Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% (54%) {48%} [50%]
  
• Mitt Romney 45% (42%) {42%} [42%]
• Some other candidate 1% (1%) {5%} [4%]
• Undecided 1% (3%) {4%} [4%]

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 49% (30%) {44%} [34%] 
• Barack Obama 43% (57%) {36%} [46%]

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 33% (24%) {21%} [21%]
• Somewhat favorable 14% (19%) {25%} [24%]
• Somewhat unfavorable 14% (17%) {23%} [17%]
• Very unfavorable 37% (40%) {27%} [35%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 47% (43%) {46%} [45%] / 51% (57%) {50%} [52%] {-4%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 39% (33%) {30%} [32%] (34%)
• Somewhat approve 17% (24%) {23%} [22%] (19%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (7%) {8%} [8%] (11%)
• Strongly disapprove 36% (35%) {38%} [37%] (34%)

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 56% (57%) {53%} [54%] (53%)
• Disapprove 43% (42%) {46%} [45%] (45%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 20, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-one percent (91%) of likely voters are certain they will vote in this year’s presidential election. Among those who are certain to vote, Obama leads 52% to 46%.

Eighty-seven percent (87%) say they are already sure whom they will for. It's Obama 53%, Romney 47% among these voters.

Obama earns 95% support from Michigan Democrats, while 86% of the state's Republicans back Romney.

Voters in the state are more confident in Obama than Romney to turn the economy around. Forty-six percent (46%) say if Obama is reelected and Democrats take control of Congress, the economy will get better, compared to 40% who say the same if Romney is elected and Republicans take charge of Congress. Forty percent (40%) say the economy will get worse under Obama, but even more (44%) feel that way about Romney.

Similarly, Michigan voters put their trust in Obama over Romney to handle the economy by a 51% to 43% margin. They also trust the president more on national security issues, 54% to 41%.