2% [5%] (4%) {4%} [3%] Somewhat liberal; 1% [1%] (1%) {1%} [1%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 17-20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.