Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

• Dean Heller (R) 50% [48%] (42%) {51%} [51%] (47%) 
• Shelley Berkley (D) 43% [45%] (41%) {42%} [40%] (40%)

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. 

Dean Heller

• Very favorable 25% [28%] (23%)
• Somewhat favorable 24% [22%] (20%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 19% [16%] (21%)
• Very unfavorable 27% [28%] (25%)

Shelley Berkley  

• Very favorable 19% [21%] (24%)
• Somewhat favorable 22% [19%] (14%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 17% [17%] (18%)
• Very unfavorable 39% [36%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dean Heller 49% [50%] (43%) / 46% [44%] (46%) {+3%}
• Shelley Berkley 41% [40%] (38%) / 56% [53%] (54%) {-15%}

Survey of 500 likely Nevada voters was conducted October 15, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 8, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-one percent (91%) of Likely Voters in the Silver State say they are certain to vote in this year’s election. Among those voters, Heller leads 51% to 43%.

Heller, a congressman who was appointed to the Senate last year following the resignation of Republican John Ensign, has the support of 86% of Nevada Republicans. Berkley, a member of Congress since 1999, is backed by 80% of the state's Democrats. Among voters not affiliated with either party, it’s Berkley 46%, Heller 44%.