Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% [45%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 48% [48%] (43%)
• Some other candidate 3% [4%] (2%)
• Undecided 1% [3%] (6%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 57%
• Barack Obama 38%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 33% [32%] (24%)
• Somewhat favorable 15% [18%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 16% [13%] (21%)
• Very unfavorable 34% [37%] (31%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 48% [50%] (45%) / 50% [50%] (52%) {-2%}  

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 30% [30%] (28%)
• Somewhat approve 18% [19%] (23%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% [8%] (8%)
• Strongly disapprove 41% [43%] (41%)

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 48% [49%] (51%) 
• Disapprove 48% [51%] (49%)
  

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 20, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-six percent (86%) of New Hampshire voters are already certain how they will vote. The candidates are tied at 50% each among these voters.

New Hampshire voters are also closely divided when it comes to which candidate they trust more to handle the economy: 48% trust Romney more, while 46% have more faith in the president. When it comes to national security issues, they are evenly divided: 47% trust Obama more, while another 47% trust his Republican challenger.

Obama is ahead by eight points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties. 

New Hampshire voters have slightly more confidence in Romney when it comes to the nation's economic future. Forty-five percent (45%) believe the economy will get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take control of the Congress, compared to 39% who think that's true if Obama is reelected and Democrats take charge of Congress. Forty-four percent (44%) believe the economy will get worse if Obama is reelected, while 39% expect a worse economy if Romney wins.