Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Survey

PPP (D) Florida 18th Congressional District Poll

• Allen West (R) 51%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 42%
• Undecided 8%

Among Independents

• Allen West (R) 52%
• Patrick Murphy (D) 34%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Allen West 49% / 41% {+8%}
• Patrick Murphy 34% / 47% {-13%}

Survey of 600 likely voters in Florida’s 18th Congressional District was conducted October 15-16, 2012 for FLDemocracy/WPTV/TCPalm. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Republican; 32% Democrat; 29% Independent/Other.

Inside the numbers:

Allen West has a nine-point lead among women.

West is strongest in Martin County, where he has a 20-point lead, while in St. Lucie County, Murphy trails West by only one percentage point.

The poll found Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama in District 18 by a 50 percent to 45 percent margin.

Asked about the flood of negative ads in the race, 31 percent said the spots have made them more likely to vote for West, while 27 percent said they have made them more likely to back Patrick Murphy.