Thursday, October 25, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll
  • Mitt Romney 50% {50%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {42%} [43%] (46%)   
  • Barack Obama 48% {47%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [47%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (44%) {51%} [49%] (45%) 
  • Some other candidate 0% {0%} [1%] (0%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {3%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (4%)
  • Undecided 1% {2%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (5%)
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 49% {49%} [46%]  
  • Barack Obama 45% {45%} [44%]
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?
  • Very favorable 39% {36%} [37%] (35%) {31%} [31%] (28%) {24%} (17%)
  • Somewhat favorable 13% {16%} [13%] (19%) {19%} [19%] (25%) {24%} (30%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 15% {15%} [16%] (17%) {15%} [15%] (14%) {22%} (22%)
  • Very unfavorable 31% {33%} [32%] (28%) {33%} [33%] (32%) {28%} (28%)
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Barack Obama?
  • Very favorable 39%
  • Somewhat favorable 12%
  • Somewhat unfavorable 7%
  • Very unfavorable 40%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 52% {52%} [50%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (53%) {48%} [53%] (47%) / 46% {48%} [48%] (45%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {50%} [46%] (50%) {+6%} 
  • Barack Obama 51% / 47% {+4%} 
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?
  • Strongly approve 40% {31%} [31%] (38%) {40%} [33%] (36%) {31%} [35%] (33%) {34%} [31%]
  • Somewhat approve 10% {16%} [19%] (15%) {11%} [17%] (13%) {17%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [20%]
  • Somewhat disapprove 7% {9%} [4%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (8%) {6%} [10%] (8%) {5%} [8%]
  • Strongly disapprove 42% {44%} [44%] (41%) {45%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [40%] (43%) {40%} [38%]
President Obama Job Approval
  • Approve 50% {47%} [50%] (53%) {51%} [50%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {53%} [51%]
  • Disapprove 49% {53%} [48%] (47%) {50%} [49%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (51%) {45%} [46%]
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2011 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Ninety-two percent (92%) of the state’s voters now say they’ve made up their minds whom they will vote for. That’s up four points from last week. Romney leads 52% to 48% among these voters.
Virginia voters trust Romney more than the president by a 51% to 46% margin when it comes to handling the economy. This is unchanged from a week ago. When it comes to national security and energy policy, it’s a near tie, with Romney posting a one-point edge over Obama in terms of voter trust on both issues.
Forty-eight percent (48%) in Virginia expect the economy to get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take control of Congress. Just 38% think that’s likely if Obama is reelected and Democrats take charge of Congress. If Romney wins, 38% believe the economy will get worse, compared to 42% who feel that will be the case if Obama wins.
The Republican challenger leads by 15 among male voters in the state but trails by 10 among female voters.

No comments: