Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 51% [49%] (43%) {48%} [36%] (38%) {44%} [36%] (42%)
• Tommy Thompson (R) 47% [46%] (54%) {41%} [52%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (49%)
• Some other candidate 1% [2%] (1%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%)
• Not sure 2% [4%] (3%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (6%)

Among Independents

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 57%
• Tommy Thompson (R) 40%

Among Men

• Tommy Thompson (R) 56%
• Tammy Baldwin (D) 44%

Among Women

• Tammy Baldwin (D) 57%
• Tommy Thompson (R) 38%

I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Tammy Baldwin

• Very favorable 30% [32%] (22%)
• Somewhat favorable 22% [17%] (21%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 10% [13%] (16%)
• Very unfavorable 36% [31%] (33%)

Tommy Thompson 

• Very favorable 25% [22%] (23%)
• Somewhat favorable 22% [27%] (36%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 16% [18%] (20%)
• Very unfavorable 36% [28%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tammy Baldwin 52% [49%] (43%) / 46% [44%] (49%) {+6%}
• Tommy Thompson 47% [49%] (59%) / 52% [46%] (37%) {-5%} 

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety-four percent (94%) of likely voters in the state say they are certain to vote in this year's election. Among these voters, the Senate race is a tie, with each candidate earning 49% support.

Both candidates draw the support of over 90% of voters in their respective parties.