Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 47%
• Some other candidate 2%
• Undecided 2%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted October 3-5, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 36.43% Republican; 33.83% Democrat; 29.77% Independent.  Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly.

Inside the numbers:

Both men have solidified their partisan base. Romney is supported by 89% of Republicans and Obama by 88% of Democrats. Among those not affiliated with either major party, Romney leads by 16.

The generation gap remains wide. Obama leads by double digits among those under 40. Romney leads by double digits among those over 40.

• Mitt Romney 49% {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (48%) {47%}
• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {49%}

Results from the poll conducted October 2-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 1, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 28-30, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21-23, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 14-16, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.