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Likely Voters
- Barack Obama 44%
- Mitt Romney 42%
- Gary Johnson 3%
- Jill Stein 1%
- Not sure 10%
Registered Voters
- Barack Obama 42% {42%} [37%] (45%)
- Mitt Romney 40% {40%} [43%] (40%)
- Gary Johnson 3%
- Jill Stein 2%
- Not sure 13%
Percent of registered voters who frankly admit they will probably not vote in the 2012 election.
- Latino: 24%
- Independents: 22%
- Non-Latino minorities: 21%
- Under age 35: 17%
- Age 35-54: 16%
- Moderates: 16%
- Democrats: 15%
- Liberals: 11%
- Caucasians: 10%
- Conservatives :10%
- Age 55 or older: 9%
- Republicans: 4%
Survey of 523 registered voters, including a subsample of likely voters, was conducted October 4-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 9-17, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 5-9, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 13-24, 2011 are in parentheses.
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