Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 47%
• Some other candidate 2%
• Undecided 2%

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted October 4-6, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 36.43% Republican; 33.83% Democrat; 29.77% Independent.  Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel. Among other targets, Rasmussen Reports weights data by political party affiliation using a dynamic weighting process. While partisan affiliation is generally quite stable over time, there are a fair number of people who waver between allegiance to a particular party or independent status. Our baseline targets are established based upon separate survey interviews with a sample of adults nationwide completed during the preceding three months (a total of 45,000 interviews) and targets are updated monthly.

Inside the numbers:

Forty-five percent (45%) of voters are “certain” they will vote for Romney and not change their mind before voting. Forty-three percent (43%) are certain they will vote for Obama.

• Mitt Romney 49% (49%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (48%) {50%} [49%] (48%) {47%}
• Barack Obama 47% (47%) {49%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {49%} [48%] (48%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [48%] (49%) {50%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {49%}

Results from the poll conducted October 3-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 2-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 1, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 28-30, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 24-26, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 23-25, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21-23, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-18, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 15-17, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 14-16, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 13-15, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-14, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 11-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2012 are in curly brackets.