Monday, October 22, 2012

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Wisconsin 2012 Senate Poll
  • Tommy Thompson (R) 48% {47%} [46%] (54%) {41%} [52%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (49%)
  • Tammy Baldwin (D) 46% {51%} [49%] (43%) {48%} [36%] (38%) {44%} [36%] (42%)
  • Some other candidate 3% {1%} [2%] (1%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%)
  • Not sure 3% {2%} [4%] (3%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {4%} [10%] (6%)
I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

Tommy Thompson 
  • Very favorable 23% {25%} [22%] (23%)
  • Somewhat favorable 25% {22%} [27%] (36%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 16% {16%} [18%] (20%)
  • Very unfavorable 32% {36%} [28%] (17%)
Tammy Baldwin
  • Very favorable 26% {30%} [32%] (22%)
  • Somewhat favorable 19% {22%} [17%] (21%)
  • Somewhat unfavorable 8% {10%} [13%] (16%)
  • Very unfavorable 41% {36%} [31%] (33%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tommy Thompson 48% {47%} [49%] (59%) / 48% {52%} [46%] (37%) {0%}
  • Tammy Baldwin 45% {52%} [49%] (43%) / 49% {46%} [44%] (49%) {-4%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 17, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Thompson leads by seven points among male voters in the state but trails by two among female voters. The candidates are essentially tied among voters not affiliated with either major party.

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