Sunday, August 31, 2014

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Charlie Crist (D) 45% (41%) {43%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 43% (44%) {45%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% (4%)
Among Democrats
  • Charlie Crist (D) 78% (76%) {78%} [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 11% (13%) {13%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% (1%)
Among Republicans
  • Rick Scott (R) 75% (79%) {80%} [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 19% (12%) {14%} [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% (2%)
Among Independents
  • Rick Scott (R) 40% (30%) {45%} [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 37% (37%) {33%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 7% (12%)
Among Moderates
  • Charlie Crist (D) 53% (52%) {54%} [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 34% (29%) {33%} [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 3% (4%)
Among Men
  • Rick Scott (R) 45% (43%) {50%} [42%] (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
  • Charlie Crist (D) 43% (40%) {41%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 5% (6%)
Among Women
  • Charlie Crist (D) 47% (41%) {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 41% (44%) {41%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)
  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4% (3%)
Survey of 580 likely voters was conducted August 27-28, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (40%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 37% (35%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 21% (24%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 41% (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 35% (34%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 19% (16%) {20%} [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 50% (53%) {49%} [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male; 50% (47%) {51%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female. Results from the poll conducted August 15-18, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in square brackets.Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 46% {41%} [42%]
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 42% {39%} [43%]
  • David Patterson (L) 5% {7%} [4%]
  • Undecided 8% {13%} [7%]
Among Men
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 48% {43%} [42%]
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 38% {39%} [41%]
  • David Patterson (L) 6% {7%} [6%]
  • Undecided 8% {11%} [6%]
Among Women
  • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45% {39%} [45%]
  • Mitch McConnell (R) 44% {39%} [41%]
  • David Patterson (L) 4% {7%} [3%]
  • Undecided 7% {15%} [9%]
Survey of 569 likely voters was conducted August 25-27, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 47% {42%} [44%] Democrat; 37% {41%} [43%] Republican; 15% {18%} [11%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted July 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2014 are in square brackets.

Friday, August 29, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50%
  • Scott Brown (R) 44%
Among Democrats
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 85%
  • Scott Brown (R) 14%
Among Republicans
  • Scott Brown (R) 76%
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 16%
Among Independents
  • Scott Brown (R) 46%
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45%
Among Men
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47%
  • Scott Brown (R) 46%
Among Women
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 52%
  • Scott Brown (R) 42%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Jeanne Shaheen 52% / 42% {+10%}
  • Scott Brown 42% / 49% {-7%}
Survey of 766 likely voters was conducted August 27-28, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 32% Democrat; 27% Republican; 41% Independent/Other. Gender: 53% Women; 47% Men.

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Poll Watch: Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
  • Gary Peters (D) 46% [45%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (33%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 44% [44%] (38%) {42%} [44%] (32%)
  • Undecided 10% [11%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (35%)
Survey of 1,004 likely voters was conducted August 27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% [43%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Democrat; 39% [38%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) Republican. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
  • Gary Peters (D) 45% (45%) {44%} [38%] (38%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 39% (36%) {38%} [41%] (37%)
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted August 22-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 66.49% (62.96%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9.95% (11.85%)
  • Joe Biden 7.85% (9.63%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 4.19% (0.74%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2.09%
  • Undecided 7.85% (11.85%)
Survey of 191 Democratic caucus-goers was conducted August 23-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 7.09 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Mike Huckabee 13.11% (11.02%)
  • Chris Christie 10.68% (7.09%)
  • Rick Perry 8.74% (3.15%)
  • Jeb Bush 7.28 (10.24%)
  • Rand Paul 6.80% (10.24%)
  • Paul Ryan 6.31% (6.30%)
  • Rick Santorum 5.83% (5.51%)
  • Marco Rubio 5.34% (5.51%)
  • Ted Cruz 4.85% (9.45%)
  • Scott Walker 4.37% (5.51%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2.91% (3.15%)
  • Jon Huntsman 0.97%
  • John Kasich 0.97%
  • Other 4.37%
  • Undecided 16.99% (3.15%)
Survey of 206 GOP caucus-goers was conducted August 23-36, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6.83 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Bruce Braley (D) 40.2%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 40.0%
  • Rick Stewart (I) 2.2%
  • Douglas Butzier (L) 1.0%
  • Ruth Smith 1.0%
  • Bob Quast 0.6%
  • Undecided 14.8%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bruce Braley 40.6% / 35.2% {+5.4%}
  • Joni Ernst 41.4% / 41.4% {0%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 23-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 31.6% Democrat; 31.6% Republican; 36.8% Independent/No party.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Mary Burke (D) 48.6% [46.8%] (45.2%) {41%} [41%] (45%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 46.5% [46.3%] (47.9%) {48%} [47%] (47%)
Survey of 609 likely voters was conducted August 21-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.
Results from the poll conducted May 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mark Pryor (D) 44% [43%] (40%)
  • Tom Cotton (R) 43% [47%] (45%)
  • Some other candidate 6% [4%] (5%)
  • Undecided 6% [6%] (10%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 25-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Senate Poll
  • Pat Roberts (R) 37% [38%] (43%)
  • Chad Taylor (D) 32% [33%] (33%)
  • Greg Orman (I) 20%  [14%] (7%)
  • Randall Batson (L) 4% [4%] (5%)
  • Undecided 6% [10%] (12%)
Survey of 560 likely voters was conducted August 20-23, 2014 for KSN News Wichita. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 46% [56%] (56%) Republican; 32% [26%] (28%) Democrat; 18% [18%] (16%) Independent. Ideology: 39% [38%] (40%) Moderate; 38% [42%] (39%) Conservative; 14% [17%] (14%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 17-22, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for Senate this fall are Republican Pat Roberts, Democrat Chad Taylor, independent Greg Orman, and Libertarian Randall Batson. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Pat Roberts (R) 32%
  • Chad Taylor (D) 25%
  • Greg Orman (I) 23% 
  • Randall Batson (L) 3%
  • Undecided 17%
If the candidates for Senate this fall were just Republican Pat Roberts and Democrat Chad Taylor, who would you vote for?
  • Pat Roberts (R) 43%
  • Chad Taylor (D) 39%
  • Not sure 17%
If the candidates for Senate this fall were just Republican Pat Roberts and independent Greg Orman, who would you vote for?
  • Greg Orman (I) 43% 
  • Pat Roberts (R) 33%
  • Not sure 24%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Greg Orman 24% / 12% {+12%}
  • Chad Taylor 15% / 14% {+1%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Roberts’ job performance? 
  • Approve 27%
  • Disapprove 44%
Survey of 903 likely voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% Republican; 30% Democrat; 20% Independent/Other. Ideology: 31% Moderate; 24% Very conservative; 22% Somewhat conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 7% Very liberal.

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst, Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Bruce Braley (D) 41%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 40%
  • Rick Stewart (I) 2%
  • Douglas Butzier (L) 2%
  • Ruth Smith 1%
  • Bob Quast 0%
  • Undecided 14%
Horse race, with Butzier, Quast, Smith, and Stewart supporters asked if they'd vote Braley or Ernst
  • Bruce Braley (D) 42% [45%] (41%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 42% [39%] (35%)
  • Not sure 16% [16%] (23%)
Among Men
  • Joni Ernst (R) 50% [48%] (43%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 40% [39%] (41%)
  • Not sure 9% [12%] (16%)
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 44% [50%] (42%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 35% [31%] (28%)
  • Not sure 21% [20%] (30%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bruce Braley 37% [29%] (31%) / 41% [29%] (25%) {-4%}
  • Joni Ernst 36% [27%] (9%) / 46% [32%] (12%) {-10%}
Survey of 915 likely voters was conducted August 22-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 35% [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% [34%] (31%) Republican; 31% [28%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 29% [27%] (30%) Moderate; 23% [22%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [18%] (22%) Somewhat liberal; 17% [19%] (14%) Very conservative; 11% [14%] (10%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV Minnesota 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Al Franken (D) 51% [48%] (50%)
  • Mike McFadden (R) 42% [42%] (40%)
  • Steve Carlson (IP) 2%
  • Other 2% [1%]
  • Undecided 3% [5%] (11%)
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted August 19-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 5-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

Monday, August 25, 2014

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Suffolk/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Chris Christie 11.00%
  • Paul Ryan 11.00%
  • Jeb Bush 10.75%
  • Rand Paul 10.50%
  • Mike Huckabee 7.00%
  • Scott Walker 6.75%
  • Marco Rubio 5.75%
  • Rick Perry 4.75%
  • Ted Cruz 4.25%
  • Bobby Jindal 3.50%
  • Rick Santorum 2.75%
  • Jon Huntsman 1.75%
  • John Kasich 1.00%
  • Undecided 18.25%
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Suffolk University/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 55.00%
  • Elizabeth Warren 17.25%
  • Joe Biden 7.75%
  • Andrew Cuomo 4.75%
  • Martin O'Malley 1.50%
  • Undecided 12.25%
Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Dan Sullivan (R) 47% (44%)
  • Mark Begich (D) 45% (44%
  • Some other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 4%
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 20-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Friday, August 22, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2016 Presidential Poll 
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (41%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 42% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (39%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (41%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Among Men
  • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (57%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (35%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 48% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (36%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 47% (50%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (36%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 49% (54%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (37%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (46%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (43%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% (44%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (42%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 38% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 40% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% 
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40%
Survey of 903 likely voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% (47%) Republican; 30% (28%) Democrat; 20% (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 31% (32%) Moderate; 24% (19%) Very conservative; 22% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (16%) Somewhat liberal; 7% (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Thursday, August 21, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46% {50%} [45%] (47%) 
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% {38%} [39%] (37%)
Among Men
  • Scott Brown (R) 49% {43%} [45%] (42%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 40% {44%} [42%] (43%
Among Women
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 53% {57%} [48%] (50%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 39% {31%} [33%] (32%)
Survey of 609 likely voters was conducted August 7-17, 2014The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Tom Foley (R) 45%
  • Dannel Malloy (D) 38%
  • Some other candidate 7%
  • Undecided 10%
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 18-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) West Virginia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) West Virginia 2014 Senate Poll
  • Shelley Moore Capito (R) 50% [48%] (49%)
  • Natalie Tennant (D) 33% [39%] (35%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 19-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 14-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [58%] (59%)
    • Chris Christie (R) 34% [31%] (32%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 29%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 61%
    • Rand Paul (R) 30%

    • Andrew Cuomo (D) 47% [50%] (46%)
    • Chris Christie (R) 37% [34%] (38%)
    • Andrew Cuomo (D) 53%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 30%
    • Andrew Cuomo (D) 55%
    • Rand Paul (R) 31%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Hillary Clinton 62% [65%] (71%) / 34% [30%] (24%) {+28%}
    • Andrew Cuomo 55% [59%] (52%) / 36% [28%] (27%) {+19%}
    • Chris Christie 46% [41%] (55%) / 39% [38%] (17%) {+7%}
    • Rand Paul 31% / 37% {-6%}
    • Jeb Bush 31% / 44% {-13%}
    Survey of 1,034 New York State voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [40%] (44%) Democrat; 22% [21%] (19%) Republican; 28% [32%] (32%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 11-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Wednesday, August 20, 2014

    Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

    USA Today/Suffolk University North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
    • Kay Hagan (D) 45.4%
    • Thom Tillis (R) 43.0%
    • Sean Haugh (L) 5.2%
    • Undecided 5.4%
    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
    • Kay Hagan 43.4% / 45.0% {-1.6%}
    • Thom Tillis 24.4% / 39.4% {-15.0%}
    Do you approve or disapprove of the job Kay Hagan is doing as U.S. Senator?
    • Approve 40.6%
    • Disapprove 48.2%
    Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 16-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party registration: 41.2% Democrat; 30.4% Republican; 25.0% Independent/Unaffiliated; 1.0% Libertarian.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

    PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {45%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
      • Rand Paul (R) 42% {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (47%) {49%} [51%]
      • Ted Cruz (R) 41% (41%) {41%} [39%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 38% {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]
      Among Independents
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% {46%} [46%] (44%) {34%} [36%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {37%} [39%] (38%) {48%} [52%]
      • Jeb Bush (R) 43% {45%} [40%] (45%) {38%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [41%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {35%} [33%] (39%) {46%} [50%] (36%) {37%} [40%]
        • Rand Paul (R) 46% {43%} [46%] (44%) {40%} [39%] (46%) {48%} [45%] (42%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {36%} [32%] (35%) {48%} [49%] (34%) {42%} [42%] (48%)
        • Ted Cruz (R) 43% (39%) {41%} [40%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (38%) {43%} [43%]
        • Chris Christie (R) 42% {39%} [39%] (45%) {38%} [33%] (39%) {50%} [46%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {36%} [36%] (38%) {39%} [47%] (33%) {31%} [31%]
        Among Moderates
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% {58%} [64%] (62%) [60%]
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 28% {25%} [21%] (28%) [25%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% {55%} [57%] (60%) [58%] (58%) {59%} [61%]
        • Jeb Bush (R) 27% {30%} [23%] (29%) [25%] (25%) {30%} [26%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% {56%} [56%] (59%) [58%] (60%) {62%} [63%] (65%)
          • Rand Paul (R) 25% {25%} [23%] (26%) [29%] (25%) {25%} [26%] (25%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 61% (61%) {65%} [65%]
          • Ted Cruz (R) 26% (23%) {23%} [24%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {53%} [59%] (60%) [54%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
          • Chris Christie (R) 28% {30%} [18%] (31%) [31%] (32%) {32%} [36%]
          Among Men
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 50% {48%} [49%] (47%) {44%} [46%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {42%} [43%] (45%) {47%} [47%]
          • Jeb Bush (R) 48% {51%} [47%] (50%) {49%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [46%] 
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {39%} [39%] (42%) {42%} [45%] (41%) {38%} [42%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 49% {50%} [50%] (48%) {49%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [46%] (47%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {40%} [41%] (45%) {43%} [45%] (44%) {43%} [46%] (46%)
            • Ted Cruz (R) 46% (47%) {47%} [44%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%) {44%} [47%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 42% {45%} [43%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (49%) {51%} [51%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {41%} [39%] (42%) {40%} [41%] (37%) {35%} [37%]
            Among Women
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {50%} [50%] (50%) {52%} [50%]
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 38% {38%} [38%] (40%) {41%} [41%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {49%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [49%] (51%) {53%} [52%]
            • Jeb Bush (R) 37% {39%} [38%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {39%} [40%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {51%} [48%] (49%) {55%} [49%] (49%) {53%} [54%] (57%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 35% {37%} [38%] (39%) {38%} [41%] (38%) {38%} [38%] (35%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (49%) {54%} [55%]
              • Ted Cruz (R) 38% (35%) {37%} [34%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {49%} [49%] (49%) {52%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [47%]
              • Chris Christie (R) 35% {37%} [36%] (42%) {37%} [38%] (38%) {40%} [42%]
              Among Whites
              • Mike Huckabee (R) 52% {53%} [51%] (53%) {53%} [54%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {35%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [38%]
              • Jeb Bush (R) 51% {54%} [51%] (55%) {57%} [54%] (55%) {58%} [53%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {35%} [39%] (37%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [37%]
                • Rand Paul (R) 49% {52%} [52%] (54%) {54%} [54%] (56%) {54%} [51%] (51%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {35%} [38%] (38%) {38%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (41%)
                • Ted Cruz (R) 48% (53%) {52%} [48%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (35%) {38%} [41%]
                • Chris Christie (R) 46% {48%} [46%] (54%) {51%} [50%] (53%) {57%} [56%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {35%} [39%] (37%) {36%} [36%] (32%) {30%} [33%]
                Among Blacks
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 76% {86%} [78%] (80%) {89%} [82%]
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 13% {8%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [9%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 77% {82%} [69%] (77%) {86%} [82%] (86%) {81%} [81%]
                • Jeb Bush (R) 11% {11%} [9%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (7%) {9%} [13%]
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 80% {85%} [75%] (80%) {87%} [82%] (84%) {83%} [86%] (87%)
                  • Rand Paul (R) 14% {9%} [13%] (10%) {11%} [10%] (5%) {12%} [11%] (8%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 79% (85%) {85%} [86%]
                  • Ted Cruz (R) 14% (5%) {12%} [11%]
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 78% {82%} [68%] (78%) {80%} [78%] (79%) {81%} [77%]
                  • Chris Christie (R) 12% {12%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [17%]
                  Survey of 856 likely voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 31% {36%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] (34%) Republican; 27% {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% {53%} [53%] (53%) {53%} [53%] (53%) {53%} [54%] (57%) Women; 47% {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (43%) Men. Race: 75% {75%} [74%] (74%) {74%} [75%] (73%) {73%} [73%] (72%) White; 20% {20%} [20%] (20%) {20%} [20%] (21%) {21%} [20%] (22%) Black; 5% {5%} [6%] (6%) {6%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (6%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

                  Rasmussen (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
                  • Steve Daines (R) 55%
                  • Amanda Curtis (D) 35%
                  Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 18-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. 

                  Tuesday, August 19, 2014

                  Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                  SurveyUSA Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                  • Rick Scott (R) 44% {45%} [40%] (45%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [41%] (41%)
                  • Charlie Crist (D) 41% {43%} [46%] (43%) {41%} [44%] (40%) {44%} [44%] (46%)
                  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4%
                  Among Democrats
                  • Charlie Crist (D) 76% {78%} [82%] (79%) {75%} [82%] (77%) {80%} (80%)
                  • Rick Scott (R) 13% {13%} [9%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (8%) {10%} (13%)
                  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 1%
                  Among Republicans
                  • Rick Scott (R) 79% {80%} [73%] (79%) {77%} [75%] (80%) {74%} (71%)
                  • Charlie Crist (D) 12% {14%} [16%] (13%) {12%} [13%] (7%) {14%} (14%)
                  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 2%
                  Among Independents
                  • Charlie Crist (D) 37% {33%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [35%] (31%) {36%} (40%)
                  • Rick Scott (R) 30% {45%} [39%] (47%) {40%} [39%] (39%) {41%} (43%)
                  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 12%
                  Among Moderates
                  • Charlie Crist (D) 52% {54%} [54%] (51%) {52%} [47%] (46%) {55%} (57%)
                  • Rick Scott (R) 29% {33%} [32%] (38%) {28%} [31%] (34%) {30%} (33%)
                  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 4%
                  Among Men
                  • Rick Scott (R) 43% {50%} [42%] (47%) {49%} [45%] (49%) {49%} (41%)
                  • Charlie Crist (D) 40% {41%} [43%] (40%) {36%} [39%] (35%) {37%} (47%
                  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 6%
                  Among Women
                  • Rick Scott (R) 44% {41%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [34%] (35%) {33%} (42%)
                  • Charlie Crist (D) 41% {45%} [48%] (46%) {47%} [50%] (47%) {50%} (46%)
                  • Adrian Wyllie (L) 3%
                  Survey of 564 likely voters was conducted August 15-18, 2014 for WFLA-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID: 40% {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} [38%] (37%) {37%} (34%) Republican; 35% {38%} [37%] (38%) {40%} [38%] (39%) {37%} (38%) Democrat; 24% {24%} [24%] (24%) {23%} [23%] (23%) {26%} (27%) Independent. Ideology: 45% {43%} [44%] (42%) {49%} [41%] (41%) {42%} (45%) Moderate; 34% {34%} [34%] (33%) {30%} [35%] (34%) {34%} (32%) Conservative; 16% {20%} [17%] (21%) {17%} [20%] (21%) {19%} (20%) Liberal. Gender: 53% {49%} [48%] (51%) {51%} [53%] (53%) {51%} (52%) Male; 47% {51%} [52%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {49%} (48%) Female. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-21, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 2, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll released April 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.
                  WFLA News Channel 8

                  Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

                  PPP (D) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
                  • Kay Hagan (D) 42% (41%) [39%] {38%} (43%) [45%] {40%} (42%) [44%] {44%}
                  • Thom Tillis (R) 38% (34%) [34%] {36%} (41%) [43%] {42%} (43%) [42%] {42%}  
                  • Sean Haugh (L) 8% (8%) [11%] {11%}
                  Among Men
                  • Thom Tillis (R) 44% (42%) [39%] {42%} (42%) [50%] {47%} (48%) [45%] {48%}
                  • Kay Hagan (D) 38% (38%) [39%] {36%} (47%) [42%] {42%} (43%) [43%] {42%}
                  • Sean Haugh (L) 9% (9%) [10%] {12%}
                  Among Women
                  • Kay Hagan (D) 45% (44%) [39%] {40%} (39%) [47%] {39%} (41%) [46%] {46%}
                  • Thom Tillis (R) 32% (27%) [29%] {31%} (40%) [37%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {37%} 
                  • Sean Haugh (L) 7% (8%) [12%] {10%} 
                  Horse race, with Haugh supporters allocated to whether they would vote for Hagan or Tillis
                  • Kay Hagan (D) 43% (42%) [42%] {41%
                  • Thom Tillis (R) 42% (39%) [38%] {41%}
                  Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                  • Sean Haugh 8% (7%) / 17% (20%) {-9%}
                  • Thom Tillis 28% (24%) [23%] {30%} (20%) [18%] {15%} (15%) [12%] {16%} / 48% (47%) [45%] {46%} (39%) [37%] {29%} (28%) [30%] {28%} {-20%}
                  Do you approve or disapprove Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?
                  • Approve 42% (40%) [42%] {38%} (41%) [41%] {41%} (39%) [43%] {44%}
                  • Disapprove 49% (50%) [46%] {49%} (48%) [50%] {50%} (49%) [49%] {49%}
                  Survey of 856 likely voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 42% (44%) [43%] {42%} (42%) [42%] {39%} [43%] {45%} Democrat; 31% (34%) [36%] {35%} (36%) [35%] {34%} [34%] {33%} Republican; 27% (22%) [22%] {23%} (22%) [23%] {27%} [23%] {21%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.

                  Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

                  • David Perdue (R) 50% (43%)
                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 41% (38%)
                  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3% (6%)
                  • Undecided 6% (14%)
                  Among Men
                  • David Perdue (R) 56% (50%)
                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 37% (33%)
                  • Amanda Swafford (L) 2% (6%)
                  • Undecided 4% (11%)
                  Among Women
                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 46% (44%)
                  • David Perdue (R) 44% (35%)
                  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3% (5%)
                  • Undecided 7% (16%)
                  Survey of 560 likely voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta.  The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% (38%) Republican; 38% (35%) Democrat; 21% (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 44% (40%) Conservative; 38% (38%) Moderate; 13% (15%) Liberal.  Gender: (53%) Male; (47%) Female.  Race: 63% (65%) White; 26% (24%) Black; 7% (7%) Hispanic. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

                  Monday, August 18, 2014

                  Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Minnesota 2014 Senatorial Survey

                  • Al Franken (D) 50%
                  • Mike McFadden (R) 42%
                  • Some other candidate 2%
                  • Undecided 6%
                  Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 13-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

                  Friday, August 15, 2014

                  Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

                  Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
                  • Scott Walker (R) 48% (45%)
                  • Mary Burke (D) 47% (45%)
                  Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 13-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Survey

                  • David Perdue (R) 47%
                  • Michelle Nunn (D) 40%
                  • Amanda Swafford (L) 8%
                  • Undecided 5%
                  Survey of 719 likely GOP primary voters was conducted August 12-13, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

                  Wednesday, August 13, 2014

                  Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                  McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                  • Jeb Bush 13% [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
                  • Chris Christie 13% [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
                  • Ted Cruz 10% [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%)
                  • Paul Ryan 9% [12%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
                  • Marco Rubio 9% [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%)
                  • Rick Perry 7% [3%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%)
                  • Rand Paul 7% [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
                  • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%) 
                  • Rick Santorum 3% [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
                  • Bobby Jindal 2% [4%] {3%} (1%)
                  • Undecided 23% [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)
                  Among Republicans
                  • Jeb Bush 17% [14%] (11%) {9%} [11%]
                  • Paul Ryan 11% [12%] (8%) {12%} [13%]
                  • Chris Christie 10% [14%] (13%) {17%} [17%]
                  • Marco Rubio 10% [7%] (12%) {5%} [5%]
                  • Ted Cruz 9% [3%] (5%) {5%} [10%]
                  • Rand Paul 6% [8%] (7%) {10%} [8%]
                  • Scott Walker 5% [4%] (5%) {3%} [5%]
                  • Rick Perry 4% [4%] (3%) {7%} [2%]
                  • Rick Santorum 3% [2%] (1%) {7%} [4%]
                  • Bobby Jindal 1% [3%] {2%}
                  • Undecided 24% [16%] (13%) {24%} [16%]
                  Among Independents
                  • Chris Christie 16% [8%] (14%) {14%} [20%]
                  • Ted Cruz 12% [5%] (5%) {6%} [11%]
                  • Rick Perry 11% [0%] (0%) {4%} [3%]
                  • Rand Paul 8% [19%] (14%) {8%} [20%
                  • Jeb Bush 8% [11%] (4%) {6%} [9%] 
                  • Paul Ryan 7% [12%] (11%) {13%} [8%]
                  • Marco Rubio 6% [8%] (11%) {10%} [9%]
                  • Bobby Jindal 5% [4%] {4%}
                  • Rick Santorum 4% [5%] (2%) {3%} [3%] 
                  • Scott Walker 2% [7%] (8%) {5%} [3%]
                  • Undecided 21% [9%] (10%) {26%} [8%]
                  Among Men
                  • Ted Cruz 16% [4%] (6%) {6%} [12%] (7%)
                  • Chris Christie 15% [10%] (13%) {19%} [20%] (17%)
                  • Jeb Bush 11% [14%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
                  • Paul Ryan 11% [11%] (10%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
                  • Rand Paul 8% [14%] (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%)
                  • Rick Perry 8% [1%] (3%) {6%} [4%] (6%)
                  • Marco Rubio 7% [5%] (11%) {9%} [6%] (16%)
                  • Scott Walker 4% [6%] (10%) {5%} [4%] (2%) 
                  • Bobby Jindal 4% [4%] {3%} (1%)
                  • Rick Santorum 3% [4%] (2%) {6%} [1%] (1%)
                  • Undecided 14% [13%] (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%)
                  Among Women
                  • Jeb Bush 15% [11%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (6%)
                  • Chris Christie 11% [14%] (14%) {13%} [16%] (13%)
                  • Marco Rubio 10% [9%] (13%) {5%} [8%] (8%)
                  • Paul Ryan 7% [12%] (7%) {13%} [13%] (14%
                  • Rand Paul 6% [10%] (7%) {7%} [9%] (8%)  
                  • Rick Perry 6% [4%] (1%) {6%} [1%] (2%)
                  • Bobby Jindal 1% [4%] {3%} (1%)
                  • Ted Cruz 5% [3%] (3%) {5%} [9%] (6%) 
                  • Scott Walker 4% [3%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%)
                  • Rick Santorum 4% [2%] (1%) {5%} [6%] (4%) 
                  • Undecided 30% [14%] (14%) {33%} [15%] (34%)
                  Survey of 342 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted August 4-7, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Party ID: 57% [63%] (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 43% [37%] (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {53%} [58%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (46%)
                  • Chris Christie (R) 41% {42%} [37%] (37%) {45%} [41%] (43%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {54%} [58%] {55%} [50%] (52%)
                  • Rand Paul (R) 42% {40%} [38%] {40%} [38%] (41%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {55%} [58%] {53%} [48%] (54%)
                  • Jeb Bush (R) 41% {39%} [38%] {41%} [40%] (38%)
                  National survey of 806 registered voters was conducted August 4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

                  Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Survey

                  PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Presidential Poll
                  • Rand Paul (R) 49% {49%} [45%] (42%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {43%} [45%] (47%)
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 48% {46%}
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {42%}
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 47%
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {40%}
                    • Chris Christie (R) 41% {44%}
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {44%}
                    • Ted Cruz (R) 41% {41%}
                    Among Men
                    • Rand Paul (R) 56% {53%} [52%] (44%)
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {40%} [40%] (42%)
                    • Jeb Bush (R) 54% {51%}
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {38%}
                    • Mike Huckabee (R) 55%
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% 
                    • Chris Christie (R) 47% {48%}
                    • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {36%}
                      • Ted Cruz (R) 50% {48%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {41%}
                      Among Women 
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {46%} [50%] (51%)
                      • Rand Paul (R) 43% {45%} [39%] (40%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {46%} 
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {42%}
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%  
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {43%}
                      • Chris Christie (R) 36% {41%}
                        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {47%}
                        • Ted Cruz (R) 34% {34%}
                        Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Rand Paul’s job performance? 
                        • Approve 47% {49%} [46%] (43%)
                        • Disapprove 39% {40%} [39%] (39%) 
                        Do you think Rand Paul should run for President in 2016, or not? 
                        • He should run 34% {35%} [30%]
                        • He should not 50% {49%} [50%] 
                        Survey of 991 Kentucky voters was conducted August 7-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 52% {52%} [51%] (52%) Democrat; 38% {39%} [39%] (37%) Republican; 10% {9%} [10%] (11%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% {31%} [28%] (29%) Moderate; 25% {27%} [26%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 20% {19%} [20%] (23%) Very conservative; 17% {14%} [15%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 10% {9%} [10%] (9%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

                        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                        PPP (D) Kentucky 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                        • Rand Paul 25% [34%] (31%)
                        • Mike Huckabee 18%
                        • Jeb Bush 15% [20%] (13%)
                        • Chris Christie 8% [12%] (10%)
                        • Marco Rubio 8% [5%] (17%)
                        • Ted Cruz 7% [7%]
                        • Scott Walker 5% [2%]
                        • Paul Ryan 4% [5%] (3%) 
                        • Bobby Jindal 3% [3%] (4%) 
                        • Someone else/Not sure 6% [10%] (16%)
                        Among Men
                        • Rand Paul 27% [36%] (33%)
                        • Mike Huckabee 20%  
                        • Chris Christie 10% [14%] (10%)
                        • Jeb Bush 10% [17%] (13%)
                        • Marco Rubio 8% [6%] (21%)
                        • Scott Walker 7% [2%]
                        • Ted Cruz 6% [6%]
                        • Paul Ryan 4% [6%] (3%)
                        • Bobby Jindal 3% [3%] (6%)
                        • Someone else/Not sure 4% [8%] (11%)
                        Among Women
                        • Rand Paul 23% [32%] (30%) 
                        • Jeb Bush 20% [23%] (14%)
                        • Mike Huckabee 16%  
                        • Ted Cruz 9% [8%]
                        • Marco Rubio 7% [4%] (13%)
                        • Chris Christie 4% [11%] (10%)
                        • Bobby Jindal 4% [3%] (3%) 
                        • Paul Ryan 4% [4%] (3%) 
                        • Scott Walker 4% [1%]
                        • Someone else/Not sure 9% [13%] (20%)
                        Survey of 383 Republican primary voters was conducted August 7-10, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Political ideology: 38% [35%] (34%) Somewhat conservative; 37% [36%] (37%) Very conservative; 19% [20%] (19%) Moderate; 3% [6%] (8%) Somewhat liberal; 3% [3%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted December 12-15, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

                        Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

                        • Joni Ernst (R) 43% [45%] (37%)
                        • Bruce Braley (D) 43% [44%] (40%)
                        • Some other candidate 6% [3%]
                        • Undecided 8% [9%]
                        Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 11-12, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 4-5, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-25, 2014 are in parentheses.

                        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Presidential Survey

                          • Rand Paul (R) 50% (46%) {47%} [49%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (40%) {41%} [43%]
                          • Chris Christie (R) 45% (44%) {43%} [46%] (43%)
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% (41%) {39%} [38%] (42%)
                          • Jeb Bush (R) 47% (47%) {47%} [49%]
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (41%) {39%} [42%]
                          • Mike Huckabee (R) 47% (43%) {45%}
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (42%) {41%}
                          • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (44%) {44%} [49%] (53%)
                          • Sarah Palin (R) 40% (41%) {43%} [40%] (37%)
                          Among Men
                            • Rand Paul (R) 57% (55%) {55%} [58%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (34%) {35%} [34%]
                            • Chris Christie (R) 50% (51%) {49%} [51%] (50%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 28% (33%) {34%} [31%] (35%)
                            • Jeb Bush (R) 49% (58%) {54%} [59%]
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% (32%) {33%} [31%]
                            • Mike Huckabee (R) 49% (51%) {51%}
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (36%) {35%}
                            • Sarah Palin (R) 45% (50%) {49%} [48%] (43%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (34%) {37%} [39%] (46%)
                            Among Women 
                              • Rand Paul (R) 44% (39%) {41%} [42%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (46%) {46%} [50%]
                              • Chris Christie (R) 41% (37%) {38%} [43%] (38%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (48%) {44%} [45%] (47%)
                              • Jeb Bush (R) 45% (37%) {40%} [40%]
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (48%) {45%} [52%]
                              • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% (37%) {40%}
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (47%) {47%}
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (54%) {50%} [58%] (60%)
                              • Sarah Palin (R) 36% (32%) {38%} [34%] (31%)
                              Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sarah Palin?
                              • Favorable 36% (36%) {39%} [39%] (34%)
                              • Unfavorable 55% (56%) {55%} [58%] (59%)
                              Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?
                              • She should run 20% (19%) {23%} [18%] (16%)
                              • She should not 74% (74%) {69%} [77%] (78%)
                              Survey of 673 Alaska voters was conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% (29%) {33%} [32%] (32%) Republican; 20% (18%) {20%} [20%] (21%) Democrat; 47% (53%) {46%} [48%] (46%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 33% (31%) {32%} [30%] (33%) Moderate; 25% (21%) {23%} [25%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 18% (22%) {21%} [20%] (19%) Very conservative; 16% (16%) {16%} [17%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 8% (9%) {7%} [8%] (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: PPP (D) Alaska 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                              • Ted Cruz 16% (15%) {13%} [8%] 
                              • Rand Paul 15% (11%) {15%} [18%] (12%)
                              • Mike Huckabee 14% (11%) {11%} (14%)
                              • Chris Christie 12% (14%) {10%} [13%] (11%)
                              • Jeb Bush 12% (14%) {12%} [11%] (9%)
                              • Sarah Palin 11% (12%) {13%} [14%] (9%) 
                              • Scott Walker 7% (4%) {4%}
                              • Paul Ryan 6% (4%) {4%} [9%] (10%)
                              • Marco Rubio 5% (3%) {6%} [9%] (18%)
                              • Someone else/Not sure 4% (12%) {12%} [12%] (10%)
                              Do you think Sarah Palin should run for President in 2016, or not?
                              • Think she should run 21%
                              • Think she should not 72%
                              Survey of 337 Republican primary voters was conducted July 31 - August 3, 2014The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Political ideology: 36% (31%) {33%} [37%] Somewhat conservative; 33% (38%) {37%} [ 33%] Very conservative; 24% (22%) {23%} [24%] Moderate; 5% (4%) {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal; 2% (5%) {2%} [2%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 25-28, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

                              Tuesday, August 12, 2014

                              Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                              Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 GOP Primary Poll

                              The 2016 presidential election is far away, but thinking ahead to the Republican primary for president, who would be your first choice for the Republican candidate? Just tell me a name.
                              • Chris Christie 41%
                              • Mitt Romney 6%
                              • Jeb Bush 5%
                              • Ted Cruz 3%
                              • Scott Walker 2%
                              • Rand Paul 2%
                              • Paul Ryan 1%
                              • Marco Rubio 1%
                              • Rick Perry 1%
                              • Ron Paul 1%
                              • Mike Huckabee 1%
                              • Newt Gingrich 0%
                              • Bobby Jindal 0%
                              • Rudy Giuliani 0%
                              • Sarah Palin 0% 
                              • Other 3%
                              • Don't know 30%
                              Survey of 255 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted July 28 - August 5, 2014.

                              Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

                              Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (51%)
                              • Chris Christie (R) 40% (41%)
                              Among Independents
                              • Chris Christie (R) 43% (45%)
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (45%)
                              Among Moderates
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (48%)
                              • Chris Christie (R) 37% (41%)
                              Among Men 
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (48%)
                              • Chris Christie (R) 46% (45%)
                              Among Women
                              • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (56%)
                              • Chris Christie (R) 36% (35%)
                              Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                              • Hillary Clinton 54% (59%) / 32% (32%) {+22%}
                              • Chris Christie 49% (48%) / 40% (40%) {+9%}
                              Survey of 750 registered voters was conducted July 28 - August 5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 33% (36%) Democrat; 19% (23%) Republican; 47% (41%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

                              Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

                              Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

                              Do you approve or disapprove of the way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor? 
                              • Approve 52% (55%) {55%} [53%] (68%) {67%} [66%] (70%) {68%} [73%] (67%)
                              • Disapprove 41% (41%) {39%} [41%] (26%) {29%} [31%] (25%) {26%} [23%] (26%)
                              Among Democrats
                              • Approve 31% (29%) {34%} [29%] (51%) {46%} [50%] (56%) {51%} [62%] (49%)
                              • Disapprove 60% (67%) {60%} [64%] (41%) {47%} [45%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (39%)
                              Among Republicans
                              • Approve 78% (86%) {83%} [83%] (93%) {91%} [89%] (87%) {93%} [90%] (88%)
                              • Disapprove 17% (10%) {12%} [13%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (9%) {5%} [10%] (8%)
                              Among Independents
                              • Approve 57% (62%) {58%} [60%] (71%) {74%} [70%] (77%) {75%} [75%] (76%)
                              • Disapprove 37% (34%) {36%} [33%] (24%) {21%} [26%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (20%)
                              Among Moderates
                              • Approve 53% (57%) [53%] (71%) {65%} [69%] (73%) {70%} [75%] (68%)
                              • Disapprove 40% (39%) [40%] (23%) {30%} [27%] (22%) {25%} [20%] (25%)
                              Please tell me if your general impression of Governor Chris Christie is favorable or unfavorable.
                              • Favorable 49% (50%) {49%} [46%] (65%) {61%} [60%] (64%) {64%} [70%] (67%) {48%} [49%] (50%) {46%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [45%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {46%} [45%]
                              • Unfavorable 40% (42%) {40%} [43%] (27%) {28%} [32%] (26%) {26%} [20%] (25%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {42%} [42%] (37%) {39%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [26%]
                              Among Democrats
                              • Favorable 28% (25%) {28%} [19%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (48%) {45%} [59%] (49%) {22%} [25%] (27%) {28%} [22%] {26%} [20%] (18%) {24%}
                              • Unfavorable 59% (63%) {60%} [69%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (41%) {41%} [29%] (38%) {68%} [62%] (62%) {61%} [63%] {63%} [72%] (65%) {67%}
                              Among Republicans
                              • Favorable 79% (82%) {81%} [78%] (92%) {90%} [87%] (86%) {90%} [88%] (90%) {88%} [84%] (79%) {85%} [81%] {87%} [82%] (79%) {76%}
                              • Unfavorable 16% (13%) {12%} [15%] (5%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {6%} [5%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (12%) {8%} [14%] {10%} [11%] (16%) {19%}
                              Among Independents
                              • Favorable 52% (55%) {49%} [55%] (69%) {68%} [64%] (69%) {71%} [71%] (73%) {49%} [48%] (55%) {43%} [52%] {52%} [47%] (49%) {50%}
                              • Unfavorable 37% (37%) {38%} [33%] (22%) {20%} [26%] (16%) {19%} [20%] (19%) {36%} [40%] (32%) {42%} [37%] {33%} [45%] (35%) {37%}
                              Survey of 750 registered voters was conducted July 28 - August 5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% (36%) {36%} [39%] (36%) {39%} [40%] (41%) {41%} [39%] (43%) {38%} [35%] (37%) {39%} [37%] {35%} [31%] (36%) {35%} Democrat; 20% (21%) {23%} [19%] (21%) {21%} [21%] (22%) {19%} [22%] (22%) {24%} [24%] (22%) {21%} [20%] {18%} [19%] (22%) {23%} Republican; 47% (43%) {41%} [42%] (42%) {40%} [38%] (37%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {38%} [41%] (41%) {40%} [43%] {47%} [50%] (42%) {42%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 28 - November 2, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-13, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted April 3-7, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 14-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27-30, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 4, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 21-27, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 9-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 6-9, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February, 2010 are in square brackets.