Poll Watch: UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Presidential Survey

UT-Austin/Texas Tribune 2012 Presidential Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Rick Santorum 48% [1%] (3%)
• Newt Gingrich 17% [8%] (11%)
• Mitt Romney 16% [9%] (7%)
• Ron Paul 14% [12%] (10%)
• Another Republican candidate 6%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Rick Santorum 51%
• Barack Obama 37%

• Mitt Romney 49% [36%]
• Barack Obama 36% [34%]

• Newt Gingrich 49%
• Barack Obama 38%

• Ron Paul 44% [38%]
• Barack Obama 35% [33%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Santorum 42% / 31% {+11%}
• Ron Paul 30% / 41% {-11%}
• Barack Obama 40% / 55% {-15%}
• Newt Gingrich 33% / 49% {-16%}
• Mitt Romney 27% / 48% {-21%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has done as president?

• Approve strongly 19% [15%] (20%)
• Approve somewhat 20% [18%] (15%)
• Disapprove somewhat 6% [8%] (9%)
• Disapprove strongly 49% [49%] (46%)

Survey of 529 likely voters, including a subsample of 298 likely Republican voters, was conducted February 8-15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.26 percentage points among all likely voters; +/- 5.68 percentage points among likely GOP primary voters.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-26, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-18, 2011 are in parentheses.