Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 50% [49%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {42%} [43%] (46%)   
• Barack Obama 47% [47%] (48%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (44%) {51%} [49%] (45%) 
• Some other candidate 0% [1%] (0%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {3%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%)
• Undecided 2% [3%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (5%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 49% [46%]  
• Barack Obama 45% [44%]

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 36% [37%] (35%) {31%} [31%] (28%) {24%} (17%)
• Somewhat favorable 16% [13%] (19%) {19%} [19%] (25%) {24%} (30%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 15% [16%] (17%) {15%} [15%] (14%) {22%} (22%)
• Very unfavorable 33% [32%] (28%) {33%} [33%] (32%) {28%} (28%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 52% [50%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (53%) {48%} [53%] (47%) / 48% [48%] (45%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {50%} [46%] (50%) {+4%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 31% [31%] (38%) {40%} [33%] (36%) {31%} [35%] (33%) {34%} [31%]
• Somewhat approve 16% [19%] (15%) {11%} [17%] (13%) {17%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [20%]
• Somewhat disapprove 9% [4%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (8%) {6%} [10%] (8%) {5%} [8%]
• Strongly disapprove 44% [44%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (43%) {40%} [38%]

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 47% [50%] (53%) {51%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {53%} [51%]
  
• Disapprove 53% [48%] (47%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {45%} [46%]
  

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-four percent (94%) of likely voters in the Old Dominion say they are certain to vote in this election. Among these voters, Romney leads 52% to 47%.

Among the 88% of voters in the state who say they’ve already decided whom they will vote for, it’s Romney 51%, Obama 49%.

Romney has small leads among both male and female voters in the state.

Virginia voters trust Romney more to handle the economy by five points, 50% to 45%. They are almost evenly divided when it comes to whom they trust more in the area of national security, giving the president a 48% to 47% edge.

But Virginia voters by 10 points – 51% to 41% - believe Obama better understands the issues of the middle class.

Sixty-six percent (66%) of Virginia voters are now excited about the choice between Obama and Romney, but 28% say they will simply be voting for the lesser of two evils.

Regardless of whom they support, 51% of the voters in the state think the president is most likely to win next month. Forty percent (40%) expect Romney to come out on top.

Romney has a slight edge when voters are asked whom they would rather get advice from if faced with the toughest decisions of their life. Forty-nine percent (49%) would turn to the GOP hopeful, 44% to Obama.